The midterms are almost here, and you’ll forgive us for being a little emotional. It’s looking more and more like Democrats can expect huge wins on November 3rd, yet we can’t breathe a sigh of relief just yet. Democratic analysts Tara McGowan and Simon Rosenberg join David Rothkopf to remind everyone that now is the time to put the pedal to the metal and get out and vote. 

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Donald Trump is in a dark mood about the midterms, reports The New York Times in an epic piece. Numerous administration insiders confide that he’s raging at at naysayers and negative press. And they’re also leaking that he’s “increasingly cloistered” with “acolytes” like Natalie Harp, as the Times puts it, adding this: "As the elections approach, Mr. Trump is feasting on a media diet of fawning press coverage, disparaging clips about his perceived enemies, and helpings of flattering photos and 'A.I. slop,' as one official put it." That extraordinary passage shows how his aides are placating his anger. Yet new CNN polls show Democrats with leads in the key Senate races that will determine control. So we talked to political scientist Tom Schaller, author of a good piece for the Public Notice Substack on MAGA culture. We discuss whether those CNN polls are right, why Trump is convinced his influence over GOP voters will save the party, how a big Democratic night could break Trump-MAGA cultural power, and how that could allow Democrats to expand their coalition in coming years. 

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Tech companies would love nothing more than to regulate themselves. The Standards Authority for Frontier AI (SAFA) is just the latest attempt for AI companies to take safety into their own hands, yet it’s hardly a substitute for real government oversight. Tech Counsel at Protect Democracy Mackenzie Austin joins David Rothkopf to explain why the public needs to be involved in AI governance and why the next year will be pivotal in deciding who controls AI development. 

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The midterm elections are five days away and all signs indicate an impending Democratic tsunami. But don’t get distracted by trans athletes and the Cheesecake Factory, folks - Donald Trump is going to try to steal this election. Norm Ornstein and David Rothkopf examine what to expect in the coming days and why these midterms matter more than ever.

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On the DSR Daily for Thursday, we break down Pete Hegseth firing the Pentagon’s top military planner, the Alaska governor ordering an investigation into Mary Peltola’s Senate campaign, Trump floating Ted Cruz as a Supreme Court nominee, and more. 

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After Vivek Ramaswamy ran that vile ad attacking Amy Acton in the Ohio gubernatorial race, Donald Trump aggressively defended it. That sent out a command to MAGA to get behind the ad. But now Republicans just leaked an internal poll to Axios showing that the ad is backfiring in humiliating fashion: It is making voters more likely to pick Acton over Ramaswamy rather than less. On top of that, Republicans fear this could hurt the party in the Ohio Senate race, too. That’s striking, because if Democrats win that contest, they’re a lot more likely to win the Senate. We talked to New Republic senior editor Alex Shephard, author of a good piece on the ad fiasco. We discuss how the backlash to the ad caught Trump-MAGA off guard, how this saga shows Trumpian politics to be running out of gas, and why the Senate map looks very promising for Democrats.

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Benjamin Netanyahu did not suffer the setback that many may have expected going into Israel’s recent election. How exactly does the leader of a genocide in Gaza retain power? What is the future of the Arab opposition in Israel? And what do these elections signal to the rest of the world? Alon Pinkas and Ilan Goldenberg join David Rothkopf and Ed Luce to discuss the recent election results and the geopolitical future in the Middle East.

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On the DSR Daily for Wednesday, we cover the lack of a clear winner in Israel’s election, Flavio Bolsonaro and his family receiving US visas after leaving Brazil, the DOJ refusing to unseal the warrant for the search of Ilhan Omar’s house, and more. 

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In a remarkable move, Fox News just shifted numerous House races toward Democrats. Fox finds them pulling even or favored in really Trumpy places like Kentucky’s 6th district and North Carolina’s 11th district. Fox also shifted the Ohio Senate race to “Lean Democratic.” In both cases Fox cited recent polling—including its own—as the justification. These bombshell incursions into deep red territory made Trump’s tirade at a Texas rally Tuesday look truly delusional. Trump bizarrely suggested his Iran war is a stupendous success that’s making our country “an absolute fortune.” He even weirdly implied his juvenile changing of geographic names—like “Lake America” and the “Gulf of America”—shows genuine American success and dominance. Trump really believes these things have broad appeal! We talked to Michael Cohen, who wrote well on the ongoing GOP retreat for his Truth and Consequences Substack. We discuss how these tirades explain the GOP’s struggles, the deeper reasons Democrats are able to contest such red territory, and what to expect in the final stretch. 

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On the DSR Daily for Tuesday, we discuss the monumental election in Israel, the DOJ going after James Comey yet again, Bolsonaro conceding the election in Brazil, and more. 

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Donald Trump is stewing about elections big time. He raged at Senator Lisa Murkowski for opposing his dumb effort to rig the Alaska Senate race, fumed over imagined voter-fraud in the upcoming midterms, and seethed that the right’s huge loss in Brazil was “rigged.” It’s no accident that this unraveling comes as the early-voting data looks so dubious for the GOP that even some MAGA data analysts seem rattled by it. One leading MAGA figure admitted she’s refraining from posting the early-vote numbers because they’ll hurt the right’s “morale.” Another acknowledged that the electorate looks far too nonwhite for the GOP and urged Republicans to “step it up.” A third fretted that Trump’s campaigning is backfiring. We talked to Democratic strategist Simon Rosenberg, who closely tracks early voting at his Hopium Chronicles Substack. He walks us through the massively encouraging signs in the data for Democrats, details what we can conclude from it and what we can’t, talks about why the Senate could still stay Republican, and ponders how Democrats should close this out.

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