We need to confront the fact there remains a serious problem in the US with Marxism. To successfully counter the threat REQUIRES first we understand why that is and what keeps it going. It's not enough to "clap back" with platitudes correctly pointing to Communism's barbaric history. Nor is the modern world's prosperity a sufficient counterargument. The true Socialist admits that's what capitalism was supposed to have accomplished. The entire matter revolves around whether that last statement truly is in the past tense. 

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

the Atlantic Why the Phrase 'Late Capitalism' Is Suddenly Everywhere
https://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2017/05/late-capitalism/524943/

QUB Law Society Demystifying late stage capitalism on both a global and national level: the ball and chain of a 21st century free market economy 
https://www.theverdictonline.org/post/demystifying-late-stage-capitalism-on-both-a-global-and-national-level-the-ball-and-chain-of-a-21st

AP Archive CAN973 FILE / ARCHIVE FOOTAGE OF VLADIMIR LENIN
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1IJbNwt9J00

RCM July 10, 2020 Socialism Would Have Been Easy to Discredit, Had There Been Growth
https://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2020/07/10/socialism_would_have_been_easy_to_discredit_had_there_been_growth_498699.html

The Atlantic 26 Years of Growth: Shanghai Then and Now
https://www.theatlantic.com/photo/2013/08/26-years-of-growth-shanghai-then-and-now/100569/

NYT Nov 14, 1939
https://www.nytimes.com/1939/11/14/archives/browder-assails-pope-at-rally-here-he-tells-22000-at-the-garden.html

Time Magazine May 30, 1938
https://content.time.com/time/covers/0,16641,19380530,00.html

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Hiring has near completely dried up in the US labor market, contrary to all mainstream talk of a booming economy. JOLTS hires was the lowest since March and April 2020, and apart from those the worst in six and a half years. That substantial weakness was further corroborated by some of the biggest companies in the world reporting sharply lower results on increasing consumer difficulties. Yet, everyone will be focused entirely on the Fed and its absurd "inflation" fixation. 

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

FOMC Chair Powell Press Conference Playback May 1, 2024
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o0unztmcLvA

USA Today
https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2024/03/07/job-market-cooling-despite-high-employment-numbers/72846912007/
Behind the rosy job numbers, Americans are struggling to find work

Bloomberg Starbucks Posts First Sales Drop Since 2020 During Global Pullback
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-30/starbucks-sbux-sales-slump-as-customers-pull-back-across-the-world?srnd=all

Bloomberg  KFC Owner’s Sales Fall for First Time Since 2020
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-01/kfc-owner-s-sales-fall-for-first-time-since-2020-as-weakness-spreads

ISM Manufacturing Press Release
https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/pmi/april/

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Evidence for demand destruction in the US economy is really piling up. Consumer sentiment tumbled, services businesses in parts of the country are shedding workers in a way and to a degree we only see during recession, and major Midwest manufacturing plunged. All that was just today. The common theme through each one is a change in employment conditions and not the good one. 

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

the Conference Board Consumer Confidence
https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence

Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey
https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tssos/2024/2404#tab-comments

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The first bank failure of 2024 is a familiar tale. A relatively small institution in Philadelphia, by itself it doesn't really mean all that much. However, there are a couple of important developments to go along with the background which raise questions and a few concerns. Is this the second chapter for the bank crisis?

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

FDIC Press Release
https://www.fdic.gov/news/press-releases/fulton-bank-na-lancaster-pennsylvania-assumes-substantially-all-deposits

Republic First's last SEC filing
https://d18rn0p25nwr6d.cloudfront.net/CIK-0000834285/6c29a651-35e8-48f3-8803-6b7376b1ab7f.pdf

Republic First's last posted balance sheet
https://investors.myrepublicbank.com/financial-info/balance-sheet/default.aspx

Bloomberg's April 2024 report on FDIC soliciting bids
FDIC Is Approaching Potential Buyers of Republic First
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-24/fdic-is-said-to-approach-potential-buyers-of-republic-first

Bloomberg's October 2023 report on FDIC soliciting bids
FDIC Sought Buyers for Republic First Before Investor Deal
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-29/fdic-sought-buyers-for-republic-first-before-investor-deal

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This week's big miss in US GDP raises several questions about the state of the economy. It was significant enough to immediately call into doubt the soft landing. Last year's surge now appears to have been just a short run temporary jump, meaning GDP might be joining the majority of macro data indicating much sharper and more serious weakness than was though just before the data's release. 

Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre

S&P Global April 2024 flash PMIs
https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/2a6d069e95b3402f85a5e44e3ff49917

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It's not just that Japan's yen is crashing, it's what a yen crash means to everyone not only in Japan. But why? All you'll hear from the mainstream and most "experts" is that every currency exchange rate movement including JPY must be somehow related to a central bank, especially the Fed. It's a myth easily debunked. When doing the debunking the real truth emerges and it's not good. 

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

Bloomberg Yen Drops Beyond 158 Per Dollar as BOJ Keeps Key Rate Unchanged
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-26/yen-drops-to-fresh-34-year-low-as-boj-keeps-key-rate-unchanged

Trilateral Ministerial Joint Press Statement
https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy2264

FOMC Transcript February 1998
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC19980204meeting.pdf

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GDP comes in the worst in two years because prices shot up again, therefore the term "stagflation" is going to be everywhere. Which prices changed actually makes a huge difference given the fact those particular prices are more likely to help the US economy get back to its depression tendencies. And on that count, we have irrefutable proof from oil, gasoline, and energy. 

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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Uncle Sam tried his best to buy a recovery. The sheer amount of money redistributed by the federal govt the past four years is incomprehensible. Here's the thing: the transfers didn't stop in 2021. A huge chunk of them kept going right on to today. And still it wasn't enough to stabilize an economy that is showing signs of even more weakening. 

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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Oil prices aren't inflationary, they're disinflationary. We are getting more proof right now as incoming data shows demand being destroyed. This is creating difficulties for the US economy on top of severe strain around the rest of the world. Several key markets are picking up the distress, too. 

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

S&P Global Flash US Composite PMI https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/2a6d069e95b3402f85a5e44e3ff49917

Federal Reserve Financial Stability Report April 2024
https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/files/financial-stability-report-20240419.pdf

Bloomberg China Is Front and Center of Gold’s Record-Breaking Rally
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-21/china-is-front-and-center-of-gold-s-record-breaking-rally

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The Fed's latest semi-annual report on financial risks contains a couple of important updates. First, we get a sense of where the systemic attempt to deal with the downside to the commercial real estate bubble stands. That also feeds into the most recent updates on US banks and the deteriorating credit environment. Plus, we also take a look at why the Fed's report singled-out the stock market and what that means. 

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

Federal Reserve Financial Stability Report April 2024
https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/files/financial-stability-report-20240419.pdf

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There is a tendency to conflate the behavior of consumer prices with the condition of the economy. With the current mania over recent CPIs in full bloom, fears extend into the real economy. Is it really "too hot?" Recent data from the Federal Reserve itself actually helps separate the facts from the misperceptions. 

Eurodollar University's conversations w/Steve Van Metre

Beige Book April 2024
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/BeigeBook_20240417.pdf

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