Talking Real Money - Investing Talk

Don McDonald

Simple, sensible advice of making, saving, investing, and protecting your money.

  • 44 minutes 36 seconds
    Final Broadcast - One

    The final live radio episode of Talking Real Money blends nostalgia, listener appreciation, and core investing philosophy. Don and Tom reflect on nearly four decades of broadcasting while reinforcing their timeless message: consistent investing beats prediction. Using a simple S&P 500 example, they illustrate how discipline—not brilliance—builds wealth. They address current market declines with calm realism, urging listeners to ignore noise and stick to a plan. Calls cover everything from podcast transition logistics and annuity sales traps to credit freezes, tax surprises from brokerage accounts, and when to fire an advisor—ending the radio era exactly as it ran: practical, skeptical, and relentlessly investor-first.

    0:04 Emotional opening and end of the radio era

    0:46 Show history back to 1988 and investing perspective

    1:55 $500/month S&P 500 example → ~$3.1M outcome

    2:43 Market fears vs long-term investing reality

    5:16 Podcast growth to #43 in U.S. investing category

    6:40 Market drop discussion and “what should you do?”

    7:29 Core advice: plan, ignore predictions, stay disciplined

    8:57 Podcast call-in format going forward (Car Talk style)

    11:01 How to challenge annuity salespeople effectively

    13:22 Call from Paul Merriman reflecting on legacy

    16:55 Listener success story: Roth IRA to $500K

    20:32 Credit score drop and how to check/freezes

    26:35 Why freezing credit is a smart default move

    27:47 Tax shock from brokerage gains and hidden trading issues

    32:11 Warning signs of poor advisor behavior (Wells Fargo case)

    34:08 When to fire an advisor (fees, complexity, value gap)

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    31 March 2026, 3:28 pm
  • 29 minutes 5 seconds
    College Pays

    This episode mixes studio banter with a surprisingly substantive look at education and investing trade-offs. Don and Tom walk through data on the lowest-paying college majors, highlighting that many bachelor’s degrees—especially in education and the arts—start and stay low in income unless paired with advanced study. They push back on the idea that college isn’t worth it, citing Federal Reserve data showing higher lifetime earnings, better job stability, and longer life expectancy for graduates, while emphasizing the real danger: taking on large debt for low-paying fields. Listener questions cover Roth conversions (worth considering carefully within tax brackets), why 529 plans still beat so-called “Trump accounts,” and the flaws in covered-call income ETFs like JEPI—ultimately reinforcing their core philosophy: ignore gimmicks, focus on total return, and keep investing simple.

    0:04 Almost-live intro from “studio” (aka broom closet) and end of radio era

    2:10 Lowest-paying college majors and why outcomes vary

    3:23 Pharmacy (without grad school) and theology incomes

    4:22 Social services, performing arts, and education pay realities

    5:42 Liberal arts debate—value vs. earning potential

    7:42 Biology, hospitality, psychology, and other $45K careers

    9:22 Should you skip college? ROI vs. cost and debt

    10:44 Federal Reserve data on college ROI and lifetime earnings

    11:48 Job stability, longevity, and socioeconomic effects of degrees

    12:42 Mid-career earnings—education still lags badly

    14:32 The real issue: debt vs. income mismatch

    16:45 Roth conversion question—when it might (and might not) make sense

    19:21 529 plans vs. “Trump accounts” for kids’ savings

    20:59 Covered call ETFs (JEPI, etc.) and income strategy pitfalls

    22:06 Why income-focused funds don’t reduce risk

    23:07 Expense drag and hidden costs in “income” ETFs

    24:14 Gimmick investing vs. simple total return strategy

    25:43 Bellevue weather, Lyft misadventure, and wrap-up

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    30 March 2026, 5:21 pm
  • 22 minutes 39 seconds
    Asking Away

    A lively Friday Q&A kicks off with some unintended voice effects courtesy of Don’s grandkids before diving into listener questions on money market funds versus high-yield savings accounts, Roth vs. traditional 401(k) decisions in high tax brackets, expense ratios in fund-of-funds like Avantis ETFs, the limited value of international bonds, the reality behind indexed annuity caps, and whether investors should ever move beyond simple one-fund portfolios. The throughline: keep it simple, understand risk vs. safety, and don’t overestimate your ability to outsmart well-constructed investment strategies.

