(0:00) Bestie intros
(3:07) The Besties welcome Box CEO Aaron Levie!
(5:40) Thoughts on Sacks's new role, what areas he can have immediate positive impact on in crypto and AI
(18:42) DOGE's first casualty and its paradigm-shifting potential
(48:25) Conspiracy Corner: What are the drones over New Jersey!?
(57:36) Zuck joins Team Elon against OpenAI, AI's competitive landscape and downstream impact on business software
(1:27:29) Google's AI turnaround, future of AI physics and video models
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Intro Music Credit:
Intro Video Credit:
Referenced in the show:
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/government-shutdown-continuing-resolution-march-14
https://x.com/Jason/status/1869816646954823916
https://docs.house.gov/billsthisweek/20241216/CR.pdf
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/government-shutdown-house-vote-continuing-resolution
https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1869730547851051029
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/continuing-resolution-government-shutdown-2024
https://x.com/VivekGRamaswamy/status/1869407887983821089
https://avalon.law.yale.edu/18th_century/fed58.asp
https://x.com/patrickc/status/1869422495985750459
https://x.com/chamath/status/1869773044832718917
https://x.com/SpeakerPelosi/status/1869871681830879256
https://x.com/RepJayapal/status/1869823494588162475
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1869485580276629975
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1869482581181554704
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1869487359420727338
https://www.wsj.com/politics/biden-white-house-age-function-diminished-3906a839
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/12/19/faa-drone-flights-are-temporarily-banned-new-jersey.html
https://www.axios.com/2024/12/19/openai-bret-taylor-nonprofit-restructuring
https://openai.com/index/scale-the-benefits-of-ai
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/25/technology/mira-murati-openai.html
https://www.theverge.com/2024/12/13/24320880/meta-california-ag-letter-openai-non-profit-elon-musk
https://x.com/DailyPalantir/status/1869097046889882057
(0:00) The Besties welcome Keith Rabois!
(4:01) Keith explains why he returned to Khosla Ventures, the differences between Founders Fund and Khosla, and his husband Jacob Helberg's role in Trump Admin
(13:09) Business acumen of Trump's cabinet and appointees, diversity of opinion
(25:59) Google's new quantum chip: potential impact on encryption, cryptography, and more
(43:50) Apple developing new server chip for AI inference, iOS flop, why its product culture is failing
(54:30) TikTok panics after appeals court upholds the "divest-or-ban" law, with a January 19th deadline
(1:03:55) State of Venture Capital, why Stripe is still private, thoughts on crypto
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Intro Music Credit:
Intro Video Credit:
Referenced in the show:
https://www.tiktok.com/@frankielapenna/video/7010077215576575238
https://www.axios.com/2024/12/06/trump-billionaires-cabinet-elon-musk
https://blog.google/technology/research/google-willow-quantum-chip
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-08449-y
https://research.google/blog/suppressing-quantum-errors-by-scaling-a-surface-code-logical-qubit
https://quantumai.google/roadmap
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hartmut_Neven
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Double-slit_experiment
https://www.discovery.com/science/Double-Slit-Experiment
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Schr%C3%B6dinger%27s_cat
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/apple-is-working-on-ai-chip-with-broadcom?rc=pxkrxo
https://x.com/rabois/status/870673635375104000
https://www.amazon.com/Company-Giants-Conversations-Visionaries-Digital/dp/0070329656
https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/09/tech/bytedance-tiktok-halt-us-ban-intl/index.html
https://apnews.com/article/tiktok-us-ban-sale-china-congress-de12b4d22aa8095e62cb0982a6e62235
https://apnews.com/article/tiktok-ban-congress-bill-1c48466df82f3684bd6eb21e61ebcb8d
https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q3-2024-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/12/12/servicetitan-starts-trading-on-nasdaq-after-ipo.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/11/business/dealbook/ftc-trump-ferguson-khan.html
(0:00) Bestie announcement!
(2:53) Gavin Baker and Joe Lonsdale join the show
(4:14) State of the Trump Bump: Debt focus, Deregulation, America's lucky position
(20:08) Trump nominates Paul Atkins as SEC Chair, replacing Gary Gensler: What this means for crypto and other markets
(41:07) Thoughts on Michael Saylor's Bitcoin play, state of defense tech, and the US/China AI competition
(49:25) xAI's massive GPU cluster, expanding to 1M GPUs, how Grok 3 will test AI scaling laws, and what's next
(1:08:28) UnitedHealth CEO murdered, reactions
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Intro Music Credit:
Intro Video Credit:
Referenced in the show:
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113603133222686186
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/04/business/trump-sec-paul-atkins.html
https://x.com/davidmarcus/status/1862654506774810641
https://www.ft.com/content/9c0516cf-dd12-4665-aa22-712de854fe2f
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/12/04/nyregion/brian-thompson-uhc-ceo-shot
https://nypost.com/2024/12/06/media/taylor-lorenz-defends-unitedhealthcare-ceo-brian-thompson-jokes
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(1:54) Breaking down the DOGE roadmap
(24:28) Milei's impact, DOGE's tight timeline, impact on GDP growth, "default sustainable," how to communicate DOGE
(48:11) WW3 risk: Biden's recent escalation
(1:00:43) Science Corner: Fat cells can remember being fat!
