Value Investing with Legends

Columbia Business School

  • 1 hour 3 minutes
    Kim Lew - The Dynamics of Risk Management and Asset Allocation

    Today's discussion with Kim Lew, President and CEO of the Columbia Investment Management Company, traverses her unique journey from her roots in the Bronx to managing a prominent Ivy League endowment. Kim shares her insights on navigating the intricate world of investment management, particularly in risk management and asset allocation. With a career marked by pivotal roles at entities like the Ford Foundation and Carnegie Corporation, her expertise brings a nuanced understanding of the interplay between market dynamics and organizational strategy. This episode explores how adaptability, intellectual curiosity, and understanding global trends shape successful investment approaches.

     

    Key Topics:

    • Kim's early career and transition to finance (2:59)
    • Role at Chemical Bank and career progression (5:05)
    • Experience at Prudential Capital and Ford Foundation (9:27)
    • Shift to Carnegie Corporation and Columbia Investment Management (18:07)
    • Challenges of managing a larger endowment (20:13)
    • Aligning endowment goals with university values and ESG considerations (22:08)
    • Comprehensive approach to risk management (26:54)
    • Asset allocation and balancing public vs. private markets (34:06)
    • The concept of future-proofing investment strategies (41:19)
    • Organizational behavior in asset management (48:54)
    • Importance of intellectual curiosity in team members (55:11)
    • Kim’s book recommendations (1:01:01)
    • And much more!

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    29 December 2023, 9:00 am
  • 51 minutes 35 seconds
    John Armitage - Navigating Macroeconomic Shifts

    In the complex world of financial markets and economic fluctuations, John Armitage, a seasoned investment maestro, sits down with us today. As the chief strategist behind the success of Egerton Capital, Armitage brings his profound insights into navigating the complexities of portfolio management and the subtle art of risk-taking in fluctuating markets. His expertise, honed through years of experience, sheds light on the critical impact of macroeconomic shifts and the pitfalls that stock pickers often encounter amidst outdated corporate data. This episode delves into passive investing, dissecting the crucial role of competitive dynamics in sectors like European aviation and examining the transformative impact of a growing talent pool on the traditional realms of asset management. Armitage also ventures into the ethical crossroads, intertwining moral integrity, societal upheaval, and the revolutionary wave of artificial intelligence. We uncover his focus on growth, governance, and quality, underpinned by a meticulous decision-making process at Egerton Capital, his literary pursuits, pondering over the influence of literature on his investment philosophy, and so much more!

     

     

    Key Topics:

    • Overview of Egerton Capital (1:42)
    • Transitioning from broad ideas to specific investments and the role of specialization (8:29)
    • Egerton Capital’s approach to researching new investment opportunities (12:58)
    • Understanding market signals and opposing investment perspectives (15:46)
    • John’s approach to portfolio building and decision-making in investing (20:00)
    • Client importance, portfolio building, and decision-making in investing (23:37)
    • Luck, being in the right place at the right time, and mentorship (28:07)
    • Managing portfolio volatility and the frequency of financial crises (30:54)
    • John’s positive outlook on reinsurance space and companies like Ryanair and Meta (35:31)
    • The future of stock picking and asset management (41:19)
    • What worries John and excites him about the future (43:09)
    • John’s book recommendations (45:29)
    • And much more!

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    15 December 2023, 9:00 am
  • 44 minutes 45 seconds
    Nicolai Tangen - Decision-Making and Intuition in Investing

    In the intricate dance of market movements and economic trends, it takes a discerning eye to discern patterns and make strategic decisions. Enter Nicolai Tangen, the astute CEO of Norges Bank Investment Management, who joins hosts Michael Mauboussin and Tano Santos on Value Investing with Legends. A connoisseur of art history and asset management, Nicolai offers a rare blend of expertise, drawing parallels between the seemingly disparate worlds of art and investment. His approach, marked by a blend of rigorous analysis and intuitive pattern recognition, reveals the underpinnings of a global economy shrouded in paranoia and driven by innovation. In this episode, Nicolai unfolds his journey from being an art student to leading one of the most prominent investment funds, highlighting how understanding historical context informs risk appetite. He brings to the forefront the role of AI in transforming investment strategies and the delicate balance of managing a substantial portfolio while maintaining a contrarian stance. Tune in to learn about the psychological aspects of risk assessment, the implications of AI on future investment strategies, the value of contrarian thinking in an ever-changing market, and so much more!

