- 1 hour 22 seconds#807: Health Insurance Is in a Death Spiral with Andy Schoonover
Crowd Health CEO Andy Schoonover joins Marty Bent to explain why health insurance is stuck in a death spiral and how Bitcoin's incentives map onto healthcare. They cover $60,000 premiums in Alabama, Blue Cross Blue Shield's monopoly, Medicare for All risks, Canada's broken system, direct cash pay pricing, hospitals accepting Bitcoin, doctor transparency, and why Bitcoiners should opt out of insurance. Andy also shares how Crowd Health grew to roughly 50,000 members and why low time preference matters for building businesses.
Andy on X: https://x.com/andyjschoonover
The Bitcoin Playbook for Commercial Real Estate Owners & Investors: https://www.tftc.io/CRE
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- Cash App: For a limited time, new customers can get $21 added to their balance. Just use code TFTC10 when you sign up, and send at least $5 to a friend in the first two weeks. Terms apply. Bitcoin services by Block, Inc. See the Bitcoin disclosures at cash.app/legal/podcast.
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- Bitkey: Use code TFTC10 for 10% off the new Bitkey.
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Disclosure: Bitcoin services are provided by Block, Inc. Bitcoin services are not licensable activity in all U.S. states and territories, and not all services are available in all states. Bitkey is not available in New York. Block, Inc. operates in New York as Block of Delaware and is licensed to engage in virtual currency business activity by the New York State Department of Financial Services. Bitcoin is a non-deposit, non-bank product that is not FDIC insured and involves risk, including monetary loss. For additional information, see the Bitcoin disclosures: https://help.cash.app/btcdisclosures
Get up to $200 off Square hardware when you sign up at http://square.com/go/tftc! #squarepartner. Offer expires December 31, 2026 at 11:59 pm PST. Offer for $40 off the cost of one Square Stand, $75 off the cost of one Square Terminal, $100 off the cost of one Square Handheld, or $200 off the cost of one Square Register, excluding applicable taxes. Limited to one discount per product type per seller account. Each code is limited to one redemption per account holder. Valid for new Square customers located in the US only. Offer not valid with guest checkout. Square reserves the right to modify, revoke or cancel the offer at any time. Offer cannot be combined with any other coupon. Void where prohibited, not redeemable for cash, and non-transferable. #squarepartner #blockpartner
4 November 2026, 3:00 pm - 38 minutes 54 secondsTen31 Timestamp: The S-1 Also Rises
Uptober came and went. Marty and Baron break down Anthropic's S-1, why hyperscalers are now free cash flow negative, the $6.3 billion Binance hack, and why Bitcoin's simplicity keeps looking like a feature.
🔗 https://bitcoinproducts.com
In this episode:
- What Anthropic's S-1 does and doesn't tell us about the bull and bear cases
- Where the compute goes: training vs. serving customers
- Junk rating talk and the cost of capital for the AI build out
- Microsoft job cuts and the search for real AI ROI
- Red October, Intel's worst day since 1974, and hedge fund de-grossing
- Big Tech free cash flow turning negative and the debt to GDP reckoning
- Lula's win in Brazil and what it means for the Donroe Doctrine
- The Binance hack and why Bitcoin's small attack surface wins
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00:00 - Red October that wasn't
00:00:35 - Anthropic S-1 gradually then suddenly
00:02:39 - Enterprise customers and revenue retention
00:05:50 - Amended S-1 and the $895 billion in commitments
00:07:45 - What is all that training compute for
00:12:17 - Labs competing with their own customers
00:16:36 - Anthropic's likely junk credit rating
00:18:23 - Where's the ROI
00:19:39 - Microsoft cuts roughly 60,000 jobs
00:20:58 - Intel's crash and record hedge fund selling
00:23:30 - Hyperscalers go free cash flow negative
00:26:56 - Public debt tops 100% of GDP
00:27:43 - Meta ads vs. Google search
00:29:27 - Lula wins in Brazil
00:32:11 - Binance hack and Bitcoin below $77K
00:35:54 - Bitcoin is worse is better
00:38:12 - AI models find only two minor Bitcoin Core bugs
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2 November 2026, 7:00 pm - 1 hour 9 minutes#806: The Switch That Unlocks Institutional Bitcoin with Baron Koch
Baron Koch, the CFO at Braiins and a former endowment and pension portfolio manager, joins Marty Bent to explain how institutions actually decide to allocate to Bitcoin. They cover career risk and the investment committee switch, the Binance hack and centralized custody, Stephen Miran's plan for restructuring the financial system, JP Morgan's capital market assumptions, and why Bitcoin should be treated like a commodity with managed futures risk strategies.