    0:04 Grandkids + Rodecaster voice effects open

    1:55 HYSA vs. Schwab money market funds (SWVXX, Treasury MMFs)

    3:54 Risk spectrum: prime vs. government money markets

    5:35 Why some online banks are ditching ACH transfers

    6:54 Roth vs. traditional 401(k) in a high tax bracket

    8:11 Blended strategy and tax flexibility over time

    10:21 AVGV expense ratio—are fees stacked?

    10:47 Fund-of-funds pricing explained (no double dipping)

    11:41 International bonds: worth it or unnecessary complexity?

    13:22 Indexed annuity caps—can they go up? (the reality)

    15:33 Why indexed annuities remain opaque and costly

    16:08 One-fund portfolios vs. DIY allocation thresholds

    17:42 Why simplicity often beats customization

    18:47 Don’s own one-fund 401(k) approach

    19:32 Plug: Short Storyverses podcasts

    20:06 Plug: Financial Fysics Kindle release

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    27 March 2026, 5:37 pm
  • 27 minutes 43 seconds
    Your Retirement Number

    The idea of a universal “retirement number” gets dismantled as misleading and overly simplistic, with Don and Tom arguing that retirement planning is deeply personal and depends on spending, income sources, and lifestyle. They walk through a practical way to calculate your own number—starting with real spending, subtracting Social Security and any pension, and determining what your portfolio must generate—while warning against blind reliance on rules like the $1 million target or aggressive withdrawal rates. The episode also tackles listener questions on ETF expense differences, early retirement withdrawal rules, and a real-world case involving retirement income and long-term care planning, emphasizing conservative strategies and the importance of housing equity in later-life care decisions.

    0:04 The myth of “your retirement number”

    0:28 Why $1 million became the default—and why it’s wrong

    2:17 Inflation and the erosion of the “millionaire” benchmark

    2:39 The only correct answer: “it depends”

    3:17 The 4% rule origin and its limitations

    4:04 How to actually calculate your retirement number

    4:55 Northwestern Mutual’s $1.26M average—and cost skepticism

    6:11 Reality check: most retirees don’t have pensions

    6:46 The real starting point—what you actually spend

    8:11 Reverse engineering your withdrawal needs

    8:31 Why 6%+ withdrawal rates are dangerous

    9:10 The truth about “safe” withdrawal rates

    10:12 The importance of saving 15–20% early

    10:41 New website podcast player and listener access

    12:49 ETF expense differences: VBR vs VSIAX discussion

    16:03 Rule of 55 vs. substantially equal payments

    17:24 Listener case: $72K IRA and long-term care planning

    18:35 Why $72K won’t cover care—housing becomes the asset

    19:34 Conservative investing for near-term care needs

    20:45 Reverse mortgage as a care funding strategy

    22:23 Upcoming change: live listener calls on Fridays

    23:52 Free portfolio review offer (fiduciary advisors)

    24:51 Joke math on annuity commissions

    25:47 Closing thoughts and transition to podcast-only futur

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    26 March 2026, 4:00 pm
  • 46 minutes 14 seconds
    Retirement Myths

    As Talking Real Money moves into its final week on terrestrial radio, Don and Tom mix transition talk with a practical rundown of common retirement myths. They push back on the idea that expenses automatically fall in retirement, warn that Social Security was never meant to cover everything, and explain why relying on the market alone can be dangerous when withdrawals begin. Callers bring in questions about the sketchy-sounding Quantum X trading platform, required minimum distributions, whether a high-income worker can retire at 62, ETF bid/ask spreads, and where to hold bonds when a 401(k) offers outrageously expensive fund options. The episode also doubles as a preview of how listeners can keep calling and interacting once the show becomes podcast-only.