     

     

    Key Topics:

    • Nicolai's journey from Russian military studies to financial expertise at Wharton (2:45)
    • Nicolai's foundational career experiences with John Armitage at Egerton Capital (4:04)
    • The refreshing and insightful sabbatical Nicolai took to study art history (6:42)
    • AKO Capital's strategy: selecting high-quality stocks for robust growth and solid returns (9:17)
    • Investing success through deep reading, contemplative analysis, and rare decisive action (10:34)
    • The critical role of pattern recognition in navigating financial uncertainties (13:51)
    • Post-mortem analysis as a vital component of investment strategy refinement (15:41)
    • The importance of contrarian perspectives in investment strategy and team development (19:09)
    • Delving into CEOs' insights on market trends and the underestimated influence of corporate culture (23:04)
    • Adapting from selecting individual assets to managing broad asset classes with team collaboration (26:48)
    • Proactive engagement in corporate governance through ESG-focused voting practices (30:33)
    • The inescapable responsibility of managing a globally influential investment fund (33:08)
    • Balancing the promising prospects of AI with the imperative of managing social risks (35:36)
    • Defining fund success beyond returns: robust processes and a motivated, fulfilled team (38:07)
    • What keeps Nicolai up at night and excited about the future (40:40)
    • Nicolai’s book recommendations (43:24)
    • And much more!

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    24 November 2023, 9:00 am
  • 1 hour 14 seconds
    John Rogers - The Power of Patience

    John Rogers isn't just a successful investor; he's an industry titan. As the founder of a reputable investment firm, he's made a name for himself with his contrarian value investing strategies. But he's not just a practitioner; he's an educator, avidly reading and contributing to seminal works in investment literature. John’s journey began with an early fascination for finance from his youthful days. A Princeton alumnus, he entered the turbulent waters of the stock market and turned a calamity—the infamous crash of 1987—into a career-defining opportunity. In today's episode, John joins us to discuss his formative experiences, the philosophical underpinning of his investment strategy, and the importance of thinking long-term. We also delve into his roles on various corporate boards, where he weighs in on 401k plans, corporate governance, the pivotal role of diversity in creating equal opportunities for minority businesses, and so much more!

     

     

    Key Topics:

    • An overview of John’s professional background (2:15)
    • John's journey from William Blair to founding Ariel Investments (07:42)
    • The 1987 market crash as a turning point for Ariel's value investing approach (10:04)
    • John's philosophy on patient, research-heavy, value-based investing (13:07)
    • How longevity in markets solidified John's faith in efficiency (19:15)
    • The mechanics of idea generation at Ariel Investments (23:30)
    • Ariel's methodology for dissecting investment errors (29:53)
    • Drawing teamwork and pressure-handling lessons from Coach Carril (35:20)
    • How board experience informs his investing (37:47)
    • John's focus on value investing and cautious approach to buybacks (42:20)
    • Why John is optimistic about The Sphere in Las Vegas and Adelum (46:18)
    • John's fulfillment from social engagement and its business impact (50:18)
    • What keeps John up at night and excited about the future (55:48)
    • John’s book recommendations (57:41)
    • And much more!

     

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    10 November 2023, 9:00 am
  • 1 hour 2 minutes
    Sheldon Stone - Liquidity, Covenants, and Capital Availability

    Navigating the investment world is an enormous task, especially when looking at company numbers and the people running them. That's why we're thrilled to have Sheldon Stone on the show. Sheldon was the first in his family to go to college, attending the highly respected Bowden College. He was part of a remarkable class of 225 students, an experience that shaped his unique perspective on life and career. Hailing from New Jersey, Sheldon Stone has had a fascinating career journey. His time at Bowden wasn't just about hitting the books; it also laid the groundwork for his expertise in bonds and financial markets. In today's episode, hosts Michael Mauboussin and Tano Santos sit down with Sheldon to dig into the nuts and bolts of investing. Sheldon shares his path from studying government in college to becoming a seasoned Chief Investment Officer. We dive deep into critical considerations like balancing liquidity and safeguarding investments, understanding the growing high-yield market, and why intangible assets like brands and patents are making financial waves. Sheldon, Michael, and Tano will explore Sheldon's unique educational background, the trade-offs in investment strategies, the rise of the high-yield market, the role intangibles play in today's financial world, and so much more!

