FiveThirtyEight Politics

ABC News, 538, FiveThirtyEight, Galen Druke

The 538 team covers the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.

  • 43 minutes 5 seconds
    The Harris Campaign Begins

    In the span of just two days, Vice President Kamala Harris consolidated support within the Democratic Party and is well on her way to securing the Democratic nomination for president. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Mary Radcliffe and Geoffrey Skelley about what has and hasn’t changed in the newly reshaped 2024 presidential race.

    Harris won’t have the same challenges President Joe Biden faced when it came to perceptions of his age, and already it appears some young voters and voters of color have swung in her direction. But, similar to Biden, voters largely view Harris as more liberal than they’d like on policy.

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    25 July 2024, 8:52 pm
  • 34 minutes 23 seconds
    Biden Drops Out

    In this weekend installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew reacts to President Joe Biden dropping out of the 2024 race.

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    21 July 2024, 11:31 pm
  • 25 minutes 39 seconds
    Trump Breaks With RNC Message On Night 4

    On the final night of the Republican National Convention, Donald Trump accepted the Republican nomination and spoke publicly for the first time since his attempted assassination.

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    19 July 2024, 8:11 am
  • 34 minutes 43 seconds
    JD Vance Aims To Reframe The GOP On Night 3 Of The RNC

    In this late-night installment of the 538 Politics podcast, senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich and New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik join Galen to help make sense of the third night of the Republican National Convention. Plus: How should we interpret polls that show a majority of Democrats want President Joe Biden to step aside?

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    18 July 2024, 9:31 am
  • 35 minutes 30 seconds
    The GOP Projects Unity On Night 2 Of The RNC

    In this late-night installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew reacts to the first two days of the Republican National Convention. They also discuss the latest developments in President Joe Biden’s efforts to stay atop the Democratic ticket.

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    17 July 2024, 9:25 am
  • 20 minutes 43 seconds
    Reaction Podcast: Vance Is Trump’s Running Mate

    In this bonus installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew discusses former president Donald Trump’s choice of running mate: Ohio senator J.D. Vance. The “Hillbilly Elegy” author is unique among past running mates for his lack of political experience — and for his beard. What kind of running mate might he be? And will it matter?

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    15 July 2024, 10:36 pm
  • 37 minutes 27 seconds
    Making Sense Of Political Violence In America

    In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew reacts to the assassination attempt against former President Donald Trump. They discuss the impact on the country and community and also look at public opinion data on political violence. They also look at historical examples of such violence and track how lawmakers are reacting today.

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    15 July 2024, 9:32 pm
  • 43 minutes 15 seconds
    The Biden Stalemate Continues

    The purgatory continues. The number of lawmakers saying President Joe Biden should not run for reelection continues to tick up, while Biden’s answer — that he is staying in the race — remains the same. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, we look at data on which lawmakers are calling on Biden to step aside and who is continuing to support him.

    The RNC also released its proposed platform this week and we use a good or bad use of polling example to better understand whether former President Donald Trump’s (and Biden's) policies are popular.

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    11 July 2024, 9:37 pm
  • 31 minutes 21 seconds
    Can Biden Hold On?

    As the Senate returns to Washington for the first time since President Joe Biden’s disastrous debate performance, the president appears to be digging in his heels. In a letter to Democratic lawmakers sent Monday morning, Biden was adamant that he is staying in the presidential race. But it does not seem like the interested parties are taking Biden’s insistence as the final word on the issue. With just six weeks until the Democratic National Convention, how does this all end?

    And following landmark elections in Britain and France, we travel across the pond for an international edition of “good or bad use of polling.”

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    8 July 2024, 8:30 pm
  • 38 seconds
    Exclusive: President Biden Sits Down with ABC News

    President Joe Biden, in an exclusive interview with ABC News anchor George Stephanopoulos that aired Friday night, acknowledged last week's debate was a "bad episode" but pushed back strongly against broader questions about his age and mental fitness. Biden's sit-down with ABC News was his first television interview since the June 27 debate.

    Hear the interview now, in its entirety, on ABC News' "Start Here" podcast: Apple Podcasts (http://bit.ly/3VmuAnm), Spotify (http://bit.ly/3j947fm), Amazon Music (http://bit.ly/3FGMkDT), or wherever you listen.

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    6 July 2024, 1:08 am
  • 40 minutes 34 seconds
    Making Sense Of A Historic British Election

    Happy Fourth of July! To celebrate our independence from Great Britain, the 538 Politics podcast is actually turning its attention to the United Kingdom's upcoming election.

    The U.K. is holding its first national election in four and a half years on July 4 and the polling suggests the Labour Party will make historic gains, booting Conservatives from power for the first time in 14 years. To get a sense of the forces behind the dramatic shift since 2019, two longtime friends of the podcast weigh in.

    Helen Thompson is a professor of political economy at Cambridge University and host of the "These Times" podcast. David Runciman is a professor of politics at Cambridge and host of the podcast "Past Present Future."

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    4 July 2024, 9:30 am
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