The DFSR crew (www.DFSR.com) brings you expert advice on NFL strategies for FanDuel and DraftKings.
It's a strange week, with a lot of unknowns heading into the holiday weekend. We're hoping that teams and reporters are as sharp with reporting as usual, but that's certainly not clear at this point.
For starters, a lot of viable DFS offenses are going up against tough defenses, and when you combine that with the fact that it's a shorter slate than usual the pickings are somewhat slim. The guys have their eye on the KC/ATL game, which should be a shootout that also has some injury implications. The potential absence of Julio Jones and/or Tyreek Hill could open up some serious DFS value.
Some other great teams to target this week include Chicago and Houston, and after that there appears to be a significant fall off. There are a number of total stay-away teams, like the Jets, Jaguars, Bengals, Giants, and Broncos. There are teams with reasonable skill options with no consistent plan for getting them the ball in Philly, Dallas, and Carolina. The Rams/Seahawks has a high total, but the last two times these teams met it amounted to precious little fantasy production.
Tune in as Doug and James try to find the diamonds in the rough in a tough week 16 of NFL DFS.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
There are a lot of interesting questions for cash games this week, starting at quarterback. Can we start Jalen Hurts after two good weeks, or should we be concerned about the low completion percentage? Would Deshaun Watson just be a safer play at similar prices? Is it insane to go super-cheap at QB on DK and play Trubisky? The guys weigh the pros and cons of each.
Running back features two easy plays in David Montgomery and Le'Veon Bell, but after that, there are a number of situations to keep an eye on. You've got the potential absence of Ezekiel Elliott, a bizarre QB situation in WAS (which impacts JD McKissic), and more. You'll want to tune in tomorrow for an in-depth look at the position on a game by game basis.
Wide receiver has good plays at every price point, as usual, with headliners like Calvin Ridley and Tyreek Hill, mid-range options like Brandin Cooks and Jarvis Landry, and even some punt plays lurking in LA if Keenan Allen sits.
Visit www.dfsr.com/deals to get started
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
While there are a number of clear plays this week, there is no shortage of close calls. How do we pick between running backs coming off of big weeks, with a relatively short track record of that performance? How do we rank Jonathan Taylor, Miles Sanders, and even Alvin Kamara? Could we take a speculative look at JD McKissic? What about the Tampa Bay running back situation? After the obvious Derrick Henry and Cam Akers plays, things get hairy in a hurry.
The guys also discuss how the perception of plays like Lamar Jackson and Kyler Murray is changing. Can we trust either given that their carries seem to be headed back in the right direction or should we be more concerned with their larger body of work?
They also discuss a number of lingering injury situations, a few surprise cheap options, and more!
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Quarterback comes down to a decision between Lamar Jackson in the best possible match-up with the Jags, and a host of cheap guys in interesting match-ups. The guys discuss the pros and cons of paying up for a known commodity or trying to ride the upside of a cheaper option like Jalen Hurts.
Running back features two obvious plays in Cam Akers and Derrick Henry, and a whole lot of question marks after that. Doug and James discuss a few of the other potential options while acknowledging that you might be waiting until later in the week to solidify a third running back.
Wide receiver offers Brandon Aiyuk and Michael Thomas as a nice one-two punch at the top of the position, with a few cheap punt options to consider after that. Can we depend on the cheap Dolphins receivers if Parker misses this week? The guys discuss whether we've seen enough to think about it.
Tight end basically comes down to Kelce or bust, with even the reasonable cheap options carrying question marks.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
As is typical in 2020, this week has gotten a lot more interesting as time has gone on. We have a number of wide receivers in Carolina headed to the COVID-IR, which has opened up some value there. Christian McCaffrey has been ruled out, which opens up Mike Davis as a value option.
There are some core strategic discussions for this week as well. If we can only pay up at one spot, should we pick Davante Adams or Derrick Henry? Is it reasonable to run Devontae Booker out there again if Josh Jacobs were to miss another week? Can we really trust Aaron Jones in a great match-up with Detroit given that Jamal Williams is still lurking?
And what do we make of running backs who could be poised for a lot of opportunity in potentially weird game scripts, like Myles Gaskin, James Robinson, or Dalvin Cook?
This is a tricky week, so make sure to tune in as the DFSR team breaks it all down.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
It's a weird week for DFS, with very little value to support paying up at some key positions. Doug and James break down how lineups might look different this week than usual. Can we consider going cheap with Jalen Hurts on DraftKings, or should we just pay up for a safer option like Russell Wilson?
Running back is odd as well, with Derrick Henry being the obvious big money play and a bunch of question marks after that. We have James Robinson and Myles Gaskin, but both of them are 7+ point underdogs. Aaron Jones has a great projected game script, but he's likely in a timeshare once again. We're basically just hoping for value to crop up later in the week at this point.
Wide receiver is the first position that presents us with exciting options, with both Michael Thomas and Brandon Aiyuk looking comically under-priced at this point. The position rounds out nicely with the Houston situation, and even Corey Davis is AJ Brown were to miss this week.