     

     

    Key Topics:

    • An overview of Sheldon’s professional background (3:13)
    • 40-year partnership with Howard Marks: mutual dynamics and shared intellect (8:38)
    • Early high-yield bond market inefficiencies and technological limitations (11:23)
    • How equity holders' approach affects creditor relations and company ease-of-work (18:57)
    • Company growth via flexibility over ratings and the role of private equity (20:38)
    • Operating in 300-550 basis point spreads; equity investment opportunities (24:18)
    • Importance of new issues for returns; market appetite and deal quality (26:25)
    • Role of equity market signals in bond investments; sector focus (28:34)
    • Credit scoring matrix: eight critical factors for buy/sell decisions (31:17)
    • Asset recovery rates: tangible vs intangible; market sentiment effects (39:25)
    • Impact of rising rates on leveraged loans; stability measures (46:55)
    • Challenges with interpreting delinquency rates; sector diversification strategies (50:30)
    • Characteristics of influential investment committees: camaraderie and vital CIO (52:04)
    • Teaching at Columbia; credit analysis as a career path for students (54:12)
    • What keeps Sheldon up at night and excited about the future (57:14)
    • Sheldon’s book and theatre recommendations (59:00)
    • And much more!

     

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    27 October 2023, 8:00 am
  • 59 minutes 46 seconds
    Ray Dalio - Risk, Return, and Asset Allocation

    Navigating the complex world of wealth creation and financial history can be daunting. That's why our guest, Ray Dalio, places a strong emphasis on understanding the evolution of wealth, the current economic landscape, and the patterns that govern financial markets.

     

    As an iconic investor and author, Ray offers a wealth of knowledge backed by years of experience in the finance industry. He has written the seminal book, "Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crisis," which serves as a crucial resource for anyone interested in understanding historical financial crises.

     

    Ray is a legendary investor and the founder of Bridgewater Associates, one of the largest hedge funds in the world. He has extensive experience with debt crises, having navigated them multiple times in his career. In addition to his achievements in finance, he is the author of several highly acclaimed books that have garnered him a massive following both inside and outside of the financial community. 

     

    In this episode, Ray, Michael, and Tano discuss a range of topics from the evolution of wealth throughout history to the rise of populism in the modern world. They delve into the role of capital markets in wealth creation, the importance of understanding risk-return trade-offs, and much more. Ray also shares his unique perspectives on the challenges faced by countries like China and talks about the importance of deleveraging in today's economic climate.

     

    Join us as we dive deep into these captivating topics with one of the most brilliant minds in the finance industry. Stay tuned for an enriching conversation that promises to offer valuable insights and much more!

     

     

    Key Topics:

    • An overview of Ray’s background (2:56)
    • Ray’s early foray into commodities (5:18)
    • Shifting from micro to macro via commodities (6:59)
    • Founding and pivoting Bridgewater (8:37)
    • Alpha and beta separation in investing (11:29)
    • Client portfolio customization, beating traditional methods  (14:04)
    • Decision systemization for diverse returns (16:13)
    • Navigating 2008 with debt dynamics knowledge (21:42)
    • Transition from assets to future earnings (26:00)
    • Market links to economic boom, risks of future promises (31:48)
    • Growth's double-edged sword: innovation vs. debt and conflict (33:15)
    • US-China war likelihood in the next decade (39:34)
    • China's trio of challenges: Debt, demographics, economic model  (46:37)
    • Advocacy for bipartisan societal reform (54:06)
    • Ray’s book recommendations (58:28)
    • And much more!

     

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    13 October 2023, 8:00 am
  • 39 minutes 3 seconds
    Fireside Chat with Tom Gayner, Markel Corporation

    Today’s conversation is a special one. I’m delighted to share my fireside chat with Markel Corporation’s Tom Gayner from our 26th Annual CSIMA Conference. With decades of industry experience, Tom joined us to share insights into how Markel has differentiated itself from others in the insurance industry and the investment approach and philosophies that facilitate its continued growth.