    0:04 Final countdown to the end of the radio show and shift to podcast-only

    1:55 Retirement myths theme introduced

    2:37 Myth #1: You’ll need less money in retirement

    4:02 Myth #2: Social Security will cover most of your needs

    5:41 Myth #3: The market will do all the heavy lifting

    7:21 Caller asks about Quantum X; Don and Tom warn it looks like nonsense or worse

    9:27 Simple alternative offered: broad diversification with VT

    10:52 Caller asks about RMD confusion across multiple accounts

    12:01 Advice to simplify scattered retirement accounts

    13:58 More digging into Quantum X raises additional scam concerns

    16:13 Caller asks if he can retire at 62 with substantial savings and pension income

    17:21 Don presses on actual spending, not income, as the key retirement measure

    21:23 Myth #4: You’ll be able to work as long as you want

    23:34 Myth #5: Taxes will be much lower in retirement

    26:13 Podcast listening gets easier through the website and apps

    29:22 Caller asks about ETF bid/ask spreads, especially DFAW versus VT

    32:55 Caller asks where to hold bonds when 401(k) bond fund costs are absurdly high

    35:12 After-hours pricing explains bizarre ETF spread quotes

    36:37 Example of a shockingly expensive Transamerica bond fund

    38:04 How listeners can keep calling and participating after radio ends

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    25 March 2026, 4:00 pm
  • 44 minutes 8 seconds
    You Can't Know

    With geopolitical tension rattling markets and investors stampeding into cash, gold, and energy, Don and Tom step back to deliver a familiar message: nobody knows what’s next—and anyone claiming otherwise is selling something. They walk through the behavioral traps of market timing, explain why diversification (especially beyond U.S. large caps) is quietly doing its job, and highlight the role of small cap and micro-cap stocks as part of a broader portfolio—not a silver bullet. Along the way, they mix in listener calls, practical tips (including liquidity strategies and avoiding irreversible investments), and a running acknowledgment that while their radio era is ending, the core mission—keeping investors from doing something dumb—isn’t going anywhere.

    0:04 CBS Radio shutdown vs. TRM leaving radio—industry shift toward podcasts

    1:32 War-driven market anxiety: money flows to cash, gold, and energy

    2:54 Interest rate expectations flip—uncertainty dominates

    3:16 Jason Zweig warning: beware “I know what’s next” pitches

    4:24 Market timing trap—getting back in is the real failure point

    5:37 Diversification reality—why global exposure smooths outcomes

    7:08 Financial Fysics Kindle release and podcast transition reminders

    9:53 “Retirement Plan” film event plug and discussion preview

    13:37 Listener question: small cap value vs. large cap performance

    15:44 Correlation explained—why asset classes don’t move in lockstep

    16:29 Small cap value premium—historical outperformance rationale

    21:49 Micro-cap ETF discussion (DFMC)—extreme diversification option

    24:47 Caution: aggressive funds are optional, not necessary

    27:52 Listener success story—laddering cash with CDs for caregiving

    33:40 Core advice: avoid irreversible financial decisions

    34:49 Liquidity matters—dangers of annuities and illiquid investments

    35:55 Wall Street “new ideas” skepticism—most benefit the seller

    36:21 Final push: transition to podcast-only format

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    24 March 2026, 7:00 pm
  • 29 minutes 5 seconds
    Icy Market

    The housing market is stuck in an unusual freeze, driven by the lingering effects of ultra-low COVID-era mortgage rates, reduced housing inventory, and sharply higher income requirements for buyers. With fewer people moving, less new construction, and more all-cash purchases, affordability has deteriorated and first-time buyers are older than ever. Don and Tom argue that homeownership is often overrated as an investment and suggest renting may be the more rational choice for many. They also tackle listener questions on Robinhood’s 2% transfer bonus (tempting but tied to a five-year lockup), comparisons between today’s market and 1929 (very different structurally), and the limits of 529-to-Roth conversion strategies. Along the way, they remind us that humans—like chimps—are irresistibly drawn to shiny objects, which often leads to poor financial decisions.