Baron on X: https://x.com/BaronKoch21
Braiins: https://braiins.com/
The Bitcoin Playbook for Commercial Real Estate Owners & Investors: https://www.tftc.io/CRE
STACK SATS hat: https://tftcmerch.io/
Our newsletter: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/
TFTC Elite (Ad-free & Discord): https://www.tftc.io/#/portal/signup/
Discord: https://discord.gg/yHGkvYxdqT
Opportunity Cost Extension: https://www.opportunitycost.app/
Shoutout to our sponsors:
Block:
- Cash App: For a limited time, new customers can get $21 added to their balance. Just use code TFTC10 when you sign up, and send at least $5 to a friend in the first two weeks. Terms apply. Bitcoin services by Block, Inc. See the Bitcoin disclosures at cash.app/legal/podcast.
- Square: Visit http://square.com/go/tftc for up to $200 off eligible Square hardware.
- Bitkey: Use code TFTC10 for 10% off the new Bitkey.
Aven
CrowdHealth
https://www.joincrowdhealth.com/tftc
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Join the TFTC Movement:
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Disclosure: Bitcoin services are provided by Block, Inc. Bitcoin services are not licensable activity in all U.S. states and territories, and not all services are available in all states. Bitkey is not available in New York. Block, Inc. operates in New York as Block of Delaware and is licensed to engage in virtual currency business activity by the New York State Department of Financial Services. Bitcoin is a non-deposit, non-bank product that is not FDIC insured and involves risk, including monetary loss. For additional information, see the Bitcoin disclosures: https://help.cash.app/btcdisclosures
Get up to $200 off Square hardware when you sign up at http://square.com/go/tftc! #squarepartner. Offer expires December 31, 2026 at 11:59 pm PST. Offer for $40 off the cost of one Square Stand, $75 off the cost of one Square Terminal, $100 off the cost of one Square Handheld, or $200 off the cost of one Square Register, excluding applicable taxes. Limited to one discount per product type per seller account. Each code is limited to one redemption per account holder. Valid for new Square customers located in the US only. Offer not valid with guest checkout. Square reserves the right to modify, revoke or cancel the offer at any time. Offer cannot be combined with any other coupon. Void where prohibited, not redeemable for cash, and non-transferable. #squarepartner #blockpartner
2 November 2026, 3:00 pm - 1 hour 38 minutes#805: Canada Is Speedrunning America's Future with Mike Werry and Mira Metter
Mike Werry and Mira Metter, the filmmakers behind Broken Country, join Marty to break down how Canada went from the strongest middle class in the world to a cautionary tale for America. They cover healthcare wait-list deaths and MAID, mass immigration and record youth unemployment, a housing crisis fueled by bureaucracy, Mark Carney and the Century Initiative, government waste like ArriveCAN, and why the documentary was funded primarily with Bitcoin. A warning for Americans heading to the ballot box about where these policies lead.
Broken Country Documentary: https://www.brokencountry.com/
The Bitcoin Playbook for Commercial Real Estate Owners & Investors: https://www.tftc.io/CRE
STACK SATS hat: https://tftcmerch.io/
Our newsletter: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/
TFTC Elite (Ad-free & Discord): https://www.tftc.io/#/portal/signup/
Discord: https://discord.gg/yHGkvYxdqT
Opportunity Cost Extension: https://www.opportunitycost.app/
Shoutout to our sponsors:
Block:
- Cash App: For a limited time, new customers can get $21 added to their balance. Just use code TFTC10 when you sign up, and send at least $5 to a friend in the first two weeks. Terms apply. Bitcoin services by Block, Inc. See the Bitcoin disclosures at cash.app/legal/podcast.
- Square: Visit http://square.com/go/tftc for up to $200 off eligible Square hardware.
- Bitkey: Use code TFTC10 for 10% off the new Bitkey.
