Run the Numbers

CJ Gustafson

Run the Numbers with CJ Gustafson is a weekly podcast about financial metrics and business models, designed for ambitious people operating tech startups.

  • 50 minutes 33 seconds
    The Economics of Marketplaces: Take Rates, Middlemen, and Power

    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ breaks down the 5,000-year history of marketplaces—from Mesopotamia to Amazon—and the economics behind take rates, trust layers, and vertical unbundling. We unpack Airbnb’s fee backlash, Facebook Marketplace’s hidden value, why inventory kills platforms, and how AI will reshape discovery—without eliminating the middleman.

    SPONSORS:

    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj

    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run

    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai

    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics

    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com

    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com

    LINKS: 

    Mostly Talent: https://mostlymetrics.typeform.com/to/cLTxtAsN

    CJ: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/

    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    Slacker Stuff: https://www.slackerstuff.com/

    Ben: https://www.linkedin.com/in/slackerstuff/

    RELATED EPISODES:

    The Mindshare Advantage Marketplace Success With Boris Wertz of Version One Ventures

    https://youtu.be/kN61sAxw_yk

    The Marketplace Plus Model Explained | Colin Gardiner of Yonder VC

    https://youtu.be/VIWFVwCfyLE

    A CFO Explains the History of EBITDA

    https://youtu.be/JySZv_fSNqs

    TIMESTAMPS:

    0:00 Preview

    1:34 Marketplace Origins

    2:48 The Digital Shift

    5:55 Unbundling of Craigslist

    9:56 Sponsors — Rillet | Tabs | Abacum

    13:21 Smart Phone Revolution

    17:33 Take Rate Calculations

    21:08 When the Marketplace Crosses the Line

    24:49 Sponsors — Brex | Metronome | RightRev

    28:09 When Fees Become Friction

    30:37 The Marketplace Plus Model

    33:26 The $100B Flea Market

    36:14 The Inventory Trap

    40:07 The Disintermediation Problem

    42:35 Convenience Beats Inspection

    45:09 AI Compresses the Marketplace

    47:56 You Can’t Cut Out the Middleman

    50:03 Credits

    #RunTheNumbersPodcast #Marketplaces #PlatformEconomy #Middleman #TechStrategy

    2 March 2026, 10:02 am
  • 57 minutes 43 seconds
    The $150B Secondary Market and the Future of Venture Liquidity | Mike Jung

    CJ sits down with Mike Jung, Co-Founder and Managing Partner of Founders Circle Capital. They unpack the rise of structured liquidity, how secondaries went mainstream, and what CFOs should know before running a tender. Mike shares lessons from the dot-com era, AI’s “super cycle,” and what separates durable growth companies from hype.

    SPONSORS:

    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com

    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj

    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run

    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai

    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics

    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com

    LINKS: 

    Mostly Talent: https://mostlymetrics.typeform.com/to/cLTxtAsN

    Mike: https://www.linkedin.com/in/mikjung

    https://www.founderscircle.com/

    CJ: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/

    https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    TIMESTAMPS:

    1:08 Founder Circle origin

    3:15 The founder liquidity insight

    5:16 Staying private longer problem

    6:04 Secondary market control vs chaos

    8:44 Secondaries over IPOs

    10:12 Liquidity keeps VC alive

    11:27 Ask Jeeves dot-com lesson

    12:26 $190 to $1 + AMT reality

    13:10 Sponsors — RightRev | Rillet | Tabs

    16:39 Private share opacity risk

    20:25 Founder + employee liquidity playbooks

    21:55 Early investors need liquidity too

    22:31 Cap table math actually matters

    24:17 SPV fee stacking insanity

    25:37 Sponsors — Abacum | Brex | Metronome

    28:54 Tender offer guardrails

    30:09 Minimum vs maximum liquidity balance

    33:01 Growth stage sweet spot + IPO bar rising

    34:17 AI Cambrian explosion

    34:58 Buying fear vs buying hype

    36:29 AI growth sustainability

    37:19 Founder-led advantage + product velocity

    38:47 TAM is created, not measured

    41:06 Anti-portfolio lessons

    43:01 What is a supercycle

    44:34 Do supercycles end in crashes?

    46:16 AI’s unprecedented adoption curve

    48:31 Community as a moat

    52:50 Earning the right to be on the cap table

    26 February 2026, 10:02 am
  • 1 hour 1 minute
    Minted’s CFO: Half the Year Happens in One Month

    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Mateo Bryant, CFO of Minted. They break down Minted’s life-event flywheel and decades-long LTV, managing extreme seasonality when half the year happens in one month, and balancing long-term CAC with short-term monetization. Mateo also shares lessons from scaling Uber and Amazon globally, localization missteps, and making marketplaces work in emerging markets.