At tight end, we're basically deciding between Travis Kelce, Mike Gesicki, and possibly Anthony Firkser. Right now it looks like our optimizer is prioritizing Kelce, but that could change as the week develops.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
The NFL is nothing if not strange right now, with COVID causing us to have a tightened schedule for Sunday's games. As a result, we have a thinner slate than usual to draw our plays from.
Quarterback presents some interesting options, all with their own flaws, with Russell Wilson, Justin Herbert, and Taysom Hill leading the pack for us right now.
Running back has one automatic play in Austin Ekeler, and then several speculative options. Dalvin Cook will be highly owned if he gets a clean bill of health, but after that, we're monitoring a number of situations to see if any cheap value springs loose.
Wide receiver is probably the best value spot of the week, with Michael Thomas and Brandin Cooks being far too cheap for their current opportunity, and even guys like Keke Coutee if you want to go deep into punts.
Tight end gives us decent midrange options in Hunter Henry and Evan Engram, and little else, so it looks like that position is fairly locked in right now.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
The NFL is nothing if not strange right now, with COVID causing us to have a tightened schedule for Sunday's games. As a result, we have a thinner slate than usual to draw our plays from.
Quarterback presents some interesting options, all with their own flaws, with Russell Wilson, Justin Herbert, and Taysom Hill leading the pack for us right now.
Running back has one automatic play in Austin Ekeler, and then several speculative options. Dalvin Cook will be highly owned if he gets a clean bill of health, but after that, we're monitoring a number of situations to see if any cheap value springs loose.
Wide receiver is probably the best value spot of the week, with Michael Thomas and Brandin Cooks being far too cheap for their current opportunity, and even guys like Keke Coutee if you want to go deep into punts.
Tight end gives us decent midrange options in Hunter Henry and Evan Engram, and little else, so it looks like that position is fairly locked in right now.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
For a three-game slate, Thanksgiving presents us with a number of solid cash game options. We've got Watson holding it down at quarterback, Zeke and (hopefully) Swift at running back, and a number of reasonable receivers between Pittsburgh, Houston, and even Washington. We're keeping an eye on the Baltimore/Pittsburgh game to make sure it goes, of course, but it doesn't look like a bad slate all things considered.
Sunday's slate is actually fairly robust as well, since there are no more byes for the rest of the season.
We have two strong quarterback options in Josh Allen and Kyler Murray, with a little Taysom Hill if we wind up needing some savings on DraftKings.
Running back is probably the most difficult position to break down at this point, with Salvon Ahmed being the only truly exciting option available at this point. We're hoping to be able to run Kalen Ballage, but we need to keep an eye on the potential Austin Ekeler return.
Wide receiver is very deep this week, if a bit expensive. It will be tough to decide between Keenan Allen, Stefon Diggs, and Tyreek Hill - and it's going to be tough to pay for all three of them.
All in all there is much to discuss, so don't miss the DFSR boys breaking it all down!
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
The DFSR crew is back to break down every game on the main slate of FanDuel and DraftKings for week 11.
With Christian McCaffrey going down, it looks like Dalvin Cook and Davante Adams will be the default pay-up options in all formats. We don't believe that it opens up Mike Davis as an interesting cash game play, but he's a great big tournament play.
The guys go through the long list of cheap running backs, discussing how you might prioritize each in various formats this week. And there are a lot of them, with Kalen Ballage, JD McKissic, Salvon Ahmed, Damien Harris, DeAndre Swift, Duke Johnson, and potentially Giovani Bernard being playable this week. That's a long list, but the guys believe there are some clearly better options than others.
There are some other questions to answer this week as well. To what degree do we trust Jameis in cash games, and how does he impact the Saints' offense? How do we handle opportunity projections for teams that played in windy conditions last week?
The guys answer all these questions and more on the week 11 game by game podcast.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
James and Doug are back to take an early look at cash games in week 11 on FanDuel and DraftKings.
Quarterback has a few options that we haven't considered much this season in Justin Herbert and Lamar Jackson. Herbert has had a surprisingly high floor this season, and has a great match-up with the terrible New York Jets. Jackson hasn't been the guy he was last season, but the upside is still there with him getting 10+ carries a game. The guys discuss the pros and cons of each.
Running back presents a bevy of cheap options, and the difficulty this week is picking between them. DFSR feels like Ballage and McKissic are the best options, but people will certainly dabble with Harris, Ahmed, and even Duke Johnson. If you run two cheap guys, you're going to have room for a top tier play, and it will be tough to choose between McCaffrey and Cook.
Wide receiver is actually fairly tough this week. Davante Adams is a great play (as usual), but can you afford him alongside McCaffrey or Cook? Thankfully there are some good cheap options, with each of the Steelers wide receivers looking good, Brandin Cooks in a bounceback, and others.
Tight end is a disaster as always, and DFSR is leaning toward Hayden Hurst as a high floor way to get away from a bad position cheaply.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Your feedback is valuable to us. Should you encounter any bugs, glitches, lack of functionality or other problems, please email us on [email protected] or join Moon.FM Telegram Group where you can talk directly to the dev team who are happy to answer any queries.