【聊了什么】

美国国会两院已经先后通过了一揽子对外援助法案，其中包含了强制字节跳动剥离TikTok条款。美国总统拜登于4月24日迅速签署令其生效。TikTok在美国再次面临存亡危机。TikTok的未来命运将如何？事件将会如何发展？对于其他具有中国背景的全球化公司，此事件又将带来怎样的影响？

本期节目最初于4月初录制。随着事件的进展，部分内容已经过时。我们于4月23日根据最新情况进行了补充录制。

【支持我们】

如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 欢迎加入我们最新推出的会员计划： americanroulette.ghost.io/paid-membership/

众筹平台链接：

• Patreon www.patreon.com/americanroulette
• 爱发电 afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette

合作投稿邮箱：[email protected]

【时间轴】

1:21 TikTok事件不那么新的进展

3:20 TikTok危机：2020年与现状对比

8:20 字节跳动和TikTok在华府的策略失误？

13:05 TikTok的“弹窗”策略过火了吗？

19:37 “中国公司” vs. “美国公司”

21:25 Jeff Yass角色和特朗普的态度

24:30 中国背景的全球公司面临的困境

27:26 如何与美国媒体有效沟通

29:45 哪些人在反对TikTok法案

34:25 拜登与民主党对TikTok的矛盾态度

40:28 TikTok和哈马斯以色列冲突、年轻选民以及大选

45:38 用户隐私法案与Maria Cantwell

51:00 TikTok法案通过之后的走向

59:04 特朗普如再次当选对TikTok会有怎样的影响

1:00:19 4月23日之后的最新进展

1:08:23 迈克·约翰逊态度的大转变

1:18:10 拜登签字生效之后会发生什么？

【我们是谁】

美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。

我们的主播和嘉宾：

王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子

杨方曦（Ivy Yang）：小波咨询创始人、FT中文专栏作家

小华：媒体人，美政观察者

【 What We Talked About】

Both chambers of the U.S. Congress recently approved a $95 billion foreign aid package that includes a clause mandating ByteDance to divest TikTok. President Biden acted swiftly, signing the bill into law on April 24th, thrusting TikTok into another existential crisis in the U.S. What lies ahead for TikTok? How will this situation unfold? And what implications might this have for other global companies with ties to China?

This episode was initially recorded in early April. With the latest development, some of the original content has become outdated. We recorded an update on April 23 to reflect the latest developments.

【Support Us】

If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:

Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io

Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette

Support us on AFDIAN: https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette

Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected]

【Timeline】

1:21 Not-so-recent developments in the TikTok situation

3:20 The TikTok crisis: 2020 vs. now

8:20 Did ByteDance and TikTok make strategic errors in DC?

13:05 Has TikTok's “push notification strategy” gone too far?

19:37 "Chinese company" versus "American company"

21:25 Jeff Yass's role and Trump's stance

24:30 The challenges faced by global companies with Chinese backgrounds

27:26 How to effectively communicate with U.S. media

29:45 Who is opposing the TikTok bill

34:25 Biden and the Democratic Party's conflicting views on TikTok

40:28 TikTok, the Hamas-Israel conflict, young voters, and elections

45:38 The privacy bill and Maria Cantwell’s involvement

51:00 The direction things might go after the TikTok bill is passed

59:04 How would a Trump re-election affect TikTok

1:00:19 Latest updates after April 23

1:08:23 Mike Johnson’s flip-flop

1:18:10 What will happen after Biden signs the bill

【Who We Are】

The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.

Our Hosts and Guests:

王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information

杨方曦 (Ivy Yang): Founder of Wavelet Strategy, FT Chinese columnist

小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer

【拓展链接】

欢迎在抖音、微信号、小红书等平台关注“方曦说”

Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】

我们和《这集我看过》的主播徐天聊了马丁·斯科塞斯1976年的电影《出租汽车司机》如何反映和预示了美国社会与政治的多层次变迁。从西部片的传统概念到70年代城市衰败的背景下的男女关系描绘，我们揭开电影中隐藏的社会文化纹理。通过主角Travis的故事，我们探索了片中角色的道德虚无、孤独感以及与Incel群体的联系，以及它们如何呼应与当代的极右派政治。

本期节目由《美轮美换》和《这集我看过》联合制作播出。

【支持我们】

如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 欢迎加入我们最新推出的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/

众筹平台链接：

• Patreon https://www.patreon.com/americanroulette
• 爱发电 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette

合作投稿邮箱：[email protected]

【时间轴】

01:54 从西部片里的西部谈起

03:08 70 年前后城市西部片的设定

05:45 西部片里经典男女关系

12:30 《出租汽车司机》剧情简介

13:44 Travis 的道德虚无

14:41 Incel 群体和 Travis

17:55 Travis 的孤独感

19:30 Travis 形象后面是编剧 Schrader 的个人经历

23:45 Variety Photo Player Theater 和 LGBTQ 亚文化群

26:15 时代广场与城市衰败

29:58 1975 年的纽约城市财政危机

31:01 美国最大的贫民窟 The Bronx

32:52 90 年代的时代广场改造工程

35:38 Palantine 和两党解决城市犯罪的方法

43:52 便利店抢劫案和创作中的刻板印像

49:55 皮条客角色设定的问题和作为特例的电影

54:31 射杀黑人劫匪和政治正确

56:43 持枪许可

58:43 为什么要买枪

59:40 Travis 买的枪

01:00:25 枪支文化的消费特点

01:02:25 影片中的男女关系

01:07:57 影片中的暴力

01:08:49 行走的矛盾：Travis 和枪

01:11:15 行走的矛盾：出租汽车司机看 LGBT

01:13:08 电影结尾处理：导演和编剧对于 Travis 角色的两种看法

01:17:04 Travis 和特朗普时代的极右派有什么可比性

【我们是谁】

美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。

本期主播和嘉宾：

Talich：美国政治/文化历史爱好者

徐天：历史研究者、影迷

本期节目的制作人是小华，封面设计来自欢祺，本期的音频编辑是木七果。 美轮美换是一档由百花出品的播客。

【 What We Talked About】

American Roulette, together with Xu Tian, host of 这集我看过, discuss Martin Scorsese's 1976 film "Taxi Driver." In this episode, we unpack the movie’s reflection on and foresight into the multifaceted changes within American society and politics. We start from the traditional motifs of Western films and further dive into the depiction of male-female dynamics amidst the 70’s urban decay, dissecting how the film handles the nuanced socio-cultural layers of that time. We examine protagonist Travis and his journey, his moral nihilism, pervasive sense of isolation, and its affiliations with the Incel movement – and of course, how all these elements still echo within contemporary far-right political discourse.