    SPONSORS:

    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai

    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics

    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com

    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com

    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj

    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run

    LINKS: 

    Mostly Talent: https://mostlymetrics.typeform.com/to/cLTxtAsN

    Mateo: https://www.linkedin.com/in/bryantmatt/

    Minted: https://www.minted.com/

    CJ: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/

    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    RELATED EPISODES:

    Peter Oey, CFO of Grab:

    https://youtu.be/tdq0AZO0dLU

    TIMESTAMPS:

    00:00 Intro

    03:16 Fixer to CFO

    05:32 Mexico City Startups

    09:00 Minted Flywheel

    10:24 LTV Expansion

    11:04 Entry Points

    12:18 CAC and Cohorts

    13:42 Sponsors: Metronome | RightRev | Rillet

    17:06 Wedding Lifecycle

    19:49 Holiday Forecasting

    22:23 Retail Calendar

    24:03 Cash Flow Swings

    25:05 Marketing Over Sales

    26:06 Email Limits

    27:41 Sponsors: Tabs | Abacum | Brex

    31:02 Retail Strategy

    35:08 Global Experience

    40:47 Uber Cash Economics

    46:04 Cost of Not Localizing

    50:19 Importer of Record

    53:17 No Google Lesson

    55:34 QBR Mistake

    56:48 High Leverage Hours

    59:03 Finance Stack

    59:50 Seven Day Cruise Expense

    #RunTheNumbersPodcast #MarketplaceStrategy #EcommerceFinance #GigEconomy #CFOInsights

    23 February 2026, 10:02 am
  • 53 minutes 50 seconds
    How a CFO Budgets for Forward Deployed Engineers

    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Varsha Udayabhanu of Invisible to unpack what enterprise AI adoption actually looks like beyond the hype. They cover forward deployed engineers, eight-week solution sprints, value-based pricing when outcomes are hard to meter, ARR vs. services revenue, and why “momentum” beats traditional SaaS metrics. A tactical look at trust, expansion, and building durable AI revenue.

    SPONSORS:

    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics

    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com

    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com

    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj

    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run

    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai

    LINKS: 

    Varsha: https://www.linkedin.com/in/varshaudayabhanu/

    Company: https://invisibletech.ai/

    CJ: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/

    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    RELATED EPISODES:

    Marketing as a Form of Capital Allocation With Carta's Head of Growth Angela Winegar

    https://youtu.be/rG09ehsrWv8

    TIMESTAMPS:

    00:00 Intro

    03:21 What Invisible Technologies Does

    05:34 Enterprise AI Adoption Gap

    07:38 Forward Deployed Engineers

    09:44 Evolving GTM in AI Services

    10:36 Solution Sprints

    12:37 Sponsor — Brex | Metronome | RightRev

    15:56 Upfront Investment vs. Upside

    18:38 Bespoke Deals

    20:37 Value-Based Pricing in Enterprise AI

    22:12 Value Sold vs. Value Delivered

    23:31 Enterprise Revenue as a Portfolio of Bets

    24:53 Time-Bound Solution Sprints

    27:06 Sponsor — Rillet | Tabs | Abacum

    30:32 Humans in the Loop & Expert Incentives

    33:38 Niche Human Expertise

    34:10 Rethinking KPIs Beyond ARR

    35:44 Momentum Metrics

    39:00 Evaluating GenAI Financial Profiles

    40:47 Expansion as the Atomic Unit

    42:19 AdTech Lessons on Distribution & Brand

    43:23 Why Brand Matters for Enterprise

    47:10 Commoditization Risk

    48:31 Long-Ass Lightning Round

    53:20 Credits

    19 February 2026, 10:02 am
  • 53 minutes 20 seconds
    What Investors Want to Hear in Board Meetings

    In this episode, CJ talks with Paul Stansik of ParkerGale Capital about what separates Simplifiers from Complicators. They unpack why most board meetings miss the point, how to answer the actual question, and why naming the real problem builds trust.

    SPONSORS:

    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai

    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics

    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com

    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com

    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj

    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run

    LINKS: 

    Paul on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paulstansik/

    ParkerGale Capital: https://www.parkergale.com/

    https://hellooperator.substack.com/

    CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/

    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    TIMESTAMPS:

    0:00 Fixing Broken Windows in Investing

    3:08 What an Operating Partner Actually Does

    5:35 Managing Nine Portfolio Companies

    6:07 Where PE Investors Spend Their Time

    9:02 Do Investors Think About You All Day?

