(0:00) Bestie intros
(2:01) Polls vs Prediction markets, dueling interviews, election update
(16:06) Tesla's Robotaxi event and SpaceX's Starship catch
(27:36) Uber reportedly looking into acquiring Expedia
(45:19) Nuclear Vibe Shift? Big tech is looking toward nuclear solutions to power AI
(1:11:10) Lawfare from the California Coastal Commission
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Intro Music Credit:
Intro Video Credit:
Referenced in the show:
https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1729285428575
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1846826782797799580
https://x.com/collinrugg/status/1845472475322462468
https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1839424008900477354
https://www.ft.com/content/94a25bf7-e62b-462a-a4f0-e4feb6e244f7
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/EXPE:NASDAQ
https://companiesmarketcap.com/expedia/revenue
https://x.com/Jason/status/1847016512583786921
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/16/california-coastal-commission-elon-musk-00184017
(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg
(0:18) Besties intro JD Vance!
(3:33) America's innovation problem
(5:04) Thoughts on Trump
(8:53) Would JD Vance have certified the election in 2020?
(12:02) Increasing government efficiency, shrinking the deficit, Vance's role as VP, thoughts on EOs
(19:35) Political realignment: Dick Cheney endorses Kamala Harris, winners and losers of the last 30 years
(23:58) Thoughts on Lina Khan clamping down on tech M&A and her impact on the startup ecosystem
(25:55) Fixing the Southern Border
(32:16) How to practically approach deportations, who's coming in through the Southern Border?
(36:51) Relationship with China
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(0:00) Bestie intros!
(3:18) The science behind Hurricanes Helene and Milton
(14:59) The economics of intensifying natural disasters
(29:03) AlphaFold creators win Nobel Prize in Chemistry
(35:17) The Jayter's Ball
(38:53) Google antitrust update: DOJ is going for a breakup
(53:32) VC giveback: CRV will return ~$275M of a $500M fund to LPs
(1:03:44) New TikTok survey shows increased usage as a news source
(1:15:26) Election update: Are polling problems causing a strategy shift for Kamala Harris?
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Referenced in the show:
https://x.com/Ry_Bass/status/1844367980249178396
https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/september-2024-enso-update-binge-watch
https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-024-01442-3
https://x.com/vkhosla/status/1844166857655533811
https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hrd_sub/sfury.html
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-024-03214-7
https://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/rtKjE02hAh_k/v0
https://x.com/AOC/status/1844034727935988155
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/02/technology/crv-vc-fund-returning-money.html
https://www.axios.com/2023/03/03/founders-fund-slashes-vc-peter-thiel
https://www.pewresearch.org/data-labs/2024/10/08/who-u-s-adults-follow-on-tiktok
https://x.com/iapolls2022/status/1844418916107341948
(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg
(0:24) Besties intro Elon Musk!
(1:23) The Battle of Free Speech
(10:24) Potential government efficiency agency
(27:45) SpaceX updates, overreaching regulations
(36:10) Thoughts on Boeing's culture
(38:27) The 80/20 AI Future
(54:03) Elon and Jason share unaired SNL skits
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(0:00) The Besties intro Mark Cuban: Voting record, working with Ross Perot's campaign in 1992
(5:43) The history of Cuban's love/hate relationship with Trump
(19:08) Trump's performance as President: what he got right and wrong
(40:46) Party nominations: Kamala vs. Trump
(49:18) Biden's performance as President: what he got right and wrong
(55:45) Should Kamala share blame for Biden's failures?
(1:07:01) International conflict, national debt, crypto regulation
(1:21:33) General sense of Kamala Harris, why she's been avoiding adversarial interviews, why Sacks supports Trump
(1:31:47) Selling a majority of his Mavericks stake, changing business landscape of the NBA, what he's working on at Cost Plus Drugs
(1:44:50) Thoughts on AI, what's next for him
(1:51:37) Relationship with Elon, re-evaluating the Twitter deal, OpenAI's new fundraise
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Referenced in the show:
https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=mcrfpus2&f=m
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEBTN
https://www.architecturaldigest.com/story/wait-are-windowless-bedrooms-going-to-be-a-thing
(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg!
(0:21) Sacks intros John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs
(1:32) What is the Deep State Party, and what are their goals?
(13:56) Should America leverage its power against dictators?
(22:07) The China threat: avoiding the escalatory path to nuclear war
(36:08) India's growing role; are China's wounds self-inflicted?
(47:07) Conflict in the Middle East and the path to peace
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(0:00) Bestie intros: In Memoriam
(6:43) OpenAI's $150B valuation: bull and bear cases
(24:46) Will AI hurt or help SaaS incumbents?
(40:41) Implications from OpenAI's for-profit conversion
(49:57) Meta's impressive new AR glasses: is this the killer product for the age of AI?
(1:09:05) Blue collar boom: trades are becoming more popular with young people as entry-level tech jobs dry up
(1:20:55) Risk of nuclear war increasing
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Referenced in the show:
https://openai.com/our-structure
https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/1658664383717978112
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1839121268521492975
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/26/zuckerberg-meta-white-house-pressure-00176399
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/16/the-toolbelt-generation-why-teens-are-losing-faith-in-college.html
https://www.wsj.com/tech/tech-jobs-artificial-intelligence-cce22393
(0:00) Bestie intros + All-In Summit recap
(6:50) Fed cuts 50 bps: Economic tailwind, scary signal, or both?