This episode is co-produced by The American Roulette and 这集我看过.

【Support Us】

If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:

Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io

Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette

Support us on AFDIAN: https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette

Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected]

【Timeline】

01:54 The ‘West’ in the Western genre

03:08 The depiction of the “Urban West” in 70s cinema

05:45 Gender roles in Westerns

12:30 Overview of "Taxi Driver" plot

13:44 Travis Bickle's moral nihilism

14:41 The Incel community and Travis

17:55 Exploring themes of loneliness

19:30 Insight into screenwriter Paul Schrader's personal experiences influencing the film

23:45 The Variety Photo Player Theater and its role in LGBTQ subcultures

26:15 Times Square as a symbol of urban decline

29:58 The 1975 financial crisis in New York City

31:01 The Bronx: Depiction of America's largest slum

32:52 The Times Square redevelopment effort in the 90s

35:38 Palantine's approach to urban crime

43:52 Stereotypes and creativity: the convenience store robbery scene

49:55 Portrayal of the pimp’s character and the film's unique stance

54:31 Addressing racial tensions: the shooting of the black robber

56:43 Gun permits

58:43 Why buy a gun

59:40 The gun Travis bought

01:00:25 Consumer aspects of gun culture

01:02:25 Revisiting male-female relationships within the film

01:07:57 Violence in the film

01:08:49 Travis Bickle: The embodiment of contradictions with his gun

01:11:15 "Taxi Driver" and its nuanced view on LGBT issues

01:13:08 Film ending: Diverging perspectives of the director and screenwriter on Travis's character

01:17:04 Drawing parallels between Travis Bickle and far-right ideologies in contemporary context

【Who We Are】

The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.

Our Hosts and Guests: Talich: U.S. politics, history, and culture enthusiast

Xu Tian: historian and movie fan

This episode is produced by Xiaohua, cover design by Huanqi, our audio editor is Muqiguo. The American Roulette is a Baihua Media Podcast.

Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】

81岁的拜登已成为美国历史上年龄最大的在任总统。倘若他成功连任并完成第二任期，届时他将高龄86岁。而对手特朗普，同样已年届77。无论选举结果如何，都将是美国总统年龄的一个新纪录。近期，拜登的年龄问题再次成为公众舆论的热点。本期节目中，我们试图慎入探讨拜登的年龄议题：“年龄门”是否会是拜登在2024年大选中败北的决定性因素？当公众讨论拜登的年龄时，他们究竟在谈论什么？

【会员计划】

美轮美换会员计划上线了！

加入会员计划的付费会员每周可以通过邮箱收到2-4篇newsletter，包含对美国政治、媒体、文化时事的解读，以及深度政治、政策分析，帮助你全方位了解美国。

会员计划在上线首个月有限时8折优惠，请通过以下链接进行订阅。

年付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/year

月付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/month

微信/支付宝付费（仅支持年付，我们会在支付完成后会在2个工作日内在后台完成设置）：https://buy.stripe.com/3cs9DnaUE4O52Z25kk

感谢你对美轮美换的支持！

众筹平台链接：

• Patreon patreon.com/americanroulette
• 爱发电 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette

合作投稿邮箱：[email protected]

【时间轴】

2:52 特别检察官Robert Hur提交的报告让拜登的年龄问题再次成为焦点

11:17 拜登的国情咨文演讲反响

14:12 拜登年龄问题为何比其他同龄政界人士引发更多争议

23:48 2020年拜登自称为“过渡期总统候选人”，他变卦了吗？

29:00 换马是否能为民主党带来更大胜算？

37:55 美国“老人政治”的问题

48:33 民调还靠谱吗？

1:01:11 为什么拜登如此不受欢迎

1:08:20 拜登的竞选战略

1:14:15 如果大选前如果拜登出现意外，可能引发的连锁反应

【我们是谁】

美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。

我们的主播和嘉宾： Talich：美国政治/文化历史爱好者

王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子

曹起曈：美国政治经济学PhD，政治行为研究者

小华：媒体人，美政观察者

本期节目的制作人是Lokin和小华，封面设计来自欢祺，本期的音频编辑是木七果。 美轮美换是一档由百花出品的播客。

【 What We Talked About】

At 81, Joe Biden is the oldest serving U.S. president. Ever. His potential second term would end with him at 86 years old, should he secure re-election and fulfill a second term. Looking across the aisle, his opponent Donald Trump is not much younger at the age of 77. No matter how the election unfolds, it will set a new precedent for the age of a U.S. president. Recently, Biden's age resurfaced to the forefront of public discourse. In this episode, we delve into the complexities surrounding the discussions of Biden's age: Could the issue become the pivotal factor that determines Biden's fate in the 2024 elections? When the public discusses Biden's age, what exactly are they talking about?

【Support Us】

If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:

Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io

Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette

Support us on AFDIAN: https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette

Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected]

【Timeline】

2:52 The report by Special Counsel Robert Hur once again highlights concerns about Biden's age

11:17 Reactions to Biden's State of the Union Address

14:12 Why does Biden's age provoke more debate than other similarly-aged politicians?

23:48 Biden described himself as a "bridge candidate“ in 2020 – has he changed his position?

29:00 Would the Democratic Party have a better chance of winning by changing their candidate?

37:55 The issue of gerontocracy in U.S. politics

48:33 Can opinion polls still be trusted?

1:01:11 The reasons behind Biden's unpopularity

1:08:20 Biden's 2024 campaign strategy

1:14:15 The potential repercussions of an unforeseen event involving Biden before the election

【Who We Are】

The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.

Our Hosts and Guests: Talich: U.S. politics, history, and culture enthusiast

王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information

曹起曈 (Thomas Cao): PhD in political economy, political behavior researcher

小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer

This episode is produced by Lokin and Xiaohua, cover design by Huanqi, our audio editor is Muqiguo. The American Roulette is a Baihua Media Podcast.