     

    Thomas “Tom” Gayner is the Co-Chief Executive Officer of Markel Corporation. He oversees investing activities for the company, as well as the Markel Ventures’ diverse industrial and service businesses. Tom joined Markel in 1990 to form Markel Gayner Asset Management which provided equity investment counsel for Markel Corporation and outside clients.

     

    In this episode, Tom and I discuss how he went from analyzing Markel to joining the team after its IPO, Markel’s three-engine business model, how Markel Ventures originated, why it’s essential to create an environment that’s supportive of the way you'd like to operate, and so much more!

    Key Topics:

     

    • Tom’s journey to joining Markel (1:28)

    • Markel’s three-engine architecture of insurance, investments, and Markel  Ventures (5:00)

    • How AMF Bakery Equipment became Markel Ventures' first investment (9:18)

    • The four lenses for assessing equity investments (13:33)

    • Markel’s nuanced approach to portfolio management (20:44)

    • Learning to improve your investment decision-making process (24:14)

    • Why Tom calls financial statements a donut truth (28:01)

    • Translating the language of GAAP accounting to real economic meaning (29:48)

    • Assessing a company’s debt levels (33:31)

    • How interest rates massively impact human behavior (35:05)

    • And much more!

    Mentioned in this Episode:

     

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    31 March 2023, 8:00 am
  • 52 minutes 18 seconds
    Scott Hendrickson - An Unmasking of Quality

    When evaluating a company, getting a clear picture of all the relevant factors can be challenging. That’s why today’s guest, Scott Hendrickson, heavily emphasizes management quality and companies where diligence can provide a high level of conviction.

     

    As a Columbia Business School graduate and adjunct professor, Scott is both a practitioner and a teacher. He has been an integral part of the investing program for almost a decade.

     

    Scott Hendrickson is a Partner and the Co-Founder of Permian Investment Partners, a $1.2 billion management-focused global long/short investment fund. Before co-founding Permian, Scott worked as an Investment Analyst at Brahman Capital. Prior to Brahman, Scott worked as an Associate at Industrial Growth Partners, a middle-market-focused private equity fund. Scott started his career as an Analyst in Merrill Lynch’s Investment Banking Program. Scott graduated from Emory University with a BBA in Finance in 2000 and Columbia Business School with an MBA in 2007. Scott serves on the Columbia Business School adjunct faculty, teaching Applied Value Investing since 2014.  

     

    In this episode, Scott, Tano, and I discuss Scott’s journey to a career in investing, why Permian has management as their core focus, the three main business quality metrics they employ, risk management for short interests, characteristics of transformational acquisitions, how teaching has expanded Scott’s perspective, and so much more!

    Key Topics:

     

    • How Scott’s interest in investing evolved from his love for music (1:57)

    • Scott’s learnings from his time at Brahman Capital (5:35)

    • Criteria Permian seeks in longs and shorts (7:01)

    • Why Permian has management as a core focus (8:08)

    • How the quality of Permian’s LPs has become an advantage (10:53)

    • Permian’s approach to screening (12:49)

    • The three main business quality metrics employed (15:38)

    • Permian’s portfolio construction and power rank system (17:20)

    • Breaking down the four short frameworks (22:01)

    • Risk management for short interests (24:46)

    • Factoring in the macro view (26:31)

    • How Permian applies value-added research (30:00)

    • What it means to be “diligence-able” and why that matters (33:38)

    • Characteristics of transformational acquisitions (37:22)

    • Differentiating between structural and fixable costs (39:41)

    • What’s behind the long-term underperformance of European stock markets (42:35)

    • How teaching has expanded Scott’s perspective (44:54)

    • Scott’s recommendations for investors to improve the odds that they will be successful over time (46:26)

    • What keeps Scott up at night and excited about the future (47:23)

    • Scott’s book recommendations (50:16)

    • And much more!

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    17 March 2023, 8:00 am
  • 1 hour 5 minutes
    Bill Nygren - Fundamental Investing From A Generalist’s Perspective

    With the constant evolution of the asset management industry, investors need to stay a step ahead to justify earning an active management fee. With over 40 years of experience in the industry, this is a lesson that today’s guest, Bill Nygren of Harris Associates, instills in the younger analysts he mentors.