(17:35) AI is coming for call centers; how agent training works
(33:41) US government wasting $50B for rural internet and EV charging stations
(47:10) Reflecting on some rough years in VC: is the model broken?
(1:07:18) Reacting to the first Trump/Kamala debate, what factors will make each candidate can win or lose the race
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Referenced in the show:
https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/19/investing/stocks-fed-rate-cut/index.html
https://x.com/brendancarrfcc/status/1836079197967532497
https://reason.com/2024/05/30/7-5-billion-in-government-cash-only-built-8-e-v-chargers-in-2-5-years
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/17/spacexs-starlink-has-2500-aircraft-under-contract.html
https://x.com/brendancarrfcc/status/1836435062994121053
https://x.com/brendancarrfcc/status/1834009499931463705
https://x.com/molson_hart/status/1835650978906857948
https://x.com/danprimack/status/1824506087116058665
https://x.com/Jason/status/1768073854545449228
https://chamath.substack.com/p/2023-annual-letter
https://x.com/Jason/status/1836820167449326063
https://www.axios.com/2024/04/03/us-global-venture-capital-q1
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
https://x.com/GrageDustin/status/1836178999178866766
(0:00) Bestie intros! Jason goes "Founder Mode"
(1:03) All-In Summit lineup announcement
(9:01) Understanding "Founder Mode"
(32:52) Bolt is back in the news as Ryan Breslow goes "Founder Mode"
(52:28) Tech's Section 230 protections might be in danger after new ruling
(1:08:45) DOJ charges two Russians with infiltrating US media company
(1:22:42) Kamala's economic pivot
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Referenced in the show:
https://paulgraham.com/foundermode.html
https://x.com/chamath/status/1831003871344501069
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/PANW:NASDAQ
https://a16z.com/on-micromanagement
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0679762884
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ABNB:NASDAQ
https://www.amazon.com/Five-Dysfunctions-Team-Leadership-Fable/dp/0787960756
https://techcrunch.com/2022/01/14/online-checkout-bolt-decacorn
https://www.paymentsdive.com/news/bolt-ceo-ryan-breslow-steps-down/618058
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/10/business/bolt-start-up-ryan-breslow-investors.html
https://techcrunch.com/2023/07/21/bolt-ex-ceo-ryan-breslow-subject-of-sec-probe
https://techcrunch.com/2023/10/06/bolt-ceo-discusses-moving-on-after-sec-probe
https://www.axios.com/2024/08/22/bolt-investors-baffled
https://x.com/MikeSacksEsq/status/1828795866590896599
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0JTcxIVlQfU
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1830440852411326782
https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1366266/dl
https://www.axios.com/2024/09/05/putin-harris-trump-2024-election-russia-interference
https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/30/tech/2020-election-russia-disinformation/index.html
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
https://www.liberalpatriot.com/p/the-rise-of-vince-lombardi-democrats
(0:00) Bestie intros: Buttons are back for fall
(1:48) Reid Hoffman joins the show, reminiscing on PayPal stories with Sacks
(7:52) State of AI: Nvidia, cluster buildouts, competition
(19:51) OpenAI's corporate structure and thoughts on Elon's lawsuit
(29:09) Inflection AI's deal structure with Microsoft, Lina Khan's impact on the tech industry
(41:27) Reid's perspective on Kamala being hot swapped for Biden, funding groups that attempted to keep RFK Jr. off ballots
(52:02) Reid's thoughts on growing antisemitism
(55:03) Thoughts on Kamala's economic proposals: price caps, wealth tax, etc.
(1:04:19) How Silicon Valley views both candidates, why Reid funded legal action against Trump
(1:19:03) Robert F. Kennedy Jr. joins the show and recaps his campaign and decision to back Trump
(1:31:13) Falling out with the Democratic Party
(1:37:26) Potential role in the Trump Administration, Make America Healthy Again agenda
(1:58:01) Sacks recaps RFK Jr's campaign, RFK Jr. on Trump's legacy
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Referenced in the show:
https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-announces-financial-results-for-second-quarter-fiscal-2025
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(1:59) Labor department revises down nonfarm payrolls by 818K
(15:02) MIT publishes data from first incoming class post race-based admissions ban
(36:16) Decision 2024: State of the race, Polls vs prediction markets
(52:33) Tale of two tickets: Private sector vs. Public sector
(1:05:19) Kamala Harris supports Biden's tax plans, including a 25% wealth tax on those with more than $100M in assets
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https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
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Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1826290040374243821
https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1664788807059660800
https://www.statista.com/statistics/269959/employment-in-the-united-states
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS
https://polymarket.com/event/fed-interest-rates-september-2024?tid=1724345228774
https://x.com/chamath/status/1826360792351957141
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/06/15/us/harvard-asian-enrollment-applicants.html
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
https://x.com/Polymarket/status/1826469365069271419
https://blockworks.co/news/polymarket-july-all-time-high-trading-volumes
https://www.crfb.org/blogs/kamala-harris-agenda-lower-costs-american-families
https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/General-Explanations-FY2024.pdf
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