【拓展链接】

Fine, Call It a Comeback

Democrats Have a Better Option Than Biden

Recorded Interview: Robert Hur, President Biden Transcript

Puck

Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】

四年一度大选年，美国边境的移民危机毫不意外再次成为舆论和公众关注的焦点。更不意外的是，两党在解决边境危机的问题上无法达成妥协，最新移民法案刚推出就宣告死亡。为何移民问题在美国成为了无解的难题，这一问题又会如何左右2024年大选的走势？

【参与调研】

斯坦福商学院的研究者在进行一项关于美国H1B工作签证中国申请人的问卷调查。如果您今年计划参与H1B工作签证抽签，我们诚挚邀请您参与我们的研究。请访问 goto.stanford.edu/h1b 参与我们的调查。

本调查一共有两次问卷，共计约20分钟。完成两次调查将获得10美元的Amazon礼品卡，虽然是杯水车薪，但您的想法将为我们研究者理解来美华人移民提供重要贡献。如果您认识亲朋好友参与今年的H1B工作签证抽签，也欢迎您将这一信息转发给他们，或在您的公司群组中扩散。非常感谢！

【会员计划】

美轮美换会员计划上线了！

加入会员计划的付费会员每周可以通过邮箱收到2-4篇newsletter，包含对美国政治、媒体、文化时事的解读，以及深度政治、政策分析，帮助你全方位了解美国。

会员计划在上线首个月有限时8折优惠，请通过以下链接进行订阅。

年付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/year

月付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/month

微信/支付宝付费（仅支持年付，我们会在支付完成后会在2个工作日内在后台完成设置）：https://buy.stripe.com/3cs9DnaUE4O52Z25kk

感谢你对美轮美换的支持！

众筹平台链接：

• Patreon patreon.com/americanroulette
• 爱发电 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette

合作投稿邮箱：[email protected]

【时间轴】

01:25 边境危机的背景

03:57 红州往蓝州运送移民是怎么回事

07:53 非法入境美国的移民面临的处境

14:41 为什么处理无证移民和难民问题如此棘手

16:48 拜登政府面临的移民危机和之前有什么不同

28:08 “非法移民” vs. “无证移民”

30:10 两党和选民对移民的不同态度

32:03 最新移民法案的前因后果

40:45 移民问题在政治中扮演的角色

01:01:51 进步派在反对法案通过的时候都在反对什么

01:04:30 移民问题会如何左右2024年大选的走势

01:06:55 如何才能增加美国人对移民的支持

01:22:09 共和党到底要什么

01:29:42 拜登如何“关闭边境”

【我们是谁】

美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。

我们的主播和嘉宾： Talich：美国政治/文化历史爱好者

Lokin：美国法学院学生，即将成为一名纽约诉讼律师

王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子

曹起曈：美国政治经济学PhD，政治行为研究者

本期节目的制作人是Lokin和小华，封面设计来自欢祺，本期的音频编辑是小然。 美轮美换是一档由百花出品的播客，更多关于播客厂牌百花的信息请点击这里。

【 What We Talked About】

Every election cycle, the immigration crisis at the U.S. border inevitably emerges as a major point of focus of public attention and discourse. Equally unsurprising is the inability of the two parties to reach a consensus on addressing the issue, with the latest immigration bill effectively dismissed shortly after its introduction. The persistent deadlock raises the question that we hope to tackle in this episode: why has immigration become an intractable issue in the US? How will this shape the course of the 2024 election?

【Support Us】

If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:

Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io

Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette

Support us on AFDIAN: https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette

Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected]

【Timeline】

01:25 Background of the border crisis

03:57 Red states transporting immigrants to blue states

07:53 The situation for immigrants experience after entering the U.S. illegally

14:41 The complexity of dealing with undocumented immigrants and refugees

16:48 Differences in the immigration crisis under the Biden administration compared to previous administrations

28:08 "Illegal immigrants" vs. "undocumented immigrants"

30:10 Varied attitudes towards immigration from different political parties and voters

32:03 Background and implications of recent immigration laws

40:45 Immigration issue's role in politics

01:01:51 Progressive opposition to the immigration bill

01:04:30 The impact of immigration issues on the 2024 election outlook

01:06:55 Strategies to enhance American support for immigration

01:22:09 GOP's objectives on immigration issue

01:29:42 How could Biden "shut down border"

【Who We Are】

The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.

Our Hosts and Guests: Talich: U.S. politics, history, and culture enthusiast

Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer

王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information

曹起曈 (Thomas Cao): PhD in political economy, political behavior researcher

This episode is produced by Lokin and Xiaohua, cover design by Huanqi, our audio editor is Xiaoran. The American Roulette is a Baihua Media Podcast.

Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】

从斯坦佛到哈佛，美国精英大学的校长们先后历劫。2023年10月7日以色列哈马斯冲突升级之后，中东问题在美国精英高校成为争议焦点，各大校长们也被卷入风波。为什么有的校长因此下台，还有一些校长却得以“幸存”？

【会员计划】

美轮美换会员计划上线了！

加入会员计划的付费会员每周可以通过邮箱收到2-4篇newsletter，包含对美国政治、媒体、文化时事的解读，以及深度政治、政策分析，帮助你全方位了解美国。

会员计划在上线首个月有限时8折优惠，请通过以下链接进行订阅。

年付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/year

月付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/month

微信/支付宝付费（仅支持年付，我们会在支付完成后会在2个工作日内在后台完成设置）：https://buy.stripe.com/3cs9DnaUE4O52Z25kk

感谢你对美轮美换的支持！

众筹平台链接：

• Patreon patreon.com/americanroulette
• 爱发电 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette

合作投稿邮箱：[email protected]

【时间轴】

01:01 共和党初选的最新进展和分析

05:30 利益冲突声明

07:03 斯坦福大学前校长Marc Tessier-Lavigne(MTL)的学术造假问题及其辞职

14:18 学生记者的胜利？

16:43 巴以冲突在美国精英大学成为争议焦点

21:15 听证会上的“明星”议员Elise Stefanik

24:56 国会听证会为何变成了马戏团表演

28:15 听证会上发生了什么？为什么校长们给出如此糟糕的回答

40:03 大学校长是都应该在争议政治话题上站队

45:30 为什么美国右翼对美国精英高校充满敌意

59:10 听证会后第一个下台的宾大校长Liz Magill

1:02:30 哈佛校长的“抄袭”风波

1:17:25 “幸存”的MIT校长和文理科在巴以冲突上的分歧

1:24:36 金融大佬Bill Ackman的闹剧

【我们是谁】

美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。

美轮美换的前身是“选·美 iAmElection”，一档由游天龙、talich、林垚、庄巧祎等人于2015年创立的中文播客，选·美聚集了一群关心美国政治的学者、律师、媒体人、观察者和爱好者，在2016年大选前后吸引了大量的听众和读者，成为一档现象级的播客。2020年大选前，talich等人重新推出了“美轮美换”，更新了16集。2023年，新一轮美国大选即将开始，我们决定将选·美和美轮美换的传统延续下去，推出新版的“美轮美换”播客。

我们的主播和嘉宾：

Lokin：美国法学院学生，即将成为一名纽约诉讼律师

王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子

曹起曈：美国政治经济学PhD，政治行为研究者

本期节目的制作人是小华和Lokin，封面设计来自欢祺，本期的音频编辑是木七果。美轮美换是一档由百花出品的播客。

【 What We Talked About】

From Stanford to Harvard, leaders of America's elite universities have faced a multitude of challenges in 2023. Following the Israel-Hamas conflict that intensified on October 7, 2023, the Middle East has emerged as a contentious issue within these top institutions, propelling their presidents into the heart of the storm. Amidst the controversy, why have some presidents resigned while others have seemingly managed to "survive"?

