Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Bilal Hafeez

  • 47 minutes 4 seconds
    Ep. 251: Phil Suttle on Fed Hiking in 2025

    Phil is the founder of Suttle Economics – a leading research consultancy. Before that, he held senior roles at Tudor, the Institute of International Finance (IIF), JP Morgan, Barclays, the New York Fed and World Bank. He was educated at Oxford University and lives in the US. In the podcast, we talk about how Trump 2.0 will impact macro, why tariffs matter, labour supply problems, and much more. 

     

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    17 January 2025, 11:40 am
  • 28 minutes 46 seconds
    Ep. 250: Dominique Dwor-Frecaut on Non-Consensus View on Fed and Trump 2.0

    Dominique Dwor-Frecaut is the Chief US economist and macro strategist for Macro Hive and is based in Los Angeles. Before that, she worked at various hedge funds including Bridgewater. Prior to the buy side, she worked at the New York Fed, the IMF, and the World Bank. She holds a PhD in economics from the London School of Economics. This episode covers how Trump 2.0 is different from Trump 1.0, key Trump policies to watch, what consensus is getting wrong on US growth, and much more. 

     

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    10 January 2025, 11:14 am
  • 43 minutes 15 seconds
    Ep. 249: Mark Rzepczynski on Wicked Markets and Understanding Risk

    Mark Rzepczynski is the managing member and CEO of AMPHI Research and Trading, a consulting firm to institutional investors and hedge funds on derivatives markets across all asset classes. His 40 years of experience includes CEO Funds Group of FourWinds Capital Management, president, CIO of John W. Henry Inc, and head of taxable fixed income research at Fidelity Management and Research. He was assistant professor of finance at the University of Houston and is an associate editor of the Journal of Alternative Investments. In this podcast we discuss systematic vs discretionary trading, risk vs uncertainty, challenges of trading models, and much more. 

     

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    3 January 2025, 8:24 am
  • 43 minutes 47 seconds
    Ep. 248: Shawn Edwards on How Bloomberg Is Using AI (Replay)

    Shawn Edwards is Bloomberg’s Chief Technology Officer. Based in New York, he oversees the development of Bloomberg’s global technology strategy. In 2017, Shawn was named in the top ten of the Institutional Investor Tech 40 – an annual ranking of financial industry technology leaders. Prior to joining Bloomberg in 2003, Shawn worked for Bear Stearns & Co. where he was a managing director in the company’s fixed income trading group. He has also held positions at Mentor Graphics and IBM. This podcast covers philosophy around tech innovation, product and infrastructure strategy, adapting to cloud, mobile and API-first, and much more. 

     

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    27 December 2024, 9:15 am
  • 42 minutes 44 seconds
    Ep. 247: Julia Azari on Trump’s Second Term, Constraints and Priorities

    Julia Azari is Professor in the Department of Political Science at Marquette University. She holds a Ph.D in political science from Yale University. Her research focuses on the American presidency, American political parties, political communication, and American political development. She is the author of ‘Delivering the People's Message: The Changing Politics of the Presidential Mandate’. She is a regular contributor to FiveThirtyEight.com, Politico, and The Washington Post. This episode covers what election results tell us about US politics, Trump’s executive power vs control over party, how Congress may push back on Trump, and much more. 

     

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    20 December 2024, 8:23 am
  • 1 hour 48 seconds
    Ep. 246: Tomasz Nadrowski on Navigating Global Chaos

    Tomasz is a portfolio manager at Amvest Capital – a natural resources-focused investment management firm. He has over 25 years of expertise in mining investments, including as a portfolio manager for Anholt, commodity strategist at Doyen Capital, portfolio manager at De Gouden Eeuw, and as a commodity analyst at Round Table Investment Management. He is host of the Tyranny Today podcast and is also fluent in seven languages. In this podcast we discuss what a Trump world looks like, global trade and security arrangements, Russia/Ukraine endgame and NATO, and much more. 

     

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    13 December 2024, 2:51 pm
  • 54 minutes 21 seconds
    Ep. 245: Frank Kelly on Why Everyone Underestimates Trump

    Frank Kelly, Founder and Managing Partner of Fulcrum Macro Advisors, an independent strategic advisory firm. Frank began his career as a writer for President Ronald Reagan and went on to serve in the White House Office of Political Affairs. He served as a writer for President George H.W. Bush and then served at the Justice Department. From there, Frank went to the US Securities and Exchange Commission, being appointed Senior Policy Advisor. He then held senior Public Affairs roles at Merrill Lynch, Charles Schwab and Deutsche Bank. In this podcast we discuss Reagan vs Trump, why Trump won the 2024 election, it is Trump 4.0 not Trump 2.0, and much more. 

     

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    6 December 2024, 11:36 am
  • 1 hour 6 minutes
    Ep. 244: In Memoriam - Professor Ian Shipsey on How Physics Can Change the World

    In late September, I had the honour of recording a conversation with the late Professor Ian Shipsey, Head of Physics at Oxford University. Tragically, Professor Shipsey passed away shortly after our discussion. We are releasing this episode as a tribute to his remarkable contributions.

    Professor Shipsey was one of the leading particle physicists of his generation and was Head of Physics at Oxford from 2018 until his passing. His groundbreaking work ranged from studying subatomic particles to advancing our understanding of the Higgs boson, discovered at CERN in 2012. In recognition of his extraordinary contributions, he was elected a Fellow of the Royal Society in 2022.

    In this podcast, we discussed climate change and renewable energy, quantum computing, and how physics can change the world around us.

    29 November 2024, 10:09 am
  • 39 minutes 12 seconds
    Ep. 243: Charles Engel on Currency Models, Carry Trades and Capital Flows

    Charles Engel is Donald Hester Professor of Economics at the University of Wisconsin. He is also a Research Associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research and a Research Fellow at the Centre for Economic Policy Research. He has been a consultant to the Dallas and Chicago branches of the U.S. Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of England. In this podcast we discuss the standard model to explain FX movements, how to forecast FX, and the importance of safe-haven and liquidity demand for the dollar.

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    22 November 2024, 1:46 pm
  • 30 minutes 50 seconds
    Ep. 242: Alberto Gallo on Trump Impact, Geopolitics and Favourite Markets

    Alberto Gallo is Chief Investment Officer and Co-founder at Andromeda Capital Management. Prior to that, Alberto initiated and ran the Global Credit Opportunities fund at Algebris Investments. Previously, he ran macro credit research at RBS in London, and served in senior research roles at Goldman Sachs in New York, Bear Stearns in New York and London, and Merrill Lynch in London. In this podcast we discuss impact of Trump on markets, Fed’s likely path, US growth and credit expansion, and much more. 

     

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    15 November 2024, 11:47 am
  • 53 minutes 39 seconds
    Ep. 241: Gary Gerstle on Trump’s Big Win and the Future of American Politics

    Gary Gerstle is the Paul Mellon Professor of American History Emeritus and Paul Mellon Director of Research at the University of Cambridge. He is the author and editor of more than ten books, including two prize-winners, American Crucible: Race and Nation in the Twentieth Century (2017) and Liberty and Coercion: The Paradox of American Government from the Founding to the Present (2015). His most recent book, The Rise and Fall of the Neoliberal Order: America and the World in the Free Market Era (2022), was chosen as a Best Book of 2022 by the Financial Times and Prospect Magazine. He has also testified before the US Congress on immigration matters. This podcast covers: how Trump won, inflation vs threat to democracy, how migrant issue was nationalised, and much more. 

     

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    8 November 2024, 2:12 pm
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