    10:16 The Operator “Bermuda Triangle”

    12:35 Sponsors — Abacum | Brex | Metronome

    15:52 The CFO “Triangle of Doom”

    17:47 How to Become an Investor Favorite

    18:42 Templates Build Trust in Board Communication

    20:54 Using Trusted Data

    22:10 The Board Payback Record Scratch

    23:18 Building Your “Data Diet” With the Board

    25:19 Sponsors — RightRev | Rillet | Tabs

    28:47 Signs a Team Isn’t in Command

    31:30 Board Meetings Aren’t a Performance

    34:16 “20 Board Meetings—Don’t Waste Them”

    35:15 Ask Permission to Reallocate the Agenda

    37:54 When to Send Board Materials

    40:28 Simplifiers vs. Complicators

    41:58 The Simplifier Finds the One Question That Matters

    42:16 Three Traits of a Simplifier: Answer, Find, Do

    43:15 Why Complicated Operators Take You on a Ride

    44:26 Selling vs. Substance

    46:23 “Get There, Bob”

    47:25 Why We Hedge

    49:36 You Can’t Fix a Secret

    52:50 Credits

    16 February 2026, 10:02 am
  • 49 minutes 30 seconds
    Rivian’s CFO on Raising $14B and EV Economics

    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ Gustafson talks with Rivian CFO Claire McDonough about financing one of the most capital-intensive businesses in the world. They cover long-term investment decisions, capacity planning, cash management as production scales, lessons from Rivian’s nearly $14B IPO, the risks of over- and under-building, and why federal EV tax credits matter more than most people think.

    SPONSORS:

    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run

    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai

    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics

    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com

    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com

    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj

    LINKS: 

    Claire on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/claire-rauh-mcdonough-5291b946/

    Rivian: https://rivian.com/

    CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/

    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    RELATED EPISODES:

    Why Revenue Recognition Is the Next AI Battleground | Dan Miller of RightRev

    https://youtu.be/TxhTtwmOass

    TIMESTAMPS:

    00:00:00 Craziest Expense Story at Rivian

    00:01:22 Intro to Claire McDonough

    00:03:09 Capital Intensity and Vertical Integration at Rivian

    00:06:44 Raising $14B: How Rivian Planned Its IPO Capital

    00:10:22 Capacity Planning and Scaling R2 Production

    00:12:13 Sponsors — Tabs, Abacum, Brex

    00:15:34 Sweating Existing Capacity vs Overbuilding

    00:18:22 Winning EV Adoption from ICE Buyers

    00:22:27 How Federal EV Tax Credits Shape EV Pricing

    00:26:03 Sponsors — Metronome, RightRev, Rillet

    00:29:27 R2 as a Driver of Long-Term Profitability

    00:33:14 Supply Chain as the Critical Path to Launch

    00:36:53 Product Roadmap as the Anchor for Capital and Headcount

    00:39:40 Peloton and Flipkart Lessons from Banking

    00:43:42 Biggest Career Mistake

    00:44:50 Advice to Younger Self

    00:47:19 Rivian’s Finance Software Stack

    12 February 2026, 10:02 am
  • 47 minutes 6 seconds
    Why Revenue Recognition Is the Next AI Battleground | Dan Miller of RightRev

    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ Gustafson sits down with Dan Miller, CFO at RightRev. They unpack why leasing is underused in software, how RevTech emerged, and why revenue recognition may be the next AI battleground. Dan also shares how he evaluates durable growth vs. hypergrowth.

    SPONSORS:

    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj

    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run

    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai

    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics

    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com

    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com

    LINKS: 

    Dan on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/danmillercpa/

    RightRev: https://www.rightrev.com/

    CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/

    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    TIMESTAMPS:

    00:00:00 Preview and Intro

    00:02:41 Why Operating Experience Matters for CFOs

    00:04:08 Defining Durable Growth

    00:06:06 Snowflake and Consumption Revenue Complexity

    00:10:17 Forecasting in Consumption Models

    00:11:29 AI’s Role in Revenue Forecasting

    00:12:14 Sponsors — Rillet | Tabs | Abacus AI

    00:15:39 Comping Sales in Usage-Based Models

    00:18:15 Leasing as a Software Monetization Tool

    00:20:47 The CFO’s Role in Sales and GTM

    00:22:29 How CFOs Help Close Deals

    00:24:14 Rev Tech vs RevOps

    00:26:20 Sponsors — Brex | Metronome | RightRev

    00:29:40 Where AI Actually Helps Rev Rec

    00:31:55 Deterministic vs Probabilistic AI

    00:33:05 Why Enterprises Hesitate on AI Agents

    00:34:18 Startups vs Incumbents in the AI Race

    00:35:13 FOMO, Overfunding, and Market Distortions

    00:38:13 CFO Playbooks Without Hypergrowth

    00:39:38 Finding PMF as a CFO

    00:41:15 Career Advice: Growth vs Shiny Objects

    00:42:00 Building the CEO–CFO Relationship

    00:42:49 Learning Beyond the Back Office

    00:43:22 Lightning Round

    00:44:28 Advice to My Younger Self

    00:45:09 Finance Tech Stack

    00:46:36 Credits

    9 February 2026, 10:02 am
  • 1 hour 12 minutes
    Zombie companies, ARR, and broken SaaS economics | Brett Queener

    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Brett Queener, Managing Director at Bonfire Ventures, to trace the origins of ARR and examine how new revenue models are reshaping B2B software. Drawing on Brett’s time at Salesforce and SmartRecruiters, they explore the shift from annual contracts to outcome-based pricing, what it means for forecasting and gtm strategy, and where the next major inflection points in SaaS are likely to emerge.

    SPONSORS:

    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com

    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj

    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run

    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai

    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics

    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com

    LINKS: 

    Brett on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/brettqueener/

    Brett’s Substack: https://queener.substack.com/

    CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/

    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    The Staffing Ratios Salesforce Used, with Brett Queener of Bonfire VC

    https://youtu.be/lJVgstAXjJs

    TIMESTAMPS:

    00:02:54 Welcome Brett & episode setup

    00:03:51 On-prem software to SaaS

    00:05:54 Salesforce & recurring revenue

    00:07:15 On-prem costs & partner bloat

    00:09:58 Contracts, control & comp shifts

    00:14:15 Lock-in, renewals & SaaS drift

    00:16:20 Sponsors — RightRev | Rillet | Tabs

    00:19:48 From buying to hiring software

    00:21:59 Agents change pricing & planning

    00:25:59 Forecasting without ARR

    00:28:03 Talent models break

    00:29:45 Sponsors — Abacum | Brex | Metronome

    00:33:01 Rethinking sales & comp

    00:36:47 Selling by doing the job

    00:40:50 The future role of sales

    00:46:10 Zombie SaaS & category collapse

    00:51:07 Context as the moat

    00:56:07 Where AI hits next

    00:58:44 Vertical AI & hidden TAMs

    01:02:12 $1B startups vs mega rounds

    01:05:48 Dilution, fund math & pressure

    01:08:03 Choosing your founder path

    5 February 2026, 10:02 am
  • 28 minutes 49 seconds
    A CFO Explains the History of EBITDA

    In this special CFO Explains episode of Run the Numbers, CJ Gustafson sits down with executive producer Ben Hillman to unpack the real history of EBITDA. From John Malone and cable TV to private equity, SaaS, and today’s AI boom, CJ explains how a metric invented out of desperation became the default language of valuation—and how adjusted EBITDA can both clarify and distort the truth about a business.

    SPONSORS:

    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com

    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com

    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj

    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run

    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai

    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics

    LINKS: 

    CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/

    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    Slacker Stuff: https://www.slackerstuff.com/

    Ben on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/slackerstuff/

    RELATED EPISODES:

    How Much Revenue Do You Need to IPO in 2025?

    https://youtu.be/7ajWVCNVDmI

    TIMESTAMPS:

    00:00:00 Intro

    00:01:17 The Origins of EBITDA

    00:06:48 Sponsors — Metronome | RightRev | Rillet

    00:10:12 The Mechanics of EBITDA

    00:13:46 Impact on Other Industries

    00:15:38 The Many Faces of EBITDA

    00:19:09 Sponsors  — Tabs | Abacum | Brex00:22:30 EBITDA’s AI Encore

    00:24:56 Wrap Up

    00:28:19 Credits

    #RunTheNumbersPodcast #CFOExplains #EBITDA #FinancePodcast #BusinessMetrics

    2 February 2026, 10:02 am
  • 46 minutes 50 seconds
    “It’s Not Zero”: The CFO Rule for AI Forecasting | Dan Griggs

    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Intercom CFO Dan Griggs to discuss pricing and forecasting in the AI era. Dan shares the “it’s not zero” rule, the logic behind Fin’s $0.99 pricing, and how to bet on AI without blowing up the core business.