【Support Us】

If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:

Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette

Support us on AFDIAN: https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette

Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected]

【Timeline】

01:01 Latest updates and analysis on the Republican primaries

05:30 Conflict of interest statement

07:03 Academic misconduct and resignation of Marc Tessier-Lavigne, ex-president of Stanford

14:18 A win for student journalists?

16:43 The Israeli-Hamas war: a contentious issue in US elite universities

21:15 Congresswoman Elise Stefanik in the spotlight at the hearing

24:56 Why congressional hearings have turned into a spectacle

28:15 What went wrong at the hearing? Poor responses from university presidents

40:03 Should university leaders take a stand on controversial political topics?

45:30 Why the American right is hostile towards elite universities

59:10 The first resignation post-hearing: Liz Magill, former president of Penn

1:02:30 Plagiarism scandal involving the former president of Harvard

1:17:25 The "surviving" MIT president

1:24:36 - The saga of financial mogul Bill Ackman

【Who We Are】

The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.

The American Roulette’s predecessor is “iAmElection”, a Chinese-language podcast created by Tianlong You, Talich, Yao Lin, and Qiaoy Zhuangi in 2015. The podcast brought together a group of scholars, lawyers, media veterans, observers and enthusiasts who care about American politics. At the height of its popularity, it was featured in the New York Times, and attracted an estimated 70,000 audience who listened each month. For the 2020 election, Talich and others relaunched the podcast as "美轮美换" with 16 new episodes.

In 2023, as the new round of U.S. presidential election is about to begin, we’re building on the legacy of “iAmElection” and “美轮美换” to launch a new podcast that we hope will become your go-to American Politics podcast. We introduce: “美轮美换 The American Roulette.”

Our Hosts and Guests:

Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer

王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information

曹起曈 (Thomas Cao): PhD in political economy, political behavior researcher

This episode is produced by Xiaohua and Lokin, cover design by Huanqi, our audio editor is Muqiguo. The American Roulette is a Baihua Media Podcast.

【拓展链接】

Why Some Academics Are Reluctant to Call Claudine Gay a Plagiarist The Invention of Elise Stefanik

Theo Baker

Meet the student who helped boot the president of Stanford

Is Claudine Gay a Plagiarist?

'This is Definitely Plagiarism': Harvard University President Claudine Gay Copied Entire Paragraphs From Others’ Academic Work and Claimed Them as Her Own

How We Squeezed Harvard to Push Claudine Gay Out

Bill Ackman's celebrity academic wife Neri Oxman's dissertation is marred by plagiarism

Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】

2024年美国大选周期在冰冷的艾奥瓦州冷清开场，特朗普以压倒性优势轻松获胜。共和党初选距离变成垃圾时间可能仅剩一步之遥？

【会员计划】

美轮美换会员计划上线了！

加入会员计划的付费会员每周可以通过邮箱收到2-4篇newsletter，包含对美国政治、媒体、文化时事的解读，以及深度政治、政策分析，帮助你全方位了解美国。

会员计划在上线首个月有限时8折优惠，请通过以下链接进行订阅。

年付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/year

月付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/month

微信/支付宝付费（仅支持年付，我们会在支付完成后会在2个工作日内在后台完成设置）：https://buy.stripe.com/3cs9DnaUE4O52Z25kk

感谢你对美轮美换的支持！

众筹平台链接：

• Patreon patreon.com/americanroulette
• 爱发电 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette

合作投稿邮箱：[email protected]

【时间轴】

00:47 艾奥瓦党团会议结果回顾

05:11 艾奥瓦州初选的历史和特殊性

12:00 特朗普、德桑蒂斯、黑莉和拉瓦斯瓦米在艾奥瓦的策略

23:55 展望新罕布什尔州初选

34:50 特朗普对共和党的绝对控制力

45:35 艾奥瓦州初选的赢家除了特朗普还有民调

更正：

39:05 Bob Dole在艾奥瓦大胜时间应该为1988年

42:00 出口民调中认为和自己“share the same value”最重要的选民中特朗普赢了40%

【我们是谁】

美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。

美轮美换的前身是“选·美 iAmElection”，一档由游天龙、talich、林垚、庄巧祎等人于2015年创立的中文播客，选·美聚集了一群关心美国政治的学者、律师、媒体人、观察者和爱好者，在2016年大选前后吸引了大量的听众和读者，成为一档现象级的播客。2020年大选前，talich等人重新推出了“美轮美换”，更新了16集。2023年，新一轮美国大选即将开始，我们决定将选·美和美轮美换的传统延续下去，推出新版的“美轮美换”播客。

我们的主播和嘉宾：

Talich：美国政治/文化历史爱好者

王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子

小华：媒体人，美政观察者

本期节目的制作人是小华，封面设计来自欢祺，本期的音频编辑是木七果。 美轮美换是一档由百花出品的播客，更多关于播客厂牌百花的信息请点击这里。

【 What We Talked About】

The 2024 U.S. Presidential Election cycle kicks off in the frosty backdrop of Iowa. Donald Trump secures the victory effortlessly with a significant margin. Is the Republican primary on the brink of becoming a mere formality?

【Support Us】

If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:

Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette

Support us on AFDIAN: https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette

Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected]

【Timeline】

00:47 Review of the Iowa caucus results

05:11 Why is Iowa so unique? Why is it first?

12:00 Strategies of Trump, DeSantis, Haley, and Ramaswamy in Iowa

23:55 Looking ahead to the New Hampshire primary

34:50 Trump's absolute control over the Republican Party

45:35 Winners of the Iowa Primaries: Trump and the polls

【Who We Are】

The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.

The American Roulette’s predecessor is “iAmElection”, a Chinese-language podcast created by Tianlong You, Talich, Yao Lin, and Qiaoy Zhuangi in 2015. The podcast brought together a group of scholars, lawyers, media veterans, observers and enthusiasts who care about American politics. At the height of its popularity, it was featured in the New York Times, and attracted an estimated 70,000 audience who listened each month. For the 2020 election, Talich and others relaunched the podcast as "美轮美换" with 16 new episodes.