     

    Bill is a true legend of value investing and an investor you can turn to whenever the market is uncertain. He radiates fundamental ideas and has an expansive perspective on the comings and goings of the market and the economy at large. 

     

    Bill is the Chief Investment Officer for US equities at Harris Associates, which he joined in 1983, and a vice president of the Oakmark Funds. He has been a manager of the Oakmark Select Fund since 1996, Oakmark Fund since 2000, and the Oakmark Global Select Fund since 2006. Bill served as the firm’s director of research from 1990 to 1998. He has received many accolades during his investment career, including being named Morningstar’s Domestic Stock Manager of the Year for 2001, and he holds an M.S. in Finance from the University of Wisconsin’s Applied Security Analysis Program (1981) and a B.S. in accounting from the University of Minnesota (1980).

     

    In this episode, Bill, Michael, and I discuss why Bill was drawn to value investing, why generalist analysts transition more easily to portfolio manager than specialists, his approach to idea generation and portfolio construction, pivoting in times of crisis and great distress, recession insights from over 40 years of experience, and so much more!

    Key Topics:

     

    • Welcome Bill to the show (1:09)
    • Bill’s lifelong fascination with the line between gambling and investing (2:17)
    • Why Bill was drawn to value investing (4:51)
    • The importance of working at a firm that shares your investment philosophy (6:26)
    • Why generalist analysts transition more easily to portfolio manager than industry specialists (9:36)
    • Dealing with industry intricacies as a generalist analyst (14:05)
    • Harris Associates’ approach to idea generation (15:55)
    • What it’s like to be an analyst at Harris Associates (18:31)
    • Why Harris uses multiple techniques to define value (24:25)
    • Looking at management’s attitude towards capital redeployment (26:33)
    • Harris’ maintenance process and error recognition methods (30:08)
    • Bill’s thoughts on the news of Microsoft’s massive investment into OpenAI(32:53)
    • Pivoting in times of crisis and great distress (36:38)
    • Capital One as a case study of a stock that represents a good investment opportunity today (41:25)
    • Recession insights from over 40 years of industry experience (44:02)
    • Thinking about the effect of the current interest rate environment (48:35)
    • Criteria for portfolio construction and position sizing (49:52)
    • The evolving opportunity set (53:21)
    • Identifying anomalies in GAAP accounting (55:44)
    • The things that keep Bill up at night and excited about the future (59:31)
    • Bill’s book recommendations (1:02:04)
    • And much more!

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    3 March 2023, 9:00 am
  • 1 hour 5 minutes
    Angela Aldrich - Developing A Differentiated View

    One of the most exciting things in our industry is finding young investment managers who are incredibly bright, hard-working, and well-trained in the investment process. Our guest today, Angela Aldrich, fits that bill perfectly.

     

    Angela is the co-founder of Bayberry Capital Partners, a hedge fund with a half-billion dollars in assets based in New York. Before starting Bayberry Capital Partners, she worked at John Griffin’s Blue Ridge Capital, which shut down in 2017 after a glorious 21-year run during which it returned its investors an average return of 15.3% annually. Angela graduated from Duke University with a degree in economics and received an MBA from Stanford University Graduate School of Business. Before joining Blue Ridge, Angela worked at Goldman Sachs, BDT Capital Partners, and Scout Capital Management.

     

    In this episode, Angelo, Tano, and I discuss her path to a career in investing, what it was like to be mentored by John Griffin, Angela’s key learnings from her transition from analyst to portfolio manager, Bayberry’s investment philosophy and approach to search, portfolio construction and sizing, how to find opportunities in volatility, case studies of companies which demonstrate Bayberry’s organizational principles in action, and so much more!

     

    This podcast is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to purchase any securities, nor is it an offer of any advisory services. This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only, and intended to provide general market commentary. The discussion of any individual investments discussed in this podcast is for informational purposes only, and any such investments are not representative of all of the investments held, or that may in the future be held, by any fund, account or investment vehicle managed by Bayberry Capital Partners LP. Nothing in this podcast, including any discussion of past results, is a guarantee of similar or future outcomes.