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https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular
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Intro Music Credit:
Intro Video Credit:
Referenced in the show:
https://x.com/BehizyTweets/status/1859364239229821022
https://x.com/sfliberty/status/1858936359949304105
https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1859946626271388068
https://x.com/realdogenews/status/1859233043686334791
https://x.com/popeye31jc/status/1859233598328492360
https://x.com/MattForVA/status/1859248996377612755
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8NLzc9kobDk
https://tradingeconomics.com/argentina/inflation-cpi
https://x.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1858258226199818595
https://x.com/Pismo_B/status/1858018620456186221
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/10/31/world/europe/russia-gains-ukraine-maps.html
https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/17/politics/biden-authorizes-ukraine-missiles-russian-targets/index.html
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(7:57) Election impact on Bitcoin, crypto, and fintech stocks
(21:56) M&A and IPOs: What to expect in 2025
(39:52) Pharma advertising on cable tv: Should it be allowed? Is big pharma buying influence?
(58:17) FBI raids Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan's home
(1:05:51) Trump's transition picks: Strategy, highest upside/downside, and more
Get tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!:
https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular
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Intro Music Credit:
Intro Video Credit:
Referenced in the show:
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BTC-USD
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/13/cpi-inflation-october-2024.html
https://x.com/elerianm/status/1857297087010107728
https://x.com/chamath/status/1359248379377762310
https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-bill/4763/text
https://stockanalysis.com/ipos/statistics
https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q2-2024-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1848055198494728496
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/13/business/media/msnbc-fox-news-ratings-election.html
https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1856208378541769076
https://www.americanrhetoric.com/speeches/PDFFiles/Mark-Zuckerberg-Letter-on-Govt-Censorship.pdf
https://x.com/shayne_coplan/status/1856838409861386722
https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8478-22
https://x.com/shayne_coplan/status/1856808022481539192
https://fortune.com/crypto/2024/10/30/polymarket-trump-election-crypto-wash-trading-researchers
https://x.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1852863585375977877
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(4:55) Sacks recaps election night at Mar-a-Lago
(8:28) Analyzing the results: how Trump won, why Kamala and the Democratic Party lost
(25:55) The failing Democratic coalition, campaign spend disparity, Trump's advantage in earned media
(37:59) What mattered most: Policy, Candidate, or Campaign?
(50:44) GOP will likely win House and Senate, potential cabinet positions, avoiding neocons
(1:10:42) Cabinet positions, shaking up the unelected bureaucratic branch
(1:28:47) California rejects progressives
(1:35:17) Abortion laws being settled around the US
Get tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!:
https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular
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Intro Music Credit:
Intro Video Credit:
Referenced in the show:
https://x.com/twobitidiot/status/1854192602985255042
https://www.270towin.com/2024-election-results-live/president
https://x.com/ChrisCillizza/status/1854515791690953066
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_e8-KX3XKL8
https://x.com/Jason/status/1854209590424121464
https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1854045298475110779
https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1854342908356297068
https://x.com/arifleischer/status/1854270972775305291
https://www.fec.gov/data/spending-bythenumbers/?office=P
https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1829383729284067659
https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/trump-very-fine-people
https://x.com/TheRabbitHole84/status/1840977783247286429
https://www.cnn.com/election/2024
https://polymarket.com/event/house-control-after-2024-election
https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1854536321282519396
https://www.instagram.com/p/DCFJ4mlsmEG/?hl=en
https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1854202717637411199
https://x.com/chamath/status/1854229735477551600
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-abortion.html
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(5:40) US Real GDP growth comes in at 2.8%, but there are underlying issues
(29:16) Google earnings: YouTube and Cloud post huge quarters, would they have survived outside of Google?