In 2023, as the new round of U.S. presidential election is about to begin, we’re building on the legacy of “iAmElection” and “美轮美换” to launch a new podcast that we hope will become your go-to American Politics podcast. We introduce: “美轮美换 The American Roulette.”

Our Hosts and Guests:

Talich: U.S. politics, history, and culture enthusiast

王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information

小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer

This episode is produced by Xiaohua, cover design by Huanqi, our audio editor is Muqiguo. The American Roulette is a Baihua Media Podcast.

【拓展链接】

Iowa Poll: Nikki Haley overtakes Ron DeSantis; Donald Trump leads big (desmoinesregister.com)

Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

从好莱坞到锈带，从演员到蓝领汽车工人，罢工潮席卷全美各地。

【聊了什么】

2023年见证了美国劳工运动的一次新高潮。从好莱坞的编剧和演员工会，到三大汽车厂的蓝领工人，全美各地的工人们联合起来，通过罢工争取到了一系列创纪录的合同。在通胀导致生活成本飙升的背景下，这些努力为工人阶级带来了更高的薪酬，从资方手中争取到了更多的利润分享。随着几场重要的罢工运动接近尾声，我们邀请到了一位亲身参与工人运动的嘉宾，深入探讨这场罢工潮的前因后果及其深远影响。

【会员计划】

美轮美换会员计划上线了！

加入会员计划的付费会员每周可以通过邮箱收到2-4篇newsletter，包含对美国政治、媒体、文化时事的解读，以及深度政治、政策分析，帮助你全方位了解美国。

会员计划在上线首个月有限时8折优惠，请通过以下链接进行订阅。

年付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/year

月付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/month

微信/支付宝付费（仅支持年付，我们会在支付完成后会在2个工作日内在后台完成设置）：https://buy.stripe.com/3cs9DnaUE4O52Z25kk

感谢你对美轮美换的支持！

众筹平台链接：

• Patreon patreon.com/americanroulette
• 爱发电 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette

合作投稿邮箱：[email protected]

【时间轴】

01:46 美国汽车工人联合会（UAW）组成的多样化

04:47 汽车工人罢工发起的流程和工人的诉求

10:16 UAW的新领导层和改革运动

16:36 UAWD带来的新气象

23:58 拜登和特朗普和工会的关系

30:54 资方如何打压工会和劳工运动

34:18 律师和工会的关系

43:50 “精英”行业为什么没有工会

46:43 就业法和劳工法之间的张力

51:15 Janus案判决对工会的影响

57:10 工会对工人意味着什么

1:00:59 什么样的工人需要工会

1:05:45 作为“精英”的藤校学生为什么要向蓝领工人学习

1:12:29 为什么工人需要工会

1:18:55 工会领导人和基层之间的关系和工会组成的多元化

1:22:16 工会和移民以及国际学生的关系

1:28:05 美国工会的未来会更好吗？

【我们是谁】

美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。

美轮美换的前身是“选·美 iAmElection”，一档由游天龙、talich、林垚、庄巧祎等人于2015年创立的中文播客，选·美聚集了一群关心美国政治的学者、律师、媒体人、观察者和爱好者，在2016年大选前后吸引了大量的听众和读者，成为一档现象级的播客。2020年大选前，talich等人重新推出了“美轮美换”，更新了16集。2023年，新一轮美国大选即将开始，我们决定将选·美和美轮美换的传统延续下去，推出新版的“美轮美换”播客。

我们的主播和嘉宾：

Talich：美国政治/文化历史爱好者

Lokin：美国法学院学生，即将成为一名纽约诉讼律师

王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子

张跃然：社会学博士在读，UAW工会成员

本期节目由talich和小华制作，封面设计来自欢祺，本期的音频编辑是小华。 美轮美换是一档由百花传媒出品的播客。

【 What We Talked About】

In 2023, the American labor movement reached a new peak. From the writers and actors in Hollywood to the blue-collar workers of the Big Three automakers, workers across the U.S. united, securing a series of unparalleled contracts through strikes. These efforts led to increased wages for the working class and workers gaining a greater share of profits from employers amid rising living costs driven by high inflation. As several significant strikes draw to a close, we invited a guest who is actively involved in the labor movement to explore with us the origins, outcomes, and enduring effects of these strikes.

【Support Us】

If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:

Support us on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/americanroulette

Support us on AFDIAN: https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette

Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected]

【Timeline】 01:46 - Evolution of the United Auto Workers (UAW)

04:47 - Behind the scenes: auto workers' strikes and their demands

10:16 - Leadership and reform in the UAW

16:36 - UAWD's new perspectives

23:58 - Biden and Trump's interactions with the unions

30:54 - Employers' tactics against unions and labor movements

34:18 - Examining the union-lawyer relationship

43:50 - Absence of unions in 'elite' industries (blue collar vs. white collar)

46:43 - Dynamics between employment and labor laws

51:15 - Impact of the Janus case decision on unions

57:10 - What unions mean to workers

1:00:59 - Types of workers who need unions

1:05:45 - Why Ivy League students should learn from blue-collar workers

1:12:29 - Importance of unions for workers

1:18:55 - Dynamics between union leaders and members, and the diversification of union membership

1:22:16 - Unions, immigrants, and international students

1:28:05 - Future of America's labor movement

【Who We Are】

The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.

The American Roulette’s predecessor is “iAmElection”, a Chinese-language podcast created by Tianlong You, Talich, Yao Lin, and Qiaoy Zhuangi in 2015. The podcast brought together a group of scholars, lawyers, media veterans, observers and enthusiasts who care about American politics. At the height of its popularity, it was featured in the New York Times, and attracted an estimated 70,000 audience who listened each month. For the 2020 election, Talich and others relaunched the podcast as "美轮美换" with 16 new episodes.

In 2023, as the new round of U.S. presidential election is about to begin, we’re building on the legacy of “iAmElection” and “美轮美换” to launch a new podcast that we hope will become your go-to American Politics podcast. We introduce: “美轮美换 The American Roulette.”

Our Hosts and Guests:

Talich: U.S. politics, history, and culture enthusiast

王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information

Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer

Yueran Zhang: Ph.D. candidate in Sociology, member of the UAW

This episode is produced by Talich and Xiao Hua, cover design by Huanqi, our audio editor for this episode is Xiao Hua. American Roulette is a part of Baihua Media.