     

    Key Topics:

     

    • Welcome Angela to the show (2:12)
    • How Angela found her way to a career in investing (3:09)
    • The transformational experience of working with John Griffin, founder of Blue Ridge Capital Management (5:53)
    • Navigating the transition from analyst to portfolio manager (9:13)
    • Portfolio construction as a form of risk management (11:20)
    • Finding opportunities in periods of crisis and high volatility (15:00)
    • The investment philosophy and organizational principles that drive results at Bayberry Capital (18:25)
    • Bayberry’s approach to recognizing surprisingly high business quality (22:04)
    • Signposts of suitable candidates for the short side (25:39)
    • Unlocking value from an investment thesis (27:22)
    • How to avoid thesis creep (30:26)
    • The central importance of identifying the right key investment factors (33:23)
    • Portfolio sizing principles at Bayberry (36:21)
    • Why WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings became Bayberry’s largest long (39:36)
    • How Bayberry goes about valuing businesses (48:27)
    • Why Bayberry became interested in Burford Capital (50:38)
    • What keeps Angela worried and excited about markets in the future (1:01:14)
    • Angela’s book recommendations (1:02:32)
    • And much more!

     

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    17 February 2023, 9:00 am
  • 1 hour 15 minutes
    Charley Ellis - The Evolution of the Asset Management Industry

    Over the past several decades, asset management has transformed from a small industry with a few experts competing against a majority of amateurs in the market to a market saturated with well-equipped and highly resourced experts competing against each other.

     

    When I think about my pantheon of all-time great investment thinkers and writers, our guest today stands out as one of the industry's legends. Charley Ellis has played the most significant role in how I think about the investment industry, and I can’t think of anyone better to talk about the industry's evolution.

     

    Dr. Charles D. Ellis is the founder and former managing partner of Greenwich Associates, an international consultancy where he advised large institutional investors, foundations, and government organizations in more than 130 financial markets across the globe. Through that lens, he has been a keen observer of what works in organizations and markets for the last half-century. For nine years, Charley was chair of the Investment Committee at Yale, his alma mater, where he worked closely with its legendary Chief Investment Officer, David Swensen. He also served as a director of the Vanguard Group from 2001 to 2009. Charlie is a Harvard Business School graduate and has taught advanced investing courses at both Yale and Harvard. The CFA Institute recognized him as one of the twelve leading contributors to the investment profession, and along the way, Charlie has published nineteen books.

     

    In this episode, Tano, Charley, and I discuss what inspired him to found Greenwich Associates, what goes into identifying the right questions to ask, how the industry has shifted from a winner’s game to a loser’s game, the massive changes in the asset management industry since the founding of Greenwich Associates, lessons from the Yale endowment model, Charley’s book recommendations, and so much more!

     

     

     

    Key Topics:

     

    • Welcome Charley to the show (1:13)
    • How Charley’s early experience at Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette inspired the concept for Greenwich Associates (3:07)
    • Structuring research and gathering the right kinds of questions (7:51)
    • How Charley developed a passion for sharing insights with the public at large (10:00)
    • The dual roles of academia and the industry itself in the evolution of the asset management industry (11:46)
    • Simon Ramo and The Loser’s Game (13:33)
    • Massive changes in the asset management industry since Charley founded Greenwich Associates (19:07)
    • Why it was much easier for active managers to beat the market in the early days of the industry (25:03)
    • Understanding the relentless pace of competition (29:35)
    • The importance of actively determining the right investment strategy for you (32:44)
    • Charley’s perspective on the legacy of Vanguard’s Jack Bogle (37:26)
    • Why Charley cites John Neff as the best active manager of his time (43:27)
    • David Swenson’s capacity for innovative thinking (46:51)
    • Lessons from the Yale endowment model (51:02)
    • Highlights from Charley’s book, Capital (58:38)
    • Essential elements of creating and perpetuating a great culture (1:00:06)
    • Why the willingness to address problems head-on is crucial in sustaining excellence (1:02:30)
    • Charlie’s excitement about our education system (1:06:19)
    • Which overlooked issue does Charlie wish garnered more attention? (1:07:07)
    • Charley’s book recommendations (1:12:09)
    • And much more!

     

     

     

    Mentioned in this Episode:

     

     

     

    Thanks for Listening!

     

    Be sure to subscribe on Apple, Google, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts. And feel free to drop us a line at [email protected].

     

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    3 February 2023, 9:00 am
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