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On The Market
BiggerPockets
- 43 minutesThe 2025 Housing Market is Here! (What to Watch Starting NOW)
Welcome to the 2025 housing market! It’s a new year, and if you’re ready to invest more, get closer to financial independence, or finally find and buy your first home, we’re here to help.
We’ve got BIG plans for 2025 and are watching some key economic indicators to help us decide what to do next. But we have already zeroed in on a few investments we’re eager to invest in. Curious about where we’re putting our money in 2025? We’ll share exactly where—and why!
We’re recapping our 2024 progress and giving you tips on what to buy based on your goals. Some of us are scaling down this year while others are scaling up, but we all have the same advice for someone who wants to get into the real estate investing game. If you follow this simple, repeatable path we’re laying down, you’ll be investing in no time.
Don’t let 2025 pass you by! You could regret sitting on the sidelines! Tune in, take notes, and let’s get wealthier together this year!
In This Episode We Cover
The easiest way for beginners to start investing in real estate in 2025
Key economic indicators we’re watching during the 2025 housing market
What strategies we’re switching up in 2025—and what won’t work this year
How to invest based on your goals and whether you should prioritize active vs. passive income
Our 2025 goals: how many properties we’ll buy, flip, or test with new strategies
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Find Investor-Friendly Lenders
On The Market 269 - 2025 Housing Market Predictions (+ How’d We Do Last Time?)
Grab Henry’s New Book, “Real Estate Deal Maker”
Jump to topic:
(00:00) Intro
(03:47) How to Start in 2025
(17:26) What to Buy (Based On YOUR Goals)
(22:51) Our 2025 Goals
(33:47) What We're Looking Forward To
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-283
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
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2 January 2025, 9:00 am - 37 minutes 33 secondsWhat Happens When Rates Drop?
Are we finally at the end stages of this harsh housing market? With housing inventory increasing, mortgage rates steadily falling, and inflation cooling, we might be returning to a much healthier time to buy a house. But one of these improvements we’ve seen over the past year could begin reversing, and that’s creating some interesting future scenarios. One that even we’re surprised to hear as we bring on top housing market analyst Logan Mohtashami.
Logan has referred to 2022-2023’s housing market as “savagely unhealthy,” but he’s a bit more optimistic now that we’re seeing relief. While we’re still not at 2019 inventory levels (which were already low), we’re slowly getting there. However, we could see the positive inventory trend start to reverse, leading to even more affordability problems for homebuyers. So what has to happen for affordability to see meaningful improvement?
Today, Logan is giving us his take on housing inventory, where mortgage rates could be heading, and why we may NOT see a spike in home prices even if rates fall significantly (something most analysts are bullish on).
In This Episode We Cover
Logan’s housing market, mortgage rate, and inventory forecast
Why our increasing housing inventory could reverse once rates start to fall
The one thing holding affordability back and whether Logan has hopes of it improving
Why watching the labor market and jobs numbers will help you predict mortgage rates
Were we wrong about the “lower rates = higher home prices” premise?
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Find Investor-Friendly Lenders
On The Market 86 - Here’s What Will Cause Mortgage Rates to Finally Fall w/Logan Mohtashami
Know the Ins-and-Outs of Real Estate with “Real Estate by the Numbers”
Jump to topic:
00:00 Intro
00:58 The "Baby Pivot" Stage
04:33 The Home Sales Recession
07:36 Housing Inventory Update
14:17 Rates Will Decline MORE If...
18:47 Mortgage Rate Forecast
23:35 When Will Affordability Improve?
27:53 Biggest Takeaways
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-282
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
30 December 2024, 9:00 am - 44 minutes 51 seconds4 Real Estate Investing Trends That Could Take Over in 2025 and Beyond
Which investing trends could make you wealthy in 2024? First, we had long-term rentals, then the BRRRR strategy, short-term rentals, medium-term rentals, syndications…the list goes on and on. And while trends come and go, acting on them at the right time could be your ticket to financial freedom. So, which trends are worth investing in this year, and which are dying out and should be avoided? We’re giving our takes on this episode.