【拓展链接 The Links】

美国汽车工人大罢工的胜利：困境中的工会，如何取得历史性的成功？

《十三月评论》频道

vol.44 | 我在美国组织罢工——看见集体行动的力量与困境 - 打工谈

How the Yale Unions Took Over New Haven | The New Yorker

Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 虽然总统拜登的支持率低迷，民主党却在刚刚结束的迷你中期选举中取得了比民调药好得多的结果。堕胎权作为焦点议题起到了怎样的作用，又对明年大选会有什么样的影响？我们来讨论一下!

【会员计划】

美轮美换会员计划上线了！

加入会员计划的付费会员每周可以通过邮箱收到2-4篇newsletter，包含对美国政治、媒体、文化时事的解读，以及深度政治、政策分析，帮助你全方位了解美国。

会员计划在上线首个月有限时8折优惠，请通过以下链接进行订阅。

年付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/year

月付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/month

微信/支付宝付费（仅支持年付，我们会在支付完成后会在2个工作日内在后台完成设置）：https://buy.stripe.com/3cs9DnaUE4O52Z25kk

感谢你对美轮美换的支持！

众筹平台链接：

• Patreon patreon.com/americanroulette
• 爱发电 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette

合作投稿邮箱：[email protected]

【时间轴】

• 00:40 什么是迷你中期选举？
• 01:20 2023 年迷你中期选举的主要结果
• 04:04 为什么会有迷你中期选举？
• 08:24 俄亥俄堕胎权入宪法公投
• 12:30 堕胎权之争的前景
• 25:30 支持大麻合法化的人和支持堕胎权的人并不很重合
• 26:11 肯塔基州州长连任，堕胎权之争的作用
• 29:21 堕胎权之争共和党为什么陷入被动？
• 31:54 弗吉尼亚州议会选举和文化战争
• 38:11 选民结构的变化对竞选的影响
• 44:15 拜登的民调表现为什么这么差?
• 49:33 拜登的年龄问题被夸大了，还是特朗普的年龄问题被低估了？
• 52:43 通涨/经济现状对选举的影响
• 56:15 今年迷你中期选举和明年大选的关系

【我们是谁】

美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。

美轮美换的前身是“选·美 iAmElection”，一档由游天龙、talich、林垚、庄巧祎等人于2015年创立的中文播客，选·美聚集了一群关心美国政治的学者、律师、媒体人、观察者和爱好者，在2016年大选前后吸引了大量的听众和读者，成为一档现象级的播客。2020年大选前，talich等人重新推出了“美轮美换”，更新了16集。2023年，新一轮美国大选即将开始，我们决定将选·美和美轮美换的传统延续下去，推出新版的“美轮美换”播客。

我们的主播和嘉宾：

• Talich：美国政治/文化历史爱好者
• 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子
• Lokin：美国法学院学生，即将成为一名纽约诉讼律师。

本期节目由Talich制作，封面设计来自欢祺，本期的音频编辑是Talich。 美轮美换是一档由百花传媒出品的播客。

【 What We Talked About】 Yes. 2023 is also an election year. Though Biden is not doing so well in the latest polls, Democrats have exceeded expectations in the past off-year elections. We discuss results of some of the high-profile races. How did abortion rights play into the results? How will the issue affect the general elections next year?

【Support Us】

If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:

Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected]

【Timeline】

• 00:40 What is a mini-midterm election?
• 01:20 Main outcome of 2023 mini-midterm election
• 4:04 Why did some states adopt mini-midterm elections?
• 8:24 Ohio’s initiative on abortion rights
• 12:30 The future of political fights on abortion rights
• 25:30 Pro-marijuana legalization and pro-abortion rights voters don’t exactly overlap
• 26:11 Kentucky governor's successful re-election and abortion rights in the state
• 29:21 Why is the Republican party playing defense when it comes to abortion rights
• 31:54 Virginia state legislature elections and the culture wars
• 38:11 How voter demographic changes affect elections
• 44:15 Why is Biden doing so badly in the polls?
• 49:33 Has Biden's age issue been exaggerated, or has Trump's age issue been underestimated?
• 52:43 The impact of inflation/economic situations on elections
• 56:15 What does the mini-midterm say about next year’s general election?

【Who We Are】

The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.

The American Roulette’s predecessor is “iAmElection”, a Chinese-language podcast created by Tianlong You, Talich, Yao Lin, and Qiaoy Zhuangi in 2015. The podcast brought together a group of scholars, lawyers, media veterans, observers and enthusiasts who care about American politics. At the height of its popularity, it was featured in the New York Times, and attracted an estimated 70,000 audience who listened each month. For the 2020 election, Talich and others relaunched the podcast as "美轮美换" with 16 new episodes.

In 2023, as the new round of U.S. presidential election is about to begin, we’re building on the legacy of “iAmElection” and “美轮美换” to launch a new podcast that we hope will become your go-to American Politics podcast. We introduce: “美轮美换 The American Roulette.”

Our Hosts and Guests:

Talich: U.S. politics, history, and culture enthusiast 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer

This episode is produced by Talich, cover design by Huanqi, our audio editor for this episode is Talich. American Roulette is a part of Baihua Media.

Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】

共和党选出了新议长：迈克・约翰逊。迈克・约翰逊是谁？他为什么能当上议长？他当议长面临什么样的挑战？他会怎样面对？这期播客我们从选议长一路讨论到了怎么当议长。

【会员计划】

美轮美换会员计划上线了！

加入会员计划的付费会员每周可以通过邮箱收到2-4篇newsletter，包含对美国政治、媒体、文化时事的解读，以及深度政治、政策分析，帮助你全方位了解美国。

会员计划在上线首个月有限时8折优惠，请通过以下链接进行订阅。

年付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/year

月付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/month

微信/支付宝付费（仅支持年付，我们会在支付完成后会在2个工作日内在后台完成设置）：https://buy.stripe.com/3cs9DnaUE4O52Z25kk

感谢你对美轮美换的支持！

众筹平台链接：

• Patreon patreon.com/americanroulette
• 爱发电 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette

合作投稿邮箱：[email protected]