Aven
CrowdHealth
https://www.joincrowdhealth.com/tftc
Simple Mining
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Salt of the Earth:
Join the TFTC Movement:
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Disclosure: Bitcoin services are provided by Block, Inc. Bitcoin services are not licensable activity in all U.S. states and territories, and not all services are available in all states. Bitkey is not available in New York. Block, Inc. operates in New York as Block of Delaware and is licensed to engage in virtual currency business activity by the New York State Department of Financial Services. Bitcoin is a non-deposit, non-bank product that is not FDIC insured and involves risk, including monetary loss. For additional information, see the Bitcoin disclosures: https://help.cash.app/btcdisclosures
Get up to $200 off Square hardware when you sign up at http://square.com/go/tftc! #squarepartner. Offer expires December 31, 2026 at 11:59 pm PST. Offer for $40 off the cost of one Square Stand, $75 off the cost of one Square Terminal, $100 off the cost of one Square Handheld, or $200 off the cost of one Square Register, excluding applicable taxes. Limited to one discount per product type per seller account. Each code is limited to one redemption per account holder. Valid for new Square customers located in the US only. Offer not valid with guest checkout. Square reserves the right to modify, revoke or cancel the offer at any time. Offer cannot be combined with any other coupon. Void where prohibited, not redeemable for cash, and non-transferable. #squarepartner #blockpartner
29 October 2026, 2:00 pm - 1 hour 41 minutes#804: Bitcoin Is Cheap And Nobody Believes It with Matthew Mežinskis
Bitcoin is sitting near the 8th percentile of its 17-year power trend while sentiment feels like the summer of 2015. Matty Mežinskis of Porkopolis Economics walks Marty through Bitcoin priced in gold, the top five base monies, Fed balance sheet expansion echoing the 2019 repo crisis, and why stablecoins are a rounding error next to global broad money. They also cover falling costs for Bitcoin-backed lending, drone warfare, Russia's war on Ukraine, and when Bitcoin could rival central bank money.
Matthew on X: https://x.com/1basemoney
Porkopolis: https://www.porkopolis.io/topmoney/
The Bitcoin Playbook for Commercial Real Estate Owners & Investors: https://www.tftc.io/CRE
STACK SATS hat: https://tftcmerch.io/
Our newsletter: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/
TFTC Elite (Ad-free & Discord): https://www.tftc.io/#/portal/signup/
Discord: https://discord.gg/yHGkvYxdqT
Opportunity Cost Extension: https://www.opportunitycost.app/
Shoutout to our sponsors:
Block:
- Cash App: For a limited time, new customers can get $21 added to their balance. Just use code TFTC10 when you sign up, and send at least $5 to a friend in the first two weeks. Terms apply. Bitcoin services by Block, Inc. See the Bitcoin disclosures at cash.app/legal/podcast.
- Square: Visit http://square.com/go/tftc for up to $200 off eligible Square hardware.
- Bitkey: Use code TFTC10 for 10% off the new Bitkey.
Aven
CrowdHealth
https://www.joincrowdhealth.com/tftc
Simple Mining
https://www.simplemining.io/tftc
Salt of the Earth:
Join the TFTC Movement:
Main YT Channel
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Website
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Disclosure: Bitcoin services are provided by Block, Inc. Bitcoin services are not licensable activity in all U.S. states and territories, and not all services are available in all states. Bitkey is not available in New York. Block, Inc. operates in New York as Block of Delaware and is licensed to engage in virtual currency business activity by the New York State Department of Financial Services. Bitcoin is a non-deposit, non-bank product that is not FDIC insured and involves risk, including monetary loss. For additional information, see the Bitcoin disclosures: https://help.cash.app/btcdisclosures
Get up to $200 off Square hardware when you sign up at http://square.com/go/tftc! #squarepartner. Offer expires December 31, 2026 at 11:59 pm PST. Offer for $40 off the cost of one Square Stand, $75 off the cost of one Square Terminal, $100 off the cost of one Square Handheld, or $200 off the cost of one Square Register, excluding applicable taxes. Limited to one discount per product type per seller account. Each code is limited to one redemption per account holder. Valid for new Square customers located in the US only. Offer not valid with guest checkout. Square reserves the right to modify, revoke or cancel the offer at any time. Offer cannot be combined with any other coupon. Void where prohibited, not redeemable for cash, and non-transferable. #squarepartner #blockpartner
27 October 2026, 2:00 pm - 45 minutes 9 secondsTen31 Timestamp: Spirit of '63
Marty and John Arnold dig into Anthropic's S-1 numbers, Meta's first negative free cash flow quarter in over a decade, and why Treasury Secretary Bessent is invoking Lincoln's National Currency Act of 1863 to sell stablecoins.
