ChinaTalk

Jordan Schneider

Tech and US-China Relations

  • 1 hour 13 minutes
    Quantum 101

    What exactly is quantum computing? Why does it matter, and what would it actually mean to “win” the quantum race? Zach Yerushalmi, CEO of Elevate Quantum, a Mountain West–based public-private consortium advancing the U.S. quantum ecosystem, and Chris Miller join the podcast to discuss.

    Our conversation covers…

    • What Quantum Computing Actually Is — A primer on qubits, superposition, and why quantum computers aren’t “faster classical machines” but fundamentally different systems designed to simulate nature and solve specific classes of problems.

    • Why Quantum Matters Now — Breakthroughs in error correction and hardware have shifted quantum from theory to an engineering race, with major implications for drug discovery, materials science, artificial intelligence, and cybersecurity.

    • The Economic and National Security Stakes — Quantum’s potential impact on cryptography, advanced manufacturing, biotech, and defense makes it a strategic technology with an extremely small margin for error in global competition.

    • From Science Project to Industrial Policy Challenge — The bottleneck is no longer just physics but scaling. Talent pipelines, fabrication capacity, supply chains, and the kinds of public-private partnerships needed to move from lab prototypes to deployable systems.

    • What Winning Looks Like — Leadership isn’t just building the first powerful machine. It’s shaping standards, securing supply chains, protecting encryption, diffusing capabilities across industry, and sustaining innovation in a tight U.S.–China technological race.

    Plus, the encryption stakes, the engineering bottlenecks, the race with China — and a reading list and job resources for those interested in the field.

    Thanks to the Hudson Institute for sponsoring this episode.

    Zach’s Quantum Technology Reading List:

    Further reading if curious:

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    20 April 2026, 2:22 pm
  • 1 hour 2 minutes
    WarTalk: Is Mythos a Cyber Nuke? + The Blockade That Wasn't

    We discuss…

    • Why Mythos is a Dr. Strangelove moment — and whether the better analogy is a nuke or a pandemic
    • Who gets the keys: Ukraine vs. South Korea vs. Japan vs. the Five Eyes, and why the Defense Production Act now looks likelier than the supply-chain-risk designation
    • The death of the patch model — and the return of air-gapped networks, mesh comms, and couriers shuttling classified work in person
    • Steve Feinberg's half-trillion-dollar portfolio, the rise of direct-reporting program managers, and why a Senate-confirmed deputy can now make American industry rise and fall

    Hey God It's Dario song: https://suno.com/s/2d0u5eLbSyzDeDY3

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    17 April 2026, 4:19 pm
  • 1 hour 8 minutes
    The Think Tank New Breed (IFP + FAI)

    Caleb Watney (Institute for Progress) and Max Bodach (Foundation for American Innovation) on what the new breed of DC think tanks does differently and why the old model is broken.

    We discuss:

    • Why "counterfactual policy impact" matters more than white papers and what's wrong with project-based funding
    • Cross-partisanship vs. picking sides: IFP pulls the rope sideways, FAI builds a big tent on the right
    • Vertical integration over specialization — the person who wrote the brief should be the one selling it on the Hill
    • Whether AI eats the think tank or just the parts that weren't working anyway

    Timestamps

    00:38 — Applied think tank vs. white paper mill

    16:56 — Partisanship: FAI's conservative tent vs. IFP's cross-partisan design

    37:09 — Why researchers should do their own comms and outreach

    50:26 — Betting on young talent as policy entrepreneurs

    57:56 — Will AI eat the think tank?

    song: https://suno.com/s/I244K1rIpPdB6lO9


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    16 April 2026, 2:22 am
  • 57 minutes 9 seconds
    Claude Mythos and National Power

    Anthropic’s new model found decades-old vulnerabilities in foundational open-source code that millions of automated tests and countless human experts had missed, presaging a potentially revolutionary moment in cyber.

    Ben Buchanan, former senior advisor for AI at the White House and author of The Hacker and the State, and Michael Sulmeyer, former Assistant Secretary of Defense for Cyber Policy, join the show to break it all down. Full disclosure: Ben advises Anthropic.

    We discuss…

    • How Mythos found 27-year-old bugs in code everyone thought was secure

    • The offense-defense balance: whether a Ukraine with Mythos and a Russia without it changes the war

    • Project Glasswing and Anthropic’s attempt to build a private-sector vulnerabilities equities process

    • Why critical infrastructure patching is about to become a nightmare

    • What happens when ransomware gets vibe-coded

    • Why bio won’t be far behind

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    12 April 2026, 9:07 am
  • 1 hour 3 minutes
    WarTalk: Who Won the Iran War? (Second Breakfast Rebranded...)