【时间轴】

01:05 回顾第一轮推选议长的过程（兼对上上次播客里的预测的回顾）

03:08 乔丹是怎么输的

08:26 第二轮选举，约翰逊怎么赢的

11:11 约翰逊的资历和他胜选和关系

18:11 约翰逊曾担任主席的学习委员会是怎么回事

23:22 当议长需要什么技能和人脉

28:23 临时拨款协议对约翰逊的挑战

30:49 约翰逊如何解决党内关于堕胎的矛盾

40:43 约翰逊会如何解决两党关于军援/边境安全的拨款问题

44:58 麦康奈尔、拜登、和共和党保守派在外交问题上的矛盾

49:00 议长最重要的权力：议程设置

50:54 约翰逊的蜜月期会有多长

52:18 约翰逊的个人形像对共和党的选情有多重要

55:50 特朗普为什么可以频频踩福音派的红线还不受惩罚

01:00:34 接下来两周的看点

【我们是谁】

美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。

美轮美换的前身是“选·美 iAmElection”，一档由游天龙、talich、林垚、庄巧祎等人于2015年创立的中文播客，选·美聚集了一群关心美国政治的学者、律师、媒体人、观察者和爱好者，在2016年大选前后吸引了大量的听众和读者，成为一档现象级的播客。2020年大选前，talich等人重新推出了“美轮美换”，更新了16集。2023年，新一轮美国大选即将开始，我们决定将选·美和美轮美换的传统延续下去，推出新版的“美轮美换”播客。

我们的主播和嘉宾：

Talich：美国政治/文化历史爱好者

王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子

寄馀生：比较政治爱好者

本期节目由Talich制作，封面设计来自欢祺，本期的音频编辑是Talich。 美轮美换是一档由百花传媒出品的播客。

【 What We Talked About】

If the ascension of Mike Johnson to the office of speaker of the House proves one thing, it’s that “keeping a low profile and biding your time” actually works. So who is Mike Johnson? What challenges does he face as the new speaker? How would he go about it? In this episode, we talk about the ins and outs of what it takes to become speaker of the House.

【Support Us】

If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:

Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected]

【Timeline】 01:05 Overview of what happened in the previous rounds of selection (and to see how right or wrong our predictions in the previous episode turned out to be)

03:08 How Ohio Rep. Jim Jordan lost

08:26 How did Johnson win the second round of the election?

11:11 Johnson’s credentials, his electoral success and connections

18:11 What happened to the Republican Study Committee Johnson once chaired?

23:22 What skills and connections are needed to be the speaker?

28:23 One of Johnson’s first tests as speaker: Continuing Resolution(CR)

30:49 How will Johnson resolve the conflict within the Republican party over abortion policy?

40:43 How would Johnson resolve the bipartisan funding issue for military aid/border security?

44:58 Conflicts between McConnell, Biden, and Republican conservatives on foreign affairs issues

49:00 The speaker’s most important power: agenda setting

50:54 How long will Johnson’s “honeymoon phase” be?

52:18 How important is Johnson’s personal branding to GOP’s upcoming elections?

55:50 Why Trump can repeatedly cross Evangelical’s red lines with impunity

01:00:34 What to watch for in the next two weeks

【Who We Are】

The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.

The American Roulette’s predecessor is “iAmElection”, a Chinese-language podcast created by Tianlong You, Talich, Yao Lin, and Qiaoy Zhuangi in 2015. The podcast brought together a group of scholars, lawyers, media veterans, observers and enthusiasts who care about American politics. At the height of its popularity, it was featured in the New York Times, and attracted an estimated 70,000 audience who listened each month. For the 2020 election, Talich and others relaunched the podcast as "美轮美换" with 16 new episodes.

In 2023, as the new round of U.S. presidential election is about to begin, we’re building on the legacy of “iAmElection” and “美轮美换” to launch a new podcast that we hope will become your go-to American Politics podcast. We introduce: “美轮美换 The American Roulette.”

Our Hosts and Guests:

Talich: U.S. politics, history, and culture enthusiast

王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information

寄馀生(Ji Yusheng): Comparative politics enthusiast

This episode is produced by Talich, cover design by Huanqi, our audio editor for this episode is Talich. American Roulette is a part of Baihua Media.

Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 默多克的退休，成为了电视媒体时代落幕的又一个注脚。我们从默多克聊起，聊到了不同时代、不同派别的美国媒体在政治和选举中扮演的角色。2024年和未来，美国政客们又会如何利用TikTok和其它新兴媒体平台？

【会员计划】

美轮美换会员计划上线了！

加入会员计划的付费会员每周可以通过邮箱收到2-4篇newsletter，包含对美国政治、媒体、文化时事的解读，以及深度政治、政策分析，帮助你全方位了解美国。

会员计划在上线首个月有限时8折优惠，请通过以下链接进行订阅。

年付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/year

月付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/month

微信/支付宝付费（仅支持年付，我们会在支付完成后会在2个工作日内在后台完成设置）：https://buy.stripe.com/3cs9DnaUE4O52Z25kk

感谢你对美轮美换的支持！

众筹平台链接：

• Patreon patreon.com/americanroulette
• 爱发电 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette

合作投稿邮箱：[email protected]

【时间轴】

2:23 退而不休的默多克和家族的“继承之战”

10:20 福克斯新闻意识形态和美国电视新闻节目形态的演化

22:06 政治脱口秀的崛起

29:25 CNN的崛起和变化

42:29 MSNBC的崛起和变化

54:26 媒体和技术变革对美国政治和传播的影响

1:05:05 总统的诞生不仅要靠个人努力，也要看历史进程

1:19:24 TikTok和其它新兴媒体平台会如何影响2024年大选

1:28:19 “网红”当上总统还要多久？

【我们是谁】

美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。

美轮美换的前身是“选·美 iAmElection”，一档由游天龙、talich、林垚、庄巧祎等人于2015年创立的中文播客，选·美聚集了一群关心美国政治的学者、律师、媒体人、观察者和爱好者，在2016年大选前后吸引了大量的听众和读者，成为一档现象级的播客。2020年大选前，talich等人重新推出了“美轮美换”，更新了16集。2023年，新一轮美国大选即将开始，我们决定将选·美和美轮美换的传统延续下去，推出新版的“美轮美换”播客。

我们的主播和嘉宾：

Talich：美国政治/文化历史爱好者

杨一：旅英媒体人

小华：媒体人，美政观察者

本期节目由小华制作，封面设计来自欢祺，本期的音频编辑是Xavier。 美轮美换是一档由百花传媒出品的播客。

【 What We Talked About】 Rupert Murdoch's retirement is just the latest footnote to the end of the television era. We started this episode talking about Murdoch’s outsized influence on American politics, and how mass media have shaped politics and elections in different generations and political factions. How will politicians use TikTok and other emerging media platforms in 2024 and in the future?

【Support Us】

If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:

Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette

Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected]

【Timeline】

2:23 Murdoch may be retired, but he’s not resting. What comes next in this real-life “Succession” show?

10:20 Fox News’s ideology and how American TV news programming evolved over the years

22:06 A uniquely American cultural product: late night political comedy

29:25 CNN’s meteoric rise and how it changed in recent years

42:29 MSNBC’s rise and its role in American politics

54:26 How technological developments in mass media affect American politics

1:05:05 How mass media made various previous presidents — timing matters

1:19:24 How will TikTok and other new social media platforms affect the upcoming 2024 election

1:28:19 How far are we from getting the first “influencer” president?

