Insights Now

Dr. David Kelly, J.P. Morgan Asset Management

Listen to the latest insights from Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, where he sits down with a variety of thought leaders for a conversational breakdown of big ideas, future trends, emerging topics and their investment implications to help inform building stronger investment plans for the long-term.

  • 29 minutes 31 seconds
    Alternative Realities: Exploring alternatives in 2025

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    Despite last year's excellent returns in public markets, alternative assets are garnering increased attention due to their income diversification benefits, high equity valuations and the potential for above-trend inflation. As alternative investments become more accessible to the public, allocations to these assets are expected to rise in the coming years. This trend underscores the importance of general education and thought leadership in the field of alternative investments. This is precisely the mission of the Guide to Alternatives and the Alternative Realities podcast. On this episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Aaron Mulvihill, the newest Global Market Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, who will be focusing specifically on alternative assets.

    Resources:

    10 January 2025, 9:45 pm
  • 16 minutes 45 seconds
    Insights Now 2024 wrapped

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    The end of the year is near, and that means everyone is comparing their Spotify Wrapped and Apple Music Replays, making the case for why their most-listened-to song is the best. We wanted to do something similar for Insights Now. That is why, for our final episode of season 12, we will reflect on some of the most important takeaways from the 23 episodes we recorded this year. From exploring the fastest-growing themes in alternatives to navigating the complexities of the U.S. election, we’ve covered a lot of ground, so stay tuned as we recap our “greatest hits” of 2024.

    This episode explores the main themes and insights from the past year. Dr. David Kelly is joined by Gabriela Santos, the Chief Strategist for the Americas at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, and new co-host for the Insights Now podcast.

    Resources:

    Explore the full Investment Outlook here

    Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify

    1 January 2025, 11:00 am
  • 20 minutes 54 seconds
    Alternative Realities: Unlocking the potential of transport assets in modern portfolios

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    In this episode of Alternative Realities, we’re going to explore the transportation sector's resilience amid geopolitical and market disruptions. we'll talk about how transport assets, like ships and planes, have shown stability during events such as the pandemic and geopolitical tensions. The discussion highlights the sector's critical role in global trade, the impact of regulations like the Jones Act and the evolving landscape influenced by tariffs and China's economic activity.

     

    Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist is joined by Anurag Agarwal, Head Portfolio Manager for our Global Transportation Group, to discuss the distinction between opportunistic and core investment strategies in the transport sector, emphasizing the stability and income potential of leasing critical transport assets.

     

    Resources:

    27 December 2024, 3:09 pm
  • 18 minutes 51 seconds
    The “new 60/40” portfolio

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    In recent years, the notion of “correct” portfolio construction has been challenged and diversification has become unpopular. Stocks and bonds have shown an increased propensity to move together, calling into question the efficacy of the classic “60/40” portfolio. Moreover, sustained outperformance in select segments of global financial markets has caused portfolios to drift away from target allocations and left many investors with little motivation to allocate elsewhere. However, with a new year comes new forces driving markets, and the winners of the past may not be the winners of the future. To prepare portfolios for any unforeseen risks that may arise in 2025, diversification remains the best option, although the ways in which investors can diversify may look different than before.

    To share his thoughts on diversification in the year ahead, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Jack Manley, Global Market Strategist here at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

    Resources:

    Explore the full Investment Outlook here

    Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify

    19 December 2024, 6:50 pm
  • 14 minutes 42 seconds
    Alternative Realities: Navigating the future of infrastructure

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    The pandemic, geopolitical tension and climate change have revived industrial policy around the globe. In the U.S., the IIJA, IRA, and CHIPs act collectively represent the largest investment in infrastructure since the Cold War. In particular, there are significant opportunities in modernizing and expanding the electrical grid as decarbonization and data centers drive up demand. In addition to these secular tailwinds, core infrastructure’s steady, uncorrelated cash flows make it a valuable portfolio diversifier. Today, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Chris Simard, an Investment Specialist in the J.P. Morgan Infrastructure and Investment Group, to parse through all of this and more.

    Resources:

    12 December 2024, 9:48 pm
  • 12 minutes 24 seconds
    Alternative Realities: Challenges to triumphs in real estate

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    In this episode of Alternative Realities, we’re going to be exploring the current landscape of commercial real estate, highlighting opportunities beyond the office sector. We’ll talk about the ongoing housing shortage in the U.S., which has been made worse by past overbuilding, lack of workers and zoning issues. The industrial sector is thriving, driven by the rise in e-commerce and logistics, with a significant increase in delivery vehicles. Retail is evolving, with neighborhood strip centers and high-end luxury performing well, while middle-tier malls struggle. Real estate is a valuable component of investment portfolios, offering risk mitigation, inflation protection and consistent cash flow.

    Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist is joined by Chad Tredway, Head of Real Estate Americas at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to discuss the opportunities he’s seeing on the market. Chad leads our investment management business in the United States for real estate and his team focuses on the $70 billion of real estate that we own.