(36:24) Sacks's idea to auction off public spectrum licenses of major broadcast networks
(42:17) How the media became one of the least trusted institutions in the US
(54:26) Why Joe Rogan's interview with Trump was not appearing in YouTube search results
(1:08:54) Final pre-election segment: how it's tracking, election integrity, voter fraud stats
Get notified for the Election Night Livestream:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D4Xaqgd9-Ro
Get tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!:
https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular
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Intro Music Credit:
Intro Video Credit:
Referenced in the show:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10
https://x.com/freesites_com/status/1851615700869144908
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYONGDA188S
https://www.commercebank.com/about-us/prime-rate-update
https://www.fdic.gov/system/files/2024-05/unrealized-gains-losses-on-investment-securities.png
https://abc.xyz/assets/71/a5/78197a7540c987f13d247728a371/2024q3-alphabet-earnings-release.pdf
https://variety.com/2024/digital/news/youtube-q3-2024-advertising-revenue-growth-1236193926
https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1818467743479542130
https://news.gallup.com/poll/512861/media-confidence-matches-2016-record-low.aspx
https://news.gallup.com/poll/508169/historically-low-faith-institutions-continues.aspx
https://www.axios.com/2023/10/24/americans-trust-in-media-plummets-to-historic-low-poll
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/10/28/jeff-bezos-washington-post-trust
https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1850277560816681255
https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1850979360037356001/photo/1
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(3:49) Announcement: Besties are hosting The All-In Holiday Spectacular in San Francisco on December 7th! Get tickets: https://allin.com/events
(9:08) Macro and markets: making sense of unique asset diversions
(27:23) Gen Z's economic cultural movements
(38:28) Reallocating assets for a new period of constraints
(53:52) Election update: Data leans Trump as we enter the home stretch
(1:19:01) Is Starbucks fixable? Or has it hit market saturation?
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Intro Music Credit:
Intro Video Credit:
Referenced in the show:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GCW00:COMEX
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BTC-USD
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/10/cpi-inflation-september-2024.html
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/A091RC1Q027SBEA
https://www.banque-france.fr/en/statistics/compagnies/business-failures-france-2024-09
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/14/more-than-half-of-gen-z-want-to-be-influencers-but-its-constant.html
https://pro.morningconsult.com/analyst-reports/influencer-marketing-trends-report
https://www.longtermtrends.net/market-cap-to-gdp-the-buffett-indicator
https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/memo/ruminating-on-asset-allocation
https://www.macrotrends.net/2577/sp-500-pe-ratio-price-to-earnings-chart
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/opinion/election-polls-results-trump-harris.html
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/24/polymarket-trump-french-election-bet.html
https://x.com/scubaryan_/status/1848072120699625968
https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/23/politics/video/border-wall-kamala-harris-cnn-town-hall-digvid
https://x.com/justintrudeau/status/1849467713711710699
https://x.com/scubaryan_/status/1848072120699625968
https://awfulannouncing.com/barstool/dave-portnoy-turned-down-kamala-harris-interview.html
(0:00) Bestie intros
(2:01) Polls vs Prediction markets, dueling interviews, election update
(16:06) Tesla's Robotaxi event and SpaceX's Starship catch
(27:36) Uber reportedly looking into acquiring Expedia
(45:19) Nuclear Vibe Shift? Big tech is looking toward nuclear solutions to power AI
(1:11:10) Lawfare from the California Coastal Commission
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Intro Music Credit:
Intro Video Credit:
Referenced in the show:
https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1729285428575
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1846826782797799580
https://x.com/collinrugg/status/1845472475322462468
https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1839424008900477354
https://www.ft.com/content/94a25bf7-e62b-462a-a4f0-e4feb6e244f7
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/EXPE:NASDAQ
https://companiesmarketcap.com/expedia/revenue
https://x.com/Jason/status/1847016512583786921
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/16/california-coastal-commission-elon-musk-00184017
(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg
(0:18) Besties intro JD Vance!
(3:33) America's innovation problem
(5:04) Thoughts on Trump
(8:53) Would JD Vance have certified the election in 2020?
(12:02) Increasing government efficiency, shrinking the deficit, Vance's role as VP, thoughts on EOs
(19:35) Political realignment: Dick Cheney endorses Kamala Harris, winners and losers of the last 30 years
(23:58) Thoughts on Lina Khan clamping down on tech M&A and her impact on the startup ecosystem
(25:55) Fixing the Southern Border
(32:16) How to practically approach deportations, who's coming in through the Southern Border?
(36:51) Relationship with China
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Intro Music Credit:
Intro Video Credit:
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(3:18) The science behind Hurricanes Helene and Milton
(14:59) The economics of intensifying natural disasters
(29:03) AlphaFold creators win Nobel Prize in Chemistry
(35:17) The Jayter's Ball
(38:53) Google antitrust update: DOJ is going for a breakup
(53:32) VC giveback: CRV will return ~$275M of a $500M fund to LPs
(1:03:44) New TikTok survey shows increased usage as a news source
(1:15:26) Election update: Are polling problems causing a strategy shift for Kamala Harris?
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Intro Music Credit:
Intro Video Credit:
Referenced in the show:
https://x.com/Ry_Bass/status/1844367980249178396
https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/september-2024-enso-update-binge-watch
https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-024-01442-3
https://x.com/vkhosla/status/1844166857655533811
https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hrd_sub/sfury.html
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-024-03214-7
https://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/rtKjE02hAh_k/v0
https://x.com/AOC/status/1844034727935988155
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/02/technology/crv-vc-fund-returning-money.html
https://www.axios.com/2023/03/03/founders-fund-slashes-vc-peter-thiel
https://www.pewresearch.org/data-labs/2024/10/08/who-u-s-adults-follow-on-tiktok
https://x.com/iapolls2022/status/1844418916107341948
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