【Who We Are】

The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.

The American Roulette’s predecessor is “iAmElection”, a Chinese-language podcast created by Tianlong You, Talich, Yao Lin, and Qiaoy Zhuangi in 2015. The podcast brought together a group of scholars, lawyers, media veterans, observers and enthusiasts who care about American politics. At the height of its popularity, it was featured in the New York Times, and attracted an estimated 70,000 audience who listened each month. For the 2020 election, Talich and others relaunched the podcast as "美轮美换" with 16 new episodes.

In 2023, as the new round of U.S. presidential election is about to begin, we’re building on the legacy of “iAmElection” and “美轮美换” to launch a new podcast that we hope will become your go-to American Politics podcast. We introduce: “美轮美换 The American Roulette.”

Our Hosts and Guests:

Talich: U.S. politics, history, and culture enthusiast

Yang Yi: Journalist based in London

小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer

This episode is produced by Xiao Hua, cover design by Huanqi, our audio editor for this episode is Xiao Hua. American Roulette is a part of Baihua Media.

【拓展链接 The Links】 杨一的明信片 | Yang Yi | Substack

杨一的小红书 - 个人页 (xiaohongshu.com)

92岁默多克退休：传媒大亨与两个大国的纠葛｜新闻实验室

001 | 「继承之战」 ：无法背叛的父亲，和无法拯救的帝国 The War of "Succession" - 疲惫娇娃 CyberPink

Inside Rupert Murdoch’s Succession Drama | Vanity Fair

最响亮的声音 (豆瓣)

Inside the Meltdown at CNN - The Atlantic

Crush On Obama - YouTube

Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

美国政府关门危机暂时缓解，议长麦卡锡却成了美国史上第一位被赶下台的议长。

【聊了什么】

在短短几天时间内，美国政坛最大的危机从政府长期关门转变为议长凯文·麦卡锡被罢免。这两场危机折射出美国政治生态怎样的变化？陷入停摆的众议院将何去何从？

【会员计划】

美轮美换会员计划上线了！

加入会员计划的付费会员每周可以通过邮箱收到2-4篇newsletter，包含对美国政治、媒体、文化时事的解读，以及深度政治、政策分析，帮助你全方位了解美国。

会员计划在上线首个月有限时8折优惠，请通过以下链接进行订阅。

年付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/year

月付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/month

微信/支付宝付费（仅支持年付，我们会在支付完成后会在2个工作日内在后台完成设置）：https://buy.stripe.com/3cs9DnaUE4O52Z25kk

感谢你对美轮美换的支持！

众筹平台链接：

• Patreon patreon.com/americanroulette
• 爱发电 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette

合作投稿邮箱：[email protected]

【时间轴】

00:58 国会拨款程序如何让美国政府频频陷入关门危机

06:19 今年拨款案的核心矛盾

09:43 关门危机如何从两党矛盾演变成共和党内斗

23:47 “委员会中心主义”

25:37 两党的不对称极化和政府关门对民意的影响

39:35 麦卡锡的命运从2022中期选举就注定了

49:55 麦卡锡和极右翼议员的恩恩怨怨

54:43 麦卡锡去意已决？

01:11:43 未来议长选举的分析和预测

01:24:17 弱势议长的未来

【我们是谁】

美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。

美轮美换的前身是“选·美 iAmElection”，一档由游天龙、talich、林垚、庄巧祎等人于2015年创立的中文播客，选·美聚集了一群关心美国政治的学者、律师、媒体人、观察者和爱好者，在2016年大选前后吸引了大量的听众和读者，成为一档现象级的播客。2020年大选前，talich等人重新推出了“美轮美换”，更新了16集。2023年，新一轮美国大选即将开始，我们决定将选·美和美轮美换的传统延续下去，推出新版的“美轮美换”播客。

我们的主播和嘉宾：

Talich：美国政治/文化历史爱好者

曹起曈：美国政治经济学PhD，政治行为研究者

王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子

寄馀生：比较政治爱好者

本期节目由小华制作，封面设计来自欢祺，本期的音频编辑是小华。 美轮美换是一档由百花传媒出品的播客。

【 What We Talked About】

Within just a few days, the biggest crisis in U.S. politics shifted from a potential prolonged government shutdown to the ousting of Speaker Kevin McCarthy. What do these two crises reveal about the changes in the American political landscape? And what lies ahead for the gridlocked House of Representatives?

【Support Us】

If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:

Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette

Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected]

【Timeline】

00:58 How the congressional appropriation process leads to the frequent shutdown crisis of the U.S. Government

06:19 The focus of this year's appropriation bills

09:43 How the shutdown crisis evolved from a conflict between the two parties to infighting within the Republican Party

23:47 “Committee autonomy”

25:37 Asymmetric polarization and how public opinion reacts to government shutdowns

39:35 Speaker McCarthy's fate was sealed in the 2022 midterm elections

49:55 The love-hate affair between McCarthy and far-right Republicans

54:43 Had McCarthy already made up his mind to leave?

01:11:43 Analysis and predictions for the incoming speaker elections

01:24:17 The future of a weak speakership

【Who We Are】

The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.

The American Roulette’s predecessor is “iAmElection”, a Chinese-language podcast created by Tianlong You, Talich, Yao Lin, and Qiaoy Zhuangi in 2015. The podcast brought together a group of scholars, lawyers, media veterans, observers and enthusiasts who care about American politics. At the height of its popularity, it was featured in the New York Times, and attracted an estimated 70,000 audience who listened each month. For the 2020 election, Talich and others relaunched the podcast as "美轮美换" with 16 new episodes.

In 2023, as the new round of U.S. presidential election is about to begin, we’re building on the legacy of “iAmElection” and “美轮美换” to launch a new podcast that we hope will become your go-to American Politics podcast. We introduce: “美轮美换 The American Roulette.”

Our Hosts and Guests:

Talich: U.S. politics, history, and culture enthusiast

曹起曈 (Thomas Cao): PhD in political economy, political behavior researcher

王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information

寄馀生(Ji Yusheng): Comparative politics enthusiast

This episode is produced by Xiao Hua, cover design by Huanqi, our audio editor for this episode is Xiao Hua. American Roulette is a part of Baihua Media.

【拓展链接 The Links】

从政府关门危机到议长被罢免：美国国会陷入了怎样的失灵状况？｜端传媒

Inside McCarthy’s Shutdown Turnabout That Left His Speakership at Risk - The New York Times

Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助