    Eric Robinson, Tony Stark , Justin Mc , and Secretary of Defense Rock join me to score the Iran conflict.

    We discuss…

    • Whether Iran’s Strait of Hormuz toll booth is a Trump card or a wasting asset

    • How the administration fumbled the messaging on the war’s most heroic moment — the JSOC pilot rescue deep inside Iran

    • The Prussia 1806 parallel: are we a great military machine that’s forgotten how to fight?

    • Colby’s bizarre knife fight with Pope Leo

    • McMasterism, dereliction of duty, and why no one is pushing back

    song: https://suno.com/s/uGE7Es3ELd6r8ao5

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    10 April 2026, 1:03 pm
  • 1 hour 4 minutes
    How Ukraine Makes Drones

    Ukrainian drone manufacturing. How has the country been able to build hundreds of thousands, even millions of drones over the past four years of conflict? What dependencies does its industrial base still have on China? And what lessons does its rapid scaling offer for the rest of the world?

    To discuss, we’re joined by Cat Buchatskiy, Director of Analytics at Snake Island, a military analytical group, along with Chris Miller

    Our conversation covers:

    • How battlefield pressure forced Ukraine to build a drone war machine from scratch — from a handful of soldiers flying off-the-shelf drones to domestic assembly at a massive scale.

    • Ukraine’s industrial legacy and whole-of-society mobilization repurposed its civilian tech sector into a wartime industrial base.

    • Why modular design, frontline reassembly, and tight feedback loops allow Ukraine to iterate faster than traditional defense systems.

    • The constraints of global supply chains, the impact of export controls, and how China is playing both sides of the war.

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    7 April 2026, 9:32 am
  • 1 hour 11 minutes
    Second Breakfast: F-15, Pete's Purges, CENTCOM Hubris, War of 1812

    An F-15E is down in southern Iran. Justin, Tony, Eric and I talk through what combat search and rescue actually looks like, how a captured pilot changes the politics of ending this war, and why a hostage makes the "pack up and go home" play functionally impossible.

    Then: the AWACS that "only" lost a third of itself on a Saudi tarmac, why CENTCOM is still parking high-value aircraft like it's 2003, and what Operation Spiderweb and three years of Ukrainian drone warfare should have taught us but didn't. Plus Pete Hegseth's ongoing purge of the officer corps, the Enron theory of Pentagon innovation, and why the War of 1812 is the best analogy for where this is all heading.

    Tony's article on CENTCOM sucking: https://www.breakingbeijing.com/p/what-did-we-learn-centcom

    Justin on just war: https://justinmc.substack.com/p/just-war-theory

    song: https://suno.com/s/vroapDDimBnmCxdO

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    3 April 2026, 5:54 pm
  • 58 minutes 22 seconds
    The American Federal Civil Service: A History

    The history of the American federal civil service — what can we learn from its past glories and failures, and where should we take this next? We have ⁠Kevin Hawickhorst⁠ of the Foundation for American Innovation to discuss:

    • The Pendleton Act myth — Why civil service reform didn’t begin or end with Pendleton, and why starting the story there misses what actually made the system work.

    • The rise of the subject-matter state — How early 20th-century agencies staffed with real experts — entomologists, engineers, agronomists — made the U.S. bureaucracy arguably the most capable in the world.

    • From expertise to org charts — How mid-century functional reorganization hollowed out mission-driven agencies and replaced subject knowledge with process management.

    • What competence delivered — From agricultural breakthroughs to infrastructure build-out, what a serious, technically grounded civil service was able to accomplish.

    • Whether we can rebuild — DOGE, the abundance movement, state capacity, and why this might be the best time in decades to make the government work again.

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    1 April 2026, 1:13 am
  • 59 minutes 14 seconds
    Jen Pahlka on an Optimistic Vision for Government Renewal!

    Jen Pahlka is an American Hero, in a past life the US Deputy Chief Technology Officer and member of the Defense Innovation Board. She wrote Recoding America and the wonderful Eating Policy substack (https://www.eatingpolicy.com/?utm_campaign=profile_chips).

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    27 March 2026, 9:25 am
  • 53 minutes 17 seconds
    Second Breakfast: We Negotiate with Bombs, War by Brainrot

    Full house with Bryan, Eric, Tony and Justin.

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    25 March 2026, 6:52 pm
  • 41 minutes 11 seconds
    Overfit is now ModelTalk! GPU Smuggling, OpenAI Cooked? + Open Models, AI Writing

    Nathan Lambert of https://www.interconnects.ai/ and Jasmine Sun of https://jasmi.news/ catch up.

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    23 March 2026, 7:39 pm
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