🔗 https://bitcoinproducts.com
In this episode:
- Anthropic's S-1, revenue per dollar of compute, and Fortune 500 penetration
- Meta's CapEx surge, negative free cash flow, and $95B equity raise plan
- Why GPU rental prices keep rising while bears call the bubble
- Gulf oil and LNG flows back above pre-war levels
- The Qatar LNG deal, Henry Hub, and a possible Russia Ukraine peace deal
- Reshoring, China export controls, and a bifurcating world
- The 1863 National Currency Act, the GENIUS Act, and T-bill backed digital dollars
- Gold convertibility in 1879 and what it means for gold and the Bitcoin reserve
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00:00 - First take on Anthropic's S-1
00:01:54 - Revenue per dollar of compute
00:02:36 - Net dollar retention and Fortune 500 penetration
00:04:05 - The new slides
00:05:02 - Meta financials and CapEx
00:06:43 - Meta's equity raise and new share class
00:07:24 - Muse launch and the stock selloff
00:08:38 - Operating cash flow versus CapEx
00:10:17 - Muse user growth versus ChatGPT
00:12:04 - GPU rental prices keep rising
00:16:35 - Gulf oil volumes above pre-war levels
00:18:48 - US LNG deal with Qatar
00:19:30 - Russia Ukraine peace talks and Nord Stream
00:21:40 - Bifurcation and the reshoring push
00:24:20 - Terafab, drug supply chains, and China export controls
00:26:22 - The 1863 parallel
00:27:51 - OCC finalizes GENIUS Act rules
00:29:58 - National bank notes versus stablecoins
00:32:12 - Sizing the digital dollar opportunity
00:34:37 - Inflation and the Fed's role
00:38:20 - The Resumption Act and gold convertibility
00:40:49 - Gold reserves and the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve
00:44:28 - MAGA slop or real strategy
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› Timestamp: https://www.ten31timestamp.com/› John Arnold: https://x.com/JohnArnoldTen31› Ten31: https://ten31.xyz
TFTC #MartyBent #JohnArnold #Stablecoins #AI #Energy #Bitcoin
26 October 2026, 9:04 pm - 27 minutes 37 secondsTen31 Timestamp: Partly Cloudy
Black Monday never showed up. Marty and John Arnold break down why markets shrugged off the weekend scare, and what the data under the surface is saying about AI spending, interest rates, and energy.
🔗 https://bitcoinproducts.com
In this episode:
- Why Black Monday didn't happen and what markets did instead
- Anthropic's slowing revenue growth and the distillation fight
- Neo clouds, credit stress, and the cost of capital for the AI build out
- Hot inflation prints, the Fed, and bond market volatility
- Whether Treasury cuts 20 year issuance to deal with higher yields
- Diesel shortages, Gulf attacks, and Iran's economy
- China's export surge and what Europe might do about it
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00:00 - Black Monday that wasn't
00:01:20 - Anthropic revenue growth slows ahead of IPO
00:01:38 - Distillation attacks and the irony of AI IP
00:05:12 - Neo clouds and credit default swaps under pressure
00:06:55 - Cost of capital for the AI build out
00:07:02 - Hot inflation and the Fed
00:07:57 - Ten year yields near 5% and forward guidance
00:10:13 - Convexity Maven on bond volatility and the MOVE index
00:12:57 - Treasury and the 20 year issuance rumor
00:15:39 - War driving up diesel prices
00:18:36 - Carney on maximizing diesel shipments to the US
00:19:27 - Iran GDP collapse and the blockade
00:21:29 - China's 36% export surge in September
00:22:14 - Robin Brooks and Michael Pettis on overproduction
00:24:35 - Jim Himes and bipartisan support for Europe and NATO
SUBSCRIBE
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FOLLOW US
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› Timestamp: https://www.ten31timestamp.com/› John Arnold: https://x.com/JohnArnoldTen31› Ten31: https://ten31.xyz
TFTC #MartyBent #JohnArnold #Markets #Inflation #AI
19 October 2026, 5:00 pm - 1 hour 17 minutes#803: The Long End of the Curve Is Breaking with Parker Lewis
Parker Lewis of Zaprite, author of Gradually Then Suddenly, joins Marty Bent to explain why Bitcoin sentiment is at its worst while the macro setup looks stronger than ever. They cover the missing adoption wave, why Bitcoin treasury companies cannibalize demand, the 30-year Treasury at 5.5 percent, credit market stress, Silvergate and Operation Choke Point 2.0, the Coldcard and Ledger incidents, and a live demo of Zaprite Pay.