Some of the trends in this episode are brand new—only with advanced technology have these investments even been made possible, but some are trends you may already be part of. From room rentals to very flexible commercial investments, Elon Musk’s new affordable housing, and a way to “build” your own one percent rule properties, these trends have gone mostly unnoticed but are sure to catch fire in the coming years.
But, some trends that exploded over the pandemic should be put to rest. These once cash-flowing investments reached their heyday in 2022 and 2023 and are slowly becoming lackluster (and often dangerous) investments for new investors. Which tactics are we talking about? Stick around to find out!
In This Episode We Cover
Future real estate investing trends that could offer BIG cash flow in 2024 and 2025
The flexible commercial real estate investment that online businesses rely on to survive
Kathy’s billion-dollar idea for a match-making app using this specific strategy
How to maximize your dollar per square foot by renting out PARTS of your property
The new smart homes that could finally solve the affordable housing problem
How to create the one percent rule (EVEN in 2024) by building your own rentals
Dying trends that are seeing low cash flow, high vacancies, and tough turnover
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Top 10 Real Estate Markets for Cash Flow
Cash Flow For Rental Properties: What is Average or Good?
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-281
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
26 December 2024, 9:00 am - 33 minutes 15 secondsRedfin’s 2025 Housing Market Predictions (Home Prices, Mortgage Rates, & More)
Redfin just released their highly-anticipated 2025 housing market forecast, and today, we’re reacting to each of their ten crucial housing market predictions. We’re touching on the exact numbers you want to hear about—home prices, mortgage rates, home sales, rent prices, and housing supply. Knowing what’s coming could give you an edge as an investor, agent, or first-time homebuyer.
First, we’re reviewing Redfin’s home price predictions for 2025. Will things get any more affordable, or will high home prices persist into 2025? Will mortgage rates finally reach the low sixes, maybe even into the high fives? Dave disagrees with Redfin’s take on interest rates, so where does he think they’ll be headed?
If you’re a real estate agent, broker, loan officer, or in the industry, listen up! Redfin has some good news you want to hear about home sales! Renters and landlords, take note—Redfin’s predictions suggest rents could become more affordable for everyday Americans. But that’s not all; we’ll also review their housing inventory, agent commission, and migration predictions for 2025!
In This Episode We Cover
Redfin’s notable 2025 mortgage rate prediction that most homebuyers DON’T want to hear
2025 home price forecast and whether or not we’ll continue to see prices climb
The “step in the right direction” for home sales coming in 2025
Why homebuilders are getting bullish thanks to the 2024 Republican sweep
Why Gen Z may be the first generation to give up on homebuying
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Find Investor-Friendly Lenders
On the Market 269 - 2025 Housing Market Predictions (+ How’d We Do Last Time?)
The BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast
Grab Dave’s New Book, “Start with Strategy”
Jump to topic:
(00:00) Intro
(01:22) 1. Home Prices to Rise
(05:49) 2. Mortgage Rates Remain High
(10:15) 3. Home Sales Will Rebound
(13:36) 4. Affordable Rents?
(18:46) 5. More Homebuilding, But…
(21:58) Agent Commissions, Gen Z, and More
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-280
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
23 December 2024, 9:00 am - 39 minutes 33 secondsRevealing ACTUAL Profits from Our 2024 Best Real Estate Deals
If you didn’t buy real estate in 2024, you missed out. While all the YouTube crash bros and mainstream media were hyping up how overpriced the real estate market is, we were out buying deals—and we bet many of you were, too! So, as we wind down 2024, we’re looking back on the best real estate deals we did this year and how 2024 turned out to be a much more profitable investing year than any of us would have expected.
For some of us, 2024 was our best year yet for real estate investing! One of us made half a million dollars (yes, $500,000+) on a single real estate transaction. We picked up on-market deals for fifty percent off (while the competition completely overlooked them) and sold house flips for higher-than-asking-price as buyers returned to the market.
We’re sharing our actual profit numbers, exactly how much we bought (and sold) some of these properties for, and the tactics we used to beat the masses. If you didn’t invest in 2024, don’t miss out again in 2025—there are still plenty of great opportunities waiting!