    0:04 Housing market shift and mortgage demand decline

    1:18 COVID-era rates and the “locked-in homeowner” effect

    2:23 Inventory shortage and collapse in new construction

    2:41 Income needed to buy a home jumps dramatically

    3:27 First-time buyers getting older and priced out

    4:21 Why the housing market feels “frozen”

    5:35 Mortgage rates vs. psychological anchoring to 2% loans

    6:23 Advice: rent before buying in uncertain markets

    7:36 Flexibility in location and housing expectations

    9:20 Helping family vs. accepting renting as a long-term solution

    10:05 Why homeownership is not a great investment

    11:05 Hidden and unpredictable costs of owning vs. renting

    11:56 Possible long-term shift toward renting culture

    13:46 Robinhood 2% transfer bonus—too good to be true?

    15:13 The five-year lockup and real cost of “free money”

    16:38 Temptation vs. trust issues with Robinhood

    17:18 Listener question on 1929 comparisons

    18:25 Why today’s market is fundamentally different from 1929

    20:34 Extreme leverage and speculation in the 1920s

    22:03 Regulatory differences and modern safeguards

    23:32 529 plan to Roth IRA conversion rules explained

    24:47 Beneficiary changes reset the 15-year clock

    25:29 “Shiny object” behavior and investing mistakes

    27:12 Human nature, speculation, and financial decisions

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    23 March 2026, 4:38 pm
  • 20 minutes 26 seconds
    Fewer Q Friday

    Don fields listener questions on asset allocation, advisor timing, and investing complexity with his usual bias toward simplicity and self-awareness. He emphasizes that the decision to add bonds isn’t about age but about emotional tolerance for loss, shares his own shift to a more conservative 55/45 portfolio, dismisses futures markets as largely speculative noise for most investors, and advises a listener nearing retirement that while there’s no urgency to hire an advisor, the value of planning—especially around taxes and income strategy—becomes increasingly important in the early 60s.

    0:04 Thunderstorm intro and Q&A format setup

    1:37 100% stock portfolio—when (and how) to add bonds

    5:47 Don’s personal portfolio breakdown and evolution

    10:25 Futures markets explained (and why to ignore them)

    13:00 When to hire a financial advisor approaching retirement

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    20 March 2026, 4:13 pm
  • 27 minutes 8 seconds
    Optimal Income?

    Morningstar’s latest research nudges the “safe” withdrawal rate down to 3.9%, but Don and Tom make it clear there’s no magic number—just tradeoffs. They walk through fixed vs. flexible withdrawal strategies, why spending adaptability matters more than rules of thumb, and how your goals (spend vs. leave money behind) shape everything. Listener questions tackle bond fund choices (yield vs. stability), portfolio allocation math, and whether an advisor should pay for a costly tax mistake (short answer: yes).

    0:04 The big retirement question: how much can you safely withdraw?

    0:32 Morningstar updates the “4% rule” to 3.9%

    0:55 Why their baseline uses a conservative 40/60 portfolio

    1:59 Overview of multiple withdrawal strategies (guardrails, RMDs, etc.)

    3:13 Why rules of thumb fail real people

    4:17 Flexible withdrawals vs. fixed income strategies

    5:43 Spending more vs. leaving more—values drive the decision

    6:36 Why professional planning still matters (even for pros)

    7:38 What Morningstar data shows about spending vs. ending balances

    9:05 The real key: flexibility in retirement spending

    10:22 RMD strategy—high spending, low legacy

    12:36 Listener Q: Active vs. index bond funds (yield vs. quality)

    15:09 Why bonds are about stability, not returns

    17:13 Listener Q: Portfolio allocation math (70/30 breakdown)

    17:58 How much international exposure is “right”

    19:44 Listener Q: Advisor mistake causing tax penalties

    21:20 Should advisors reimburse errors? (yes—and they usually will)

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    19 March 2026, 6:27 pm
  • 44 minutes 54 seconds
    Everything Ends

    The show opens with a major announcement: Talking Real Money is leaving terrestrial radio and going fully podcast-only, marking the end of a 16-year Saturday run. A heartfelt surprise call from Don’s wife Debbie reflects on decades of friendship, trust, and listener connection before the tone pivots back to business. The main topic takes aim at perpetual crash predictors like Robert Kiyosaki, dismantling their track records with hard numbers and highlighting the absurdity of market timing. The episode then shifts to a real-world HOA investing debate, using it as a case study to expose the risks and illusions behind “buffered” or “guaranteed” return products. The core message is simple and consistent: if it sounds too good to be true—especially anything promising safe double-digit returns—it is.