Parker on X: https://x.com/parkeralewis
Zaprite p2p: https://zapritep2p.com/
Gradually, Then Suddenly: https://nakamotoinstitute.org/library/gradually-then-suddenly/
The Bitcoin Playbook for Commercial Real Estate Owners & Investors: https://www.tftc.io/CRE
STACK SATS hat: https://tftcmerch.io/
Our newsletter: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/
TFTC Elite (Ad-free & Discord): https://www.tftc.io/#/portal/signup/
Discord: https://discord.gg/yHGkvYxdqT
Opportunity Cost Extension: https://www.opportunitycost.app/
Shoutout to our sponsors:
Block:
- Cash App: For a limited time, new customers can get $21 added to their balance. Just use code TFTC10 when you sign up, and send at least $5 to a friend in the first two weeks. Terms apply. Bitcoin services by Block, Inc. See the Bitcoin disclosures at cash.app/legal/podcast.
- Square: Visit http://square.com/go/tftc for up to $200 off eligible Square hardware.
- Bitkey: Use code TFTC10 for 10% off the new Bitkey.
Aven
CrowdHealth
https://www.joincrowdhealth.com/tftc
Simple Mining
https://www.simplemining.io/tftc
Salt of the Earth:
Join the TFTC Movement:
Main YT Channel
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Website
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Disclosure: Bitcoin services are provided by Block, Inc. Bitcoin services are not licensable activity in all U.S. states and territories, and not all services are available in all states. Bitkey is not available in New York. Block, Inc. operates in New York as Block of Delaware and is licensed to engage in virtual currency business activity by the New York State Department of Financial Services. Bitcoin is a non-deposit, non-bank product that is not FDIC insured and involves risk, including monetary loss. For additional information, see the Bitcoin disclosures: https://help.cash.app/btcdisclosures
Get up to $200 off Square hardware when you sign up at http://square.com/go/tftc! #squarepartner. Offer expires December 31, 2026 at 11:59 pm PST. Offer for $40 off the cost of one Square Stand, $75 off the cost of one Square Terminal, $100 off the cost of one Square Handheld, or $200 off the cost of one Square Register, excluding applicable taxes. Limited to one discount per product type per seller account. Each code is limited to one redemption per account holder. Valid for new Square customers located in the US only. Offer not valid with guest checkout. Square reserves the right to modify, revoke or cancel the offer at any time. Offer cannot be combined with any other coupon. Void where prohibited, not redeemable for cash, and non-transferable. #squarepartner #blockpartner
19 October 2026, 2:00 pm - 1 hour 25 minutes#802: The Banks Are Fleecing You with Mel Mattison
Mel Mattison joins Marty to unpack October's market selloff and why it may be the best buying opportunity since the Iran war drawdown. They cover rising Treasury yields, fiscal dominance, and why Kevin Warsh and the Fed can't hike without bankrupting the government. Mel explains why the AI trade isn't AI, why compute and semiconductors win regardless of which model leads, and how tokenization, stablecoins, and agentic payments threaten the banking float model. Plus Social Security, Medicare, the midterms, and ending the Iran war.
Mel on X: https://x.com/MelMattison1
Mel’s Book: https://www.melmattison.com/quoz
The Bitcoin Playbook for Commercial Real Estate Owners & Investors: https://www.tftc.io/CRE
STACK SATS hat: https://tftcmerch.io/
Our newsletter: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/
TFTC Elite (Ad-free & Discord): https://www.tftc.io/#/portal/signup/
Discord: https://discord.gg/yHGkvYxdqT
Opportunity Cost Extension: https://www.opportunitycost.app/
Shoutout to our sponsors:
Block:
- Cash App: For a limited time, new customers can get $21 added to their balance. Just use code TFTC10 when you sign up, and send at least $5 to a friend in the first two weeks. Terms apply. Bitcoin services by Block, Inc. See the Bitcoin disclosures at cash.app/legal/podcast.
- Square: Visit http://square.com/go/tftc for up to $200 off eligible Square hardware.
- Bitkey: Use code TFTC10 for 10% off the new Bitkey.