In This Episode We Cover
Why 2024 was a surprisingly good year for real estate investing (we’re proof!)
The “goldmine” property that resulted in a $500,000+ profit
The trick Henry used to get WAY more bidders on his house flip and sell for over-asking price
Why Dave makes offers on houses during the holiday season to get HUGE discounts
The tax “loophole” (if you want to call it that) that Kathy used to get a $100,000 write-off!
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
BiggerPockets Daily 1135 - 30 Ways Find Good Real Estate Deals In 2024
Learn to Flip Just Like James With His New Book, “The House Flipping Framework”
Jump to topic:
(00:00) Intro
(02:10) $70K Profit Home Run Flip
(11:52) Saving $100K in Taxes!
(17:36) Grandma’s GOLDMINE (Unbelievable!)
(25:03) 50% Discounted On-Market Deal
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-279
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
19 December 2024, 9:00 am - 45 minutes 26 seconds“50% Price Cuts!” and Other Outrageous Housing Crash Clickbait w/Jeb Smith
Ever seen those YouTube videos titled “A housing crash is coming THIS year!” or “Prices are falling 50% in *insert state*”? If so, you’re not alone. There’s so much housing market clickbait being thrown at you daily that it’s hard to distinguish the actual data from the “expert takes” only done for clicks. So today, we’re breaking down some of the most hyped housing market takes from YouTube, examining the data they’re using, and giving our thoughts.
To join us is Jeb Smith, a real estate broker associate with over 18 years of experience and a fellow YouTuber who’s just as tired as we are of the constant “crash bros” populating your YouTube homepage.
Together, Dave and Jeb are breaking down a couple of recent videos, one talking about the “50% price cuts in California” and a “major housing crash,” as well as one video anticipating that “all hell breaks loose” come this December (wait, isn’t it December already?)
Together, our goal is to ensure you never get fooled by easily manipulated data so you can make the best investing decisions.
In This Episode We Cover
The “major housing crash” coming to California and whether there’s truth in this
Why one real estate media channel thinks all hell will break loose soon
Demystifying the data behind the real estate “crash bros” on YouTube
Whether Jeb believes home prices will rise (or fall) in the coming year
Housing market data that WE trust to make our real estate predictions, forecasts, and investing decisions
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
On The Market 128 - The Worst Real Estate Investing Advice
Grab Dave’s Book, “Real Estate by the Numbers”
Connect with Jeb:
Jump to topic:
(00:00) Intro
(01:08) “Major California Housing Crash!”
(12:58) The Truth About California
(20:19) “All Hell Breaks Loose!”
(30:27) Don’t Get Fooled by This
(33:54) Debunking the Clickbait
(39:11) Connect with Jeb!
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-278
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
16 December 2024, 9:00 am - 33 minutes 22 secondsNAR Hit with Another Blow After Shocking “Donation” Discovery w/NYT’s Debra Kamin
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed in this episode and written below are solely opinions of the hosts, guests, and writers and do not reflect the views of BiggerPockets.
Is it about to get even worse for NAR (National Association of Realtors)? After a ground-breaking agent commission lawsuit settlement forced the organization to pay out hundreds of millions, NAR has been on thin ice. They had just come off of a massive change in leadership, with some executives facing sexual harassment accusations, only to have the spotlight put on them once again. But it’s not over.
A new investigative piece from The New York Times reporter Debra Kamin uncovers a web of hidden donations to political groups that many NAR members aren’t aware of. NAR, the largest lobbyist group in the country, is well-known for donating to political causes that benefit their industry. However, it seems those donations heavily lean to one side of the political spectrum.
So, is this a problem? Could it even be illegal? Debra reveals that many of these donations go to groups unrelated to real estate, leaving some members frustrated with how their dues are being spent. Could this be the final blow to NAR, paving the way for more competition among real estate agent organizations? Debra is on to break the story.
In This Episode We Cover
The new investigation on where NAR “donations” and member dues are going
NAR’s recent turmoil with massive lawsuits, sexual harassment accusations, and more
What do realtors think of their dues being spent on fringe political causes?
