The Simple Handicap

Adam Chernoff

The most valuable part of the morning for NFL bettors

  • 5 minutes 12 seconds
    Update on Season Ahead
    25 July 2025, 6:29 pm
  • 10 minutes 43 seconds
    The Herd (FS1) - NFL Futures Discussion

    I went on The Herd on FS1 in the US to talk about NFL futures.

    6 June 2025, 3:44 am
  • 20 minutes 12 seconds
    NFL Schedule Winners and Losers - with Mitch Moss and Pauly Howard on VSIN Follow the Money

    I joined Mitch and Pauly on Follow the Money to talk about which teams won and lost the NFL Schedule release.

    16 May 2025, 12:47 pm
  • 50 minutes 42 seconds
    NFL Schedule Release: Toughest, Easiest and Q&A

    It is NFL Schedule Release day! In this episode I will discuss which teams have it easiest, which teams have it hardest and answer questions about any teams schedule for the upcoming season.

    14 May 2025, 5:17 pm
  • 33 minutes 28 seconds
    NFL Schedule Release: 5 Common Media Takes — Predictive or Just Noise?

    The NFL schedule drops this week, and with it comes a flood of hot takes and analysis. Join me LIVE at 11am ET as I break down 5 of the most common narratives you'll hear this week — and separate the predictive insights from the media noise. We'll cut through the hype and look at what really matters when it comes to handicapping the schedule.

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    12 May 2025, 4:05 pm
  • 38 minutes 57 seconds
    NFL Draft Round 1 Review: Key Takeaways, Smart Picks, and Strategic Misses

    Round 1 of the NFL Draft is complete, and I'm breaking it down with my honest thoughts and takeaways. I'll walk through the key picks, trades, and trends that stood out — both the ones I expected and the ones that surprised me. You'll hear my perspective on: – Where teams made sharp, value-driven moves – Picks that didn't make much sense to me – How front offices revealed their long-term strategy – What the draft told us about league-wide thinking at premium positions – Early reflections on how the betting markets lined up with what we saw This isn't a highlight reel — it's a practical review through the lens of team building, betting context, and what really matters going forward.

    25 April 2025, 3:49 pm
  • 53 minutes 5 seconds
    2025 NFL Mock Draft for Sports Bettors | Adam Chernoff's First-Round Breakdown

    Adam Chernoff delivers a professional, betting-focused 2025 NFL Mock Draft built for serious bettors and draft analysts. This is more than just team-player pairings — it's a market-aware breakdown of how each pick aligns with betting odds, positional value, and front office tendencies.

    📈 In-depth analysis of team needs, scheme fits, and draft capital

    🧠 Insights based on league intel, betting markets, and prospect evaluations

    🗂️ Full first-round projection with commentary on trade possibilities

    Perfect for bettors tracking draft props, sharp fans looking for an edge, and professionals studying the decision-making logic behind each selection.

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    23 April 2025, 4:07 pm
  • 41 minutes 40 seconds
    Draft Position Prop Updates

    Adam Chernoff updates the changes in odds for all draft position props between open last week and now.

    16 April 2025, 4:24 pm
  • 37 minutes 4 seconds
    How NFL Scouts would bet the draft - if they could (defense)

    I read through 104 pages of anonymous comments from NFL scouts and pulled out the most noteworthy comments about NFL Draft bets. Obviously NFL scouts cannot bet on the draft, and this video is NOT implying that they are. This video compares anonymous comments from scouts to current odds to imply how they might bet on it, if they were able to do so with the intention of providing an alternative to coach or gm commentary analysis.

    15 April 2025, 3:50 pm
  • 45 minutes 53 seconds
    How NFL Scouts would bet the draft - if they could (offense)

    I read through 104 pages of anonymous comments from NFL scouts and pulled out the most noteworthy comments about NFL Draft bets. Obviously NFL scouts cannot bet on the draft, and this video is NOT implying that they are. This video compares anonymous comments from scouts to current odds to imply how they might bet on it, if they were able to do so with the intention of providing an alternative to coach or gm commentary analysis.

    14 April 2025, 5:07 pm
  • 22 minutes 20 seconds
    NFL Draft Odds: Player Prop Opening Lines (Part 2)

    Adam Chernoff analyzes the initial wave of opening player props for the NFL Draft.

    10 April 2025, 4:37 pm
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