    SPONSORS:

    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics

    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com

    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com

    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj

    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run

    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai

    LINKS: 

    Dan on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/dan-griggs-0970181/

    Intercom: https://www.intercom.com/

    CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/

    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    RELATED EPISODES:

    Inside Rocket Companies: M&A, Metrics, and Mortgage Moats | Brian Brown

    https://youtu.be/ttedn4AULt8

    TIMESTAMPS:

    00:00:00 Cold Open

    00:01:03 Dan Griggs and Intercom’s AI Pivot

    00:02:45 Ice Cream to SaaS

    00:04:19 Learning the Business

    00:06:26 Operational Reality and Forecasts

    00:08:00 “It’s Not Zero” Forecasting

    00:10:09 Scenario Planning and Ambiguity

    00:11:23 Sponsors — Brex | Metronome | RightRev

    00:14:43 Mental Models for Metrics

    00:16:15 Mental Math for Forecasts

    00:17:28 Core CFO Ratios

    00:19:13 Intercom’s Burn-the-Boats Moment

    00:20:53 AI as an Existential Bet

    00:22:21 SaaS Categories AI Can Replace

    00:23:04 Why Finance Lags on AI

    00:23:39 Sponsors — Rillet | Tabs | Abacum

    00:27:05 Why Fin Uses Outcome Pricing

    00:28:59 The $0.99 Resolution Tradeoff

    00:30:46 Why Support Work Varies

    00:32:01 AI Resolution Unit Economics

    00:33:08 Model Choice as Costs Fall

    00:35:19 Domain-Specific vs Generic LLMs

    00:36:08 Selling Against the Core

    00:38:50 Founder vs Professional CEOs

    00:41:47 Hiring Mistakes and Instincts

    00:44:28 Intercom’s Finance Stack

    00:45:49 Craziest Expense Request

    29 January 2026, 10:02 am
  • 53 minutes 14 seconds
    How finance shows its value beyond being the “no” department | Maria Izurieta

    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Maria Izurieta, CFO of Huntress, to unpack what it really means to lead finance as a connective tissue across the organization. Drawing on experience across VC-backed, PE-owned, and public companies, Maria shares how she balances impact versus perfection, builds trust through small wins, and helps teams move from transactional finance to insight-driven decision making. They dig into data transparency, centralized BI, partnering with sales and marketing on revenue, and why the best CFOs unblock friction instead of becoming the “no” department — all while bringing a deeply people-first lens to scale.

    SPONSORS:

    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai

    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics

    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com

    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com

    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj

    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run

    LINKS:

    Maria on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/maria-izurieta-909a3b/

    Company: https://www.huntress.com/

    CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/

    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    RELATED EPISODES:

    How the Best CFOs Lead Without Being the CEO | Ken Stillwell

    https://youtu.be/O4cx9NBqQso

    TIMESTAMPS:

    00:00:00 Preview and Intro

    00:01:01 Maria’s Background

    00:03:09 People-First Team Building

    00:05:16 People, Process, Systems at Scale

    00:07:13 Removing Friction Outside Finance

    00:09:15 Data Transparency & Decision-Making

    00:11:06 Sponsors — Abacum | Brex | Metronome

    00:14:22 Forward-Deployed Data

    00:16:21 Centralized Data vs. Silos

    00:19:23 Finance as Data Steward

    00:21:08 Cost-to-Price Feedback Loop

    00:22:35 Curiosity Builds Credibility

    00:23:43 Sponsors — RightRev | Rillet | Tabs

    00:27:12 Trust First, Then Impact

    00:30:27 Celebrating Small Wins

    00:31:21 From Transactions to Insights

    00:33:00 CFO at the Revenue Table

    00:34:32 Educating the Org on Metrics

    00:36:21 Customer-Level Margin Reality

    00:37:13 Using Facts to Change Decisions

    00:38:27 Ownership Mindset in Growth Companies

    00:39:10 VC vs. PE vs. Public CFO Tradeoffs

    00:41:02 Operating Inside Constraints

    00:42:18 Finding Your Stage Fit

    00:44:17 Building a Personal Advisor Network

    00:46:43 Visibility and Women in Leadership

    00:47:44 Work–Life Integration, Not Balance

    00:48:45 Lightning Round: Biggest Mistake

    00:50:10 Advice to Younger Self

    00:51:36 Finance Tech Stack

    00:52:01 Craziest Expense Story

    00:52:44 Credits

    #RunTheNumbersPodcast #CFOLeadership #ScalingCompanies #DataDrivenDecisions #ExecutiveLeadership



    This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjgustafson.substack.com
    26 January 2026, 10:02 am
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