The future of NAR and whether they’ll recover from their recent internal challenges
A new DOJ (department of justice) investigation into NAR and whether members will leave
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
Grab the Book “SOLD: Every Real Estate Agent’s Guide”
Jump to topic:
00:00 Intro
01:30 NAR Turmoil
03:46 The Largest Lobbyist Group
08:53 Quietly Funding Political Causes
14:17 Is This Illegal?
17:29 What Realtors Think
20:40 The Future of NAR
26:58 Read the Full Story
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-277
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
12 December 2024, 9:00 am - 31 minutes 48 seconds“Return to Office” Could Change the Housing Market, But Not How You’d Think
“Return to office” mandates from the tech and finance industries are coming rapidly. But they’re not just going back to the downtown areas. Return to office (RTO) calls could cause a surprisingly beneficial boost to suburban areas, even as employees are forced back into the office. This has enormous effects on landlords and real estate investors, as the hottest place to own a home might actually be somewhere outside of the city center.
Matt Reidy, Director of CRE Economics at Moody’s Analytics, joined us to give a full update. Matt talks about the potential office comeback that could be taking place and the one type of office investment that is outperforming the rest. However, office vacancies are still at an all-time high, and companies are starting to get creative. Could a move into the suburbs help entice employees by keeping commute times minimal?
This could be great news for residential investors outside the cities, as “live, work, play” environments could become a hot commodity.
In This Episode We Cover
Why more companies are looking for suburban offices to win back employees
The revival of downtowns and why they’re growing, even with high office vacancy
One type of office investment that’s outperforming the competition significantly
Rent price growth predictions for 2025 and 2026
Whether office work is here to stay or the “hybrid” model will become the new norm
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
Good News For Investors—Commercial Real Estate is Finally Catching a Break
Grab Dave’s New Book, “Start with Strategy”
Jump to topic:
(00:00) Intro
(01:30) The Return to Office
(03:20) An Office Comeback?
(07:12) Offices Move to Suburbs
(11:02) Are Downtowns Declining?
(17:37) Suburban Demand Grows
(21:33) Good News for Investors
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-276
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
9 December 2024, 9:00 am - 40 minutes 56 secondsHome Sales Rise, Investor Purchases Shrink, and ANOTHER Commission Lawsuit!?
Are we in store for another agent commission lawsuit battle? Why are home sales spiking right after the election? And guess what…it’s not investors buying up all the houses this time. We’re getting into the biggest housing market news in today’s headlines episode! Plus, we’re sharing exactly what you need to do TODAY to still get real estate deals done, even with high interest rates and higher home prices.
Home tours are surging after the election as potential homebuyers breathe a sigh of relief knowing that 24/7 election coverage has finally ceased. But it’s not the investors who are coming back to buy the houses. Investor purchase numbers are falling, so why are landlords sitting on the sidelines this time?
And say it ain’t so…another real estate agent commission lawsuit could be on the way as the Department of Justice finds faults in the NAR settlement. What does this mean for agents, brokers, and realtors? Will an easily browsable listing site like Zillow take over in place of real-life realtors? Some worry a Zillow “monopoly” could be forming. We’re sharing what we think in this episode.
In This Episode We Cover
Why home sales are starting to jump after the 2024 presidential election results
The future of agent commissions and whether they could be regulated even more
The Zillow “monopoly” that some worry will overtake the NAR (National Association of Realtors)
What’s causing investor purchases to shrink since the pandemic?
Where James and Kathy see investing opportunity in the 2025 housing market
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
On The Market Podcast 201 - NAR Settles for $418M, Buying and Selling Homes Could Change Forever
Pending Home Sales Rise After Post-Election Surge in Home Tours
The battle against 6% broker fees isn’t over after a surprise 11th hour court filing
Zillow’s Takeover of the Real Estate Industry: The Path to Monopoly
Investor Home Purchases Plateau After a Pandemic-Era Rollercoaster Ride
Grab Dave’s Newest Book, “Start with Strategy”
Jump to topic:
(00:00) Intro
(00:58) Post-Election Home Sales JUMP
(09:56) Another Agent Commission Lawsuit?