Aven
CrowdHealth
https://www.joincrowdhealth.com/tftc
Simple Mining
https://www.simplemining.io/tftc
Salt of the Earth:
Join the TFTC Movement:
Main YT Channel
https://www.youtube.com/c/TFTC21/videos
Clips YT Channel
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Website
Newsletter
tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/
Twitter
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https://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/
Nostr
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Disclosure: Bitcoin services are provided by Block, Inc. Bitcoin services are not licensable activity in all U.S. states and territories, and not all services are available in all states. Bitkey is not available in New York. Block, Inc. operates in New York as Block of Delaware and is licensed to engage in virtual currency business activity by the New York State Department of Financial Services. Bitcoin is a non-deposit, non-bank product that is not FDIC insured and involves risk, including monetary loss. For additional information, see the Bitcoin disclosures: https://help.cash.app/btcdisclosures
Get up to $200 off Square hardware when you sign up at http://square.com/go/tftc! #squarepartner. Offer expires December 31, 2026 at 11:59 pm PST. Offer for $40 off the cost of one Square Stand, $75 off the cost of one Square Terminal, $100 off the cost of one Square Handheld, or $200 off the cost of one Square Register, excluding applicable taxes. Limited to one discount per product type per seller account. Each code is limited to one redemption per account holder. Valid for new Square customers located in the US only. Offer not valid with guest checkout. Square reserves the right to modify, revoke or cancel the offer at any time. Offer cannot be combined with any other coupon. Void where prohibited, not redeemable for cash, and non-transferable. #squarepartner #blockpartner
17 October 2026, 2:00 pm - 1 hour 1 minute#801: Proving What's Real In The Age Of AI with Bryan Jacoutot
Bryan Jacoutot, commercial litigator at Clark Hill, joins Marty Bent to explain how Bitcoin timestamping through OpenTimestamps and SimpleProof can authenticate digital evidence in the age of generative AI deepfakes. They cover his proposed federal rules of evidence change, a rebuttable presumption of authenticity for hashed files, and how Screven County, Georgia hashes election results and drop box surveillance video into the Bitcoin blockchain. They also discuss FinCEN's retracted rule, the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act, the Bank Secrecy Act, and truth decay.
Bryan on X: https://x.com/BryanJacoutot
Clark Hill: https://www.clarkhill.com/people/bryan-f-jacoutot/
Simple Proof: https://www.simpleproof.com/The Bitcoin Playbook for Commercial Real Estate Owners & Investors: https://www.tftc.io/CRE
STACK SATS hat: https://tftcmerch.io/
Our newsletter: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/
TFTC Elite (Ad-free & Discord): https://www.tftc.io/#/portal/signup/
Discord: https://discord.gg/yHGkvYxdqT
Opportunity Cost Extension: https://www.opportunitycost.app/
Shoutout to our sponsors:
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- Cash App: For a limited time, new customers can get $21 added to their balance. Just use code TFTC10 when you sign up, and send at least $5 to a friend in the first two weeks. Terms apply. Bitcoin services by Block, Inc. See the Bitcoin disclosures at cash.app/legal/podcast.
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14 October 2026, 2:00 pm - 34 minutes 7 secondsTen31 Timestamp: Liberty, Equality, Insolvency
France's debt problem, Europe moving against Chinese exports, Iran under pressure, and the AI and quantum FUD hitting Bitcoin. Marty and John Arnold go through the week.
🔗 https://bitcoinproducts.com
In this episode:
- France's fiscal situation and why short-term debt issuance is spreading
- Europe pushes back on Chinese exports while the US pulls it closer
- Iran's economy under sanctions and escalation risk after the Houthi strike
- The Donroe Doctrine: Greenland, Iceland and Brazil's election
- Treasury issuance, buybacks and the narrative around US economic data
- OpenAI revenue numbers, AI math proofs and the quantum FUD aimed at Bitcoin
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00:00 - Touching grass after a weekend of hardware wallet and AI news
00:01:00 - France's debt cycle and the Macron problem
00:02:30 - Short-term issuance and yields across Europe
00:04:58 - Europe moves to block Chinese exports
00:08:17 - Taiwan Strait naval exercises and the US-China meeting
00:09:48 - Iran's economy and the oil minister's exit
00:11:34 - Houthi strike on Saudi airport and escalation risk
00:13:41 - The Donroe Doctrine and the National Security Strategy
00:14:13 - Iceland, Greenland and Brazil's Bolsonaro surge
00:17:07 - US economic data and Treasury issuance
00:20:12 - Bessent's buybacks and the long end of the curve
00:21:26 - OpenAI's revenue run rate and the Anthropic comparison
00:23:39 - AI math proofs and the pace of model progress
00:26:36 - Quantum FUD, Justin Drake and Yehuda Lindell on elliptic curves
00:30:00 - Why Bitcoin researchers are working on new signature schemes
00:33:41 - Wrap-up and next week
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12 October 2026, 6:00 pm - More Episodes? Get the App