    Timestamps:

    • Introduction (00:00)
    • Direct vs. Public market real estate investment (01:19)
    • Housing shortage in the U.S. (02:23)
    • The J.P. Morgan approach to single-family rentals (03:41)
    • Office space recovery post-COVID (05:34)
    • Industrial space and delivery trends (07:15)
    • Retail space outlook (08:26)
    • Real estate in investment portfolios (10:34)

    Resources:

    For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing

    Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify

    27 November 2024, 12:18 pm
  • 16 minutes 38 seconds
    Asset allocation in the year ahead

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    As we usher in a new year, the investment landscape is almost certainly set to change. That’s why in our twelfth season of Insights Now titled, “Preparing for the path forward,” Dr. David Kelly will sit down with portfolio managers and strategists from across J.P. Morgan to discuss their key takeaways from 2024, and what they expect from the economy and markets in 2025. With the new year just around the corner, tune in to hear what opportunities we are most excited about, and what risks we are most mindful of, heading into the new year. With the U.S. election in the rear-view mirror and the Federal Reserve finally easing policy, the forces driving financial markets in 2025 could differ greatly from 2024. Policy uncertainty should step in for election uncertainty, and the monetary policy debate will center around how quickly the Fed will cut, not when it will begin cutting. Still, with the U.S. economy displaying impressive resilience and structural tailwinds supporting prospects abroad, there remains a wide menu of attractive opportunities for investors to consider across global stocks and bonds, and plenty of ways to diversify. That said, markets can move quickly. Investors striving for alpha should be active in portfolios and allocate to their highest conviction ideas instead of sitting passively on the sidelines. To share some of his highest conviction ideas for the year ahead, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Phil Camporeale, Portfolio Manager in our Multi Asset Solutions group here at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

    Resources:

    For more resources visit our website

    Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify

    21 November 2024, 10:11 pm
  • 20 minutes 12 seconds
    Alternative Realities: Powering portfolios with alternatives

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    In this episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Ash Williams, Vice Chair of J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Ash served as Chief Investment Officer and Executive Director of the Florida State Board of Administration, where he oversaw $250 billion in assets. He has extensive experience as an institutional investor in both public and private markets. Throughout their conversation, they cover a range of topics surrounding the importance of alternatives in a portfolio and the best approach to constructing a portfolio with alternatives.

    Timestamps:

    • Introduction (00:00:00)
    • Risk and return within alternatives (01:27)
    • Allocating capital toward alternatives (04:37)
    • Process of picking specific alternatives (06:30)
    • Institutional vs. individual portfolio allocations to alternatives (13:01)
    • Importance of manager selection (15:40)
    • Opportunities in alternatives today (17:06)

    Resources:

    For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing

    Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify

    14 November 2024, 8:01 pm
  • 25 minutes 23 seconds
    Alternative Realities: Investing in the future of healthcare

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    On previous episodes, we’ve discussed the muted return outlook for a traditional 60/40 portfolio, and the return enhancing potential of Private Equity and Venture Capital. As companies wait longer to IPO, investors are turning to private markets for access to the fastest growing part of a business’s lifecycle. In this episode, we’re going to explore the opportunities in private healthcare and biotechnology. Dr. David Kelly is joined by Gaurav Gupta, Managing Partner of Life Science Private Capital within J.P. Morgan Private Capital. He is a neurosurgeon turned investor, and we’re so excited to have him here to discuss the trends he’s seeing in the market.

    Timestamps:

    • Typical healthcare investments (1:01)
    • Investing in private healthcare vs. public healthcare (5:42)
    • Private equity exits and valuations in healthcare (9:13)
    • AI and drug development in healthcare (10:56)
    • Regulatory changes within healthcare investment (16:06)
    • Best opportunities in healthcare investment (18:33)

    Resources:

    31 October 2024, 7:34 pm
  • 23 minutes 4 seconds
    Alternative Realities: Democratizing access to alternatives

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    On previous episodes, we’ve discussed what’s called the “democratization of alternatives.” Put simply, alternatives have become more accessible to individuals as the investment vehicles have evolved to address pain points like high minimums and long lockup periods. Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, is joined by Anastasia Amoroso, the Chief Investment Strategist at iCapital. The platform is designed to help clients navigate the world of alternative investments. We’ll hear from Anastasia about what iCapital does to help individuals feel confident investing in alternatives, as well as her perspective on the trends we’re seeing in the market.

    Resources:

    For more resources on the Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing

    Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify

    24 October 2024, 8:57 pm
  • 19 minutes 58 seconds
    Taxes, deficits and federal debt, “Oh my!”

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    The U.S election is just a few short weeks away, and many investors are picking through campaign-trail noise to decipher what policies each administration would pursue and their implications. With both Former President Trump’s and Vice President Harris’s campaigns promising hefty amounts of spending but few clues on how it will be funded, the longer-term trajectory for taxes, the deficit and federal debt is largely uncertain, but must be addressed. According to the Congressional Budget Office, U.S. debt held by the public as a percent of GDP is expected to increase from a likely 98% in fiscal 2024 to over 120% in 2034. This assumes that provisions from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act sunset as scheduled and increase taxes by $4 trillion at the end of 2025. If these tax cuts are extended, however, debt held by the public could rise to 130% of GDP over the same period. Regardless, policies from either side of the aisle will impact the fiscal health of the United States, and as a result, the balance of risks and opportunities that investors must consider when building portfolios.

    Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, is back with Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist here at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to discuss the different paths forward for fiscal policy.

    Resources:

    For more resources on the U.S. elections visit our Election Insights hub

    Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify

     

    24 October 2024, 7:28 pm
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