(18:07) The Zillow “Monopoly”
(21:44) Investor Sales Shrink
(34:10) Stick Around for This!
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-275
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
5 December 2024, 9:00 am - 35 minutes 16 secondsHousingWire’s 2025 Housing Market Predictions: Rates, Prices, and More
It’s the season for housing market predictions, and we know who to call! Altos Research and HousingWire’s Mike Simonsen joins the show to share where his team thinks mortgage rates, home prices, housing inventory, and buyer demand will be in 2025. Every year, the HousingWire team puts together a phenomenal housing market forecast, touching on the topics investors, agents, lenders, and housing nerds care about while recapping the wildest surprises of the year prior.
Will mortgage rates finally fall below six percent in 2025? Will home prices dip with housing inventory up a substantial percentage year-over-year? And could agents and lenders finally get some relief with home sales, or will we still see sluggish purchasing and buyer activity? Not to spoil it, but Mike is optimistic about the 2025 housing market and what will come over the next twelve months.
Mike breaks down each prediction and what could affect YOU the most, whether you’re buying or selling homes. Plus, he shares the one metric his team is watching carefully to see which direction the 2025 housing market is headed.
In This Episode We Cover
HousingWire’s 2025 housing market forecast and 2024 housing market recap
The mortgage rate range you can expect over the next twelve months
Home price growth and exactly how much the HousingWire team expects in 2025
Why housing inventory is starting to climb again (and whether it will continue in 2025)
One metric Mike and his team are paying very close attention to in 2025
The market’s reaction to the 2024 election and President-Elect Trump’s win
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Find Investor-Friendly Lenders
On The Market Podcast 269 - 2025 Housing Market Predictions (+ How’d We Do Last Time?)
HousingWire’s 2025 Housing Market Forecast
Get Ready to Invest in 2025 with Dave’s Book, “Start with Strategy”
Jump to topic:
(00:00) Intro
(01:05) Biggest Surprise of 2024
(03:17) Housing Inventory Up 27%!
(08:42) American Migration Freezes
(12:57) 2025 Mortgage Rates
(16:46) More Homes on the Market?
(18:20) Post-Election Housing Market Changes
(27:08) Home Price Forecast
(27:49) One Thing to WATCH
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-274
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
2 December 2024, 9:00 am - 30 minutes 19 secondsThe Housing Market is Changing (Deals Are Coming in Winter)
Discounted real estate deals could be coming THIS winter as the housing market begins to “thaw.” Today, Dave is flying solo, bringing you a housing market update on all the crucial factors real estate investors are looking at—home prices, mortgage rates, housing supply, and rent prices. Even with home sales falling by a massive margin, home prices are still at all-time highs, and the housing market is “stuck,” but we could see some sellers taking price cuts this winter if you’re willing to take advantage.
Okay, but how can home prices still be THIS high when the total home sales are twenty percent lower than average and around fifty percent under the recent highs? It’s simple—affordability struggles. High rates, high prices, and “locked-in” homeowners staying in place keep the market frozen. So, why does Dave believe sellers will be more inclined to drop their prices this winter? Where does he believe interest rates will be by the end of the year? And what’s the one thing that could get the housing market “unstuck”?
In This Episode We Cover
Why Dave believes real estate deals are coming THIS winter
Mortgage rate predictions and how low rates could go by the end of this year
Whether to buy now or wait for affordability to improve, prices to drop, and rates to fall
Why home prices are still rising EVEN with homebuyer demand plummeting
The MASSIVE drop in home sales since the pandemic boom and why prices have remained high
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Shop the BiggerPockets Bookstore Black Friday SALE
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
On The Market Podcast 255 - The Fed Finally Cuts Rates, but Will It Even Matter?
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-273
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
28 November 2024, 9:00 am - More Episodes? Get the App
About On The Market
BiggerPockets Money Podcast
Ken McElroy Real Estate Strategies
Real Estate Rookie
BiggerPockets Daily
BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast
Rental Income Podcast With Dan Lane
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