    0:04 Major announcement: show leaving radio, moving fully to podcast

    0:34 Surprise call from Debbie with emotional tribute

    2:13 Reflection on 16 years, trust, and listener impact

    3:15 Don and Tom respond to Debbie and reflect on friendship

    5:16 Setup: can anyone actually predict a market crash?

    6:41 Media fear machine and constant crash headlines

    7:44 Kiyosaki’s predictions vs real market performance

    9:52 “25 of the last 2 crashes” and the contrarian indicator joke

    11:05 Why crash predictions persist and attract attention

    12:29 Other fear-based forecasts and why they don’t help investors

    13:29 Program note: transition to podcast-only and how to listen

    14:32 Caller: rebuilding an emergency fund vs investing

    15:58 How to prioritize emergency savings vs brokerage contributions

    16:55 Managing risk and asset allocation near retirement

    17:32 Caller question: how interaction will work in podcast format

    18:57 New system for listener calls and recorded conversations

    21:40 HOA story: pressure to invest reserves in complex products

    22:54 Explanation of buffered/structured investment products

    24:06 Hidden tradeoffs: capped upside, partial downside protection

    25:00 Unknown risks and 2008 comparison

    25:47 “Do you know who I am?” moment and advisor pushback

    27:01 Reality check: no such thing as guaranteed 10% returns

    27:27 Simple logic: if 10% were safe, no one would take 4%

    28:59 “People lie about money” and incentives in finance

    30:12 Listener email: estate planning and Tom’s Starbucks joke

    32:09 RetireMeet recording availability and follow-up

    34:08 Podcast reach vs YouTube performance

    35:28 How to listen and interact with the show going forward

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    18 March 2026, 6:07 pm
  • 44 minutes 13 seconds
    Retired Broke

    As Talking Real Money prepares to leave terrestrial radio and become a podcast-only show, Tom and Don pivot from logistics to a deeper issue: the growing financial fragility of retirees. With fewer than 3% of Americans over 65 holding $1M in retirement savings and bankruptcy rates rising among seniors, they explore whether the shift from pensions to 401(k)s helped or hurt. While critics call 401(k)s a failed experiment, the hosts argue the real problem is behavior, education, and lack of early saving. Listener calls reinforce the divide—some are planning wisely in their 30s, while others highlight rising costs, lack of savings, and economic strain. The episode closes with practical withdrawal strategy discussion, a sobering look at consumer stress from a car dealer’s perspective, and a reminder that markets can’t be timed—only prepared for.

    0:04 Show moving to podcast-only format; listeners urged to switch now

    1:55 RetireMeet recap and airline misery detour

    2:44 Retirement reality: few have $1M; rising senior financial distress

    4:46 Are 401(k)s a failed experiment? Origins and debate

    7:47 Start early: advice for younger savers and families

    8:05 Listener JJ: podcast loyalty, missing question glitch

    10:47 How call-ins will work after radio show ends

    12:06 “Retirement isn’t a switch” — easing into fewer workdays

    13:52 Jason: loss of live call-in routine and future logistics

    16:53 James (35): starting early and influence of Paul Merriman

    20:13 Dave: cost of living, lack of savings, generational habits

    23:01 Education gap: financial literacy and modern retirement problem

    24:57 Retirement is new: life expectancy and historical context

    27:03 Forced savings idea vs behavioral reality

    28:11 Caller portfolio: withdrawal strategy, RMDs, tax sequencing

    31:59 Importance of personalized planning vs rules of thumb

    34:41 Car dealer insight: credit tightening, consumer stress signals

    34:59 Market reality: recessions inevitable, timing impossible

    36:21 Final push: shift to podcast listening and how to access

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    17 March 2026